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james-rogers.bsky.social
Co-founder and Director of Research, Council on Geostrategy. Formerly at BALTDEFCOL and EUISS, and other places. All comments are personal.
87 posts 382 followers 236 following
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On the 3rd anniversary of 🇷🇺 invasion of #Ukraine, how can 🇬🇧, 🇵🇱 and 🇺🇦 work together to shape a post-war Europe? Read our 2024 Trilateral Initiative Report published in collaboration with the Polish Institute of International Affairs and Foreign Policy Council Ukrainian Prism 👇

#EU countries have had three years to get on top of this issue... www.theguardian.com/...

Money. Money. Money. Without more money for defence, all these proclamations of ‘strategic autonomy’ are just hot air...

I suspect the Russians have tried to interfere in many elections and referendums. This does not mean they swung the result(s)...

Russia is *not* winning...

Will moving to invest 2.5% of GDP on defence by 2030 impress Donald Trump? Probably not. 3%-3.5% might... uk.finance.yahoo.com...

There is a lot of whining coming from some quarters in Britain and various European countries about Donald Trump’s stance on Russia and Ukraine. We only have ourselves to blame; the Americans have warned us for years to rebuild our defences. Why was this not understood?

🔗 ‘Successful deterrence depends on a visible chain of escalatory mechanisms from initiating first contact to the release of nuclear weapons,’ argues @james-rogers.bsky.social, our Co-founder (Research) #BritainsWorld #BigAsk

What is this nonsense? www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...

Should European countries provide 🇺🇦 with genuine security guarantees? We asked 6 experts in today's #BigAsk ✍️ Linas Kojala, Aleksandra Kozioł, @paulmason.bsky.social, @jgmaber.bsky.social, @james-rogers.bsky.social, Andriy Zagorodnyuk #BritainsWorld

Analysts! Please stop talking about ‘Europe’ as a power. Europe is just a continent. States are geopolitical actors, not continents. If we are entering a new era of geopolitics, we need to accept as our starting point the world as it is, not how we want it to be...

Fracture in transatlantic relations: What next for Euro-Atlantic security? 🌍 European leaders gather for emergency summit on #Ukraine 🤝 Starmer hosts US Special Envoy to UK 🚨 Lammy and Healey warn against a ‘bad peace deal with Russia’ Read this week’s #Cable #BritainsWorld

👀 Read the latest #Investigator from #ObservingChina ‘There is a much bigger fight to be had in the Global South; a fight which, at this moment in time, Beijing is winning hands down,’ writes Gray Sergeant, our Research Fellow

As it stands, the United Kingdom is the only European country to designate its nuclear forces to the defence of #NATO. It also has the largest number of troops forward deployed, to Estonia, Poland, Germany, Norway, Gibraltar, and Cyprus... This is absolutely critical... www.politico.eu/arti...

Why it’s time for Britain and its European allies and partners to embrace a Bevinite strategy. If you don’t have a strong military, you simply don’t count. It’s time to cast the post-Cold War fantasies away... www.britainsworld.or...

I’ve heard a strange idea wafting around European think tanks: that we should support the deployment of Chinese troops to Ukraine. This is the depraved state of strategic thinking in Europe: rather than increase defence spending, some would prefer to ‘peripheralise’ their own continent...

European countries should not be in the Indo-Pacific for any reason other than to promote their own interests, of which Britain and France, even Germany, have several...

This is leadership; the #UK is stepping up. It should be possible to put at least 40,000 British and European forces into Ukraine if decisive action is taken now... www.telegraph.co.uk/...

How would Ernest Bevin handle, Anerica, Ukraine and Russia? @paulmason.bsky.social and I sketch out some ideas here... www.britainsworld.or...

Last June, we were commissioned by the Ministry of Defence to compile a briefing note for the new Labour government. We argued that Britain needs to lead a new minilateral grouping within NATO to help Ukraine prevail. Never has it been more relevant... www.geostrategy.org....

