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ibish.bsky.social
Senior Resident Scholar at the Arab Gulf States Institute (AGSI), weekly columnist for The National, and writer and speaker at large. Former Bloomberg columnist and New York Times regular contributor, now writing a lot for The Atlantic.
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My column from last week is aging well:

Worth noting

JVL asks the key questions: I know what it is like to lose your job because you won’t do what powerful people want. I understand how scary that is and not saying it’s easy. For most people, refusing to be complicit in evil will be the hardest test they ever face. open.substack.com/pub/thebulwa...

“We think transparency is the way to go here, and I am giving Trump full credit for his decision to add this tariff to all US consumers,” said Ryan Babenzien of Jolie, which sells shower heads. He plans to add a “Trump Liberation Tariff” to online orders. 100% correct! www.wsj.com/business/tha...

The April 11 edition of Ali Alfone’s indispensable Iran Media Review for AGSI evaluates messaging from Iranian officials ahead of planned U.S.-Iranian negotiations. agsiw.org/final-signal...

Either Trump can see around corners into vast economic expressways that elude everyone else. Or he’s driving us all over a cliff because it’s gloriously thrilling to throw the full gears of presidential power into overdrive, gun it, and see what happens. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

Iran’s supreme leader is facing a strategic dilemma in how to pursue diplomacy with the United States and project strength amid internal fracturing and ambiguity explains ⁦‪Ali Alfoneh‬⁩ for ⁦AGSI agsiw.org/supreme-osci...

The sharp drop in oil prices over the past week will result in a larger budget deficit and more government borrowing writes @timcallen1964 for ⁦‪@GulfStatesInst‬⁩ agsiw.org/what-do-lowe...

Of course it is

There’s widespread concern about a US recession signalled by a negative “bear” stock market. But the current atmosphere is arguably more reminiscent of the comedy/horror film “Cocaine Bear,” in which a monstrous animal goes on a drug-fuelled killing spree. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

This is reckless gambles in modern history. Trump inherited, to all appearances, a stable, relatively well-functioning US economy and global trading system. There wasn’t a hint of crisis. Yet he is risking the mother of all self-inflicted wounds. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

Either Trump can see around corners into vast economic expressways that elude everyone else. Or he’s driving us all over a cliff because it’s gloriously thrilling to throw the full gears of presidential power into overdrive, gun it, and see what happens. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

"Many business people are thinking about how to position around Trump's visit to the Gulf," said Robert Mogielnicki of ⁦‪@GulfStatesInst‬, “probably Tesla wants to plant their flag in the Saudi market before and then try to capitalise on momentum thereafter." www.reuters.com/business/aut...

The sharp drop in oil prices over the past week will result in a larger budget deficit and more government borrowing writes @timcallen1964 for ⁦‪@GulfStatesInst‬⁩ agsiw.org/what-do-lowe...

"Now who can argue with that? I think we're all in debt to Howard Lutnick for stating what needed to be said. I am particulary glad that these lovely children are here today to hear that speech. Not only was it authentic frontier gibberish, it expressed the courage little seen in this day and age. "

Conman Grover Norquist and his BS “Americans for Tax Reform” saying NOTHING about the vast new tariff tax hikes on (mainly working class) US consumers after DECADES of preaching that “tariffs are taxes,” thundering against them but now collapsing like Trump’s snot-soaked used Kleenex. Hypocrisy 101.

Israel’s policy is obvious: de-population by deliberately making Gaza uninhabitable and forcing Palestinians to try their best to get out so they can LIVE, family by family, individual by individual. It’s highly genocidal! Highly!

That’s correct, yes. He took a dump on the whole world, but mainly the United States of America.

We DID warn. No one listened or cared. Now the madman is running amok with a sledgehammer.

It looks very pointless to me.

Trump’s threats to attack Iran could prompt a backlash against the kingdom or further destabilize the region. “This all may reach a crescendo, and that would leave the Saudis in a very vulnerable position,” I tell⁦‪ Susannah George of The Washinton Post. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

He’s going to get fired in the next few days.

You think?

That’s correct, yes. He took a dump on the whole world, but mainly the United States of America.

Just 10%? Who’s stupid now?

We DID warn. No one listened or cared. Now the madman is running amok with a sledgehammer.

Prices on imported goods are likely to surge, a recession is possible, and far-reaching ripples in international economics and diplomacy are a certainty. Trump, in disregarding those recommendations, touched the hot stove, knowing he risks getting burned. www.axios.com/2025/04/03/t...

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era writes Abdulla Almarzooqi for ⁦AGSI agsiw.org/independent-...

"Let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself..." FDR in his First Inaugural Address, 1933 A new essay from @ibish.bsky.social on government seeing fear as power -- and not something to be banished. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

After DOGE Targeted V.A., an Iraq Veteran Faced Uncertainty and Crisis - Everything the Muskrat isn’t: proud, patriotic, sacrificing and simply a good person. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/30/u...

They’re coming to DC and I will be seeing them on April 13. Very excited. It’s really good stuff. Intense and overwhelming but really great. And, what’s been so missing for the past couple of decades: absolutely new and original. Fearless. I’ve been wondering where that went. Here it is at last!.

"Many Americans dealing with the current administration are enduring Mr Trump's understanding that instilling fear is the essential attribute of holding and exercising political power” @ibish.bsky.social www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

Israel has been torturing Palestinians routinely and systematically since the state was founded. That’s just a fact. A simple, objective fact. And there’s no denying it.

Robust growth in the non-oil economy and ongoing reforms are driving increased employment and labor force participation rates and lower unemployment among Saudi nationals writes Tim Callen for AGSI agsiw.org/positive-mom...

A litany of hate and lunatic bile

While the Gulf Arab states are making significant strides toward electrifying transportation and reducing emissions, the journey is fraught with challenges Kate Dourian explains for AGSI agsiw.org/gulf-countri...

Death sentence

Good summary of forthcoming likely tariff Trump inflation mayhem www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

My latest: The courts will need support to defend the constitutional system. If not Congress, then state and local elected governments, unelected administrators, and, if need be, even mass protests may be required to overcome fear and salvage the rule of law. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

Trump's doctrine that “power is fear” is cascading through US society. Washington DC in particular is now seized by an unprecedented toxic atmosphere reflecting the effect of power manifesting as metastasizing fear. My latest for ⁦‪The National.‬⁩ www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

Trump's doctrine that power equals fear is cascading through US society Washington in particular is now seized by an unprecedented toxic atmosphere reflecting the effect of power manifesting as metastasizing fear. www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...

Great new — to me — band YHWH Nailgun just released an album I really like a ton “45 Pounds.” What’s been missing for 20 years or more. Totally original, excellent, groundbreaking and brand spanking new stylistically. I’m excited and delighted to have discovered it.

GLITCH????????????????? www.timesofisrael.com/trump-casts-...

Maybe he’s not going to stay. Trump might have to dump him.