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isbi.bsky.social
Fragments of historical research, people and events, I write about Southeast Europe, World War II on the margins; medieval studies and urban history
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Imagine you are Jay Powell right now. You were about to get a softish landing and cement your legacy as one of the greatest central bankers if not civil servants of all time. Then out of nowhere some lunatic sets the economy on fire and you are fighting another crisis.

Trump's administration is a series of poorly conceived pyramid schemes. #Trump

I don't know if there's a plan, but if there is, it's pretty stupid. #TrumpTariffs #TradeWar

The next step of an escalating crisis on financial markets is a growing number of leaks about existential margin calls

Mr. Market still can't price this yet...

Trump's trade policy is the very pinnacle of unbridled foolishness. Tariffs can be a tool if they are measured and sectorally targeted. This way, they are only a sure path to recession. #Trade #Trump

Day of Liberation from Common Sense.

Best sources on Turkish politics? #Turkey #Turkiye #politics #Media

Donald #Trump has threatened to impose secondary sanctions on Russian oil—something that should have been done a long time ago. #UkraineWar #sanctions

Vladimir Putin does not want peace in #Ukraine.

How many weeks will pass before Trump realizes that Putin is playing games with him regarding the ceasefire in Ukraine?

In a large number of countries in Southeastern and Central Europe, a major popular struggle is taking place against authoritarian and semi-authoritarian regimes. #Turkiye #Serbia #protests #Democracy

A large number of Americans are willing to sacrifice the foundations of the constitutional and democratic order in their country for minor tax breaks. A disheartening realization.

I did not discuss "war plans" with that Atlantic editor.

The best evidence that Euromaidan was definitely not organised by the US State Department is that MAGA would already have published the documents if they existed.

Will anyone resign for the catastrophic security failure and the exchange of sensitive data via the 'Signal' app?

The much bigger news story no one will pay attention to today is Trump in a presser openly pressuring the Fed to lower interest rates