Did you catch the first edition of The Blueprint? 📨 Subscribe for your monthly science and technology roundup by @mannvirdee.bsky.social, our Senior Research Fellow #BritainsWorld #Blueprint

Here, Giles Portman explains how the United Kingdom is reinforcing security along the eastern front of NATO by deploying the lion’s share of troops to an exercise in Romania... hotnews.ro/interviu-...

Britain is the most powerful country in Europe. If the United States steps aside, the United Kingdom must step up...

As the @munsecconf.bsky.social progresses this weekend, we'll be sharing articles from our special issue. First up: @james-rogers.bsky.social + Kevin Rowland on the need for a European geostrategic rethink: ip-quarterly.com/en/geostrate...

This speech will resonate for years. It’s not the first time the US has held a mirror up to Europe. But if democracy is so central to JD Vance’s thinking, why isn’t the same logic applied to Ukraine? There, a true demos is forming as the Ukrainian people fight for survival... www.spectator.co.uk/...

How do you rationalise this? It’s not a rhetorical question. Any ideas? www.reuters.com/worl...

As the Centre for Defence Strategy’s Alina Frolova argues, the narrative that Russia is winning in its offensive against Ukraine is not true. With British and European backing, Ukraine can force Russia into defeat. But we must start planning and organising – now... defence.org.ua/en/ne...

Delighted to be in Hawaii for the Pacific Forum’s first Honolulu Defence Forum! I look forward to moderating the breakfast tomorrow seminar on #AUKUS... 🌴⛱️🇦🇺🇬🇧🇺🇸

Introducing The Blueprint! 🔬 Your monthly science and technology newsletter by @mannvirdee.bsky.social, our Senior Research Fellow Read the first edition now 👇 #BritainsWorld #Blueprint

With a great bunch of contributors: Nadia Schadlow @joerglau.bsky.social @claudmajor.bsky.social @jpuglierin.bsky.social @james-rogers.bsky.social @c21st-sailor.bsky.social @kiravinke.bsky.social @aylinmatle.bsky.social @josephdeweck.bsky.social @rebeccawire.bsky.social @sandertordoir.bsky.social …

Europeans, Britons included, appear to have come to believe that defence is just a other luxury, not the foundation of everything. It is time for them to be serious... www.bbc.com/news/art...

Can 🇬🇧 seize the opportunity for global leadership? 🤝 Starmer meets 🇪🇺 and #NATO leaders in Brussels 💰 Lammy announces £55 million towards 🇺🇦 resilience 🟢 HM Government announces policy shift in #nuclear energy Read this week's #Cable #BritainsWorld

How can European countries contribute to a free and open Indo-Pacific? Take a read of @salisbot.bsky.social’s latest article on #BritainsWorld on the deployment of European aircraft carrier groups... www.britainsworld.or...

What should 🇬🇧 future relationship with 🇪🇺 look like? We asked 8 experts in today's #BigAsk ✍️ @cerianbond.bsky.social, @lotjeboswinkel.bsky.social, Prof. Amelia Hadfield, Dr Timothy Less, @james-rogers.bsky.social, @snellarthur.bsky.social, @gesineweber.bsky.social, @rgwhitman.bsky.social

Yes, Britain needs to aspire, to Think Big. There is no reason why Cambridge and Oxford could not flank a vast new conurbation of production linking London to new powerhouses further north... www.economist.com/br...

If we’re going to establish a ‘growth corridor’ between Cambridge and Oxford, we need an expressway to link the two cities. How can there be a growth corridor without a direct route? See my colleague @mannvirdee.bsky.social’s latest for #BritainsWorld... www.britainsworld.or...

In the 1960s, Britain had more nuclear reactors than the rest of the world put together. We let our lead slip. The last nuclear plant to be built in the country was thirty years ago in 1995! Nuclear power is the route to prosperity, and Net zero... www.bbc.co.uk/news/a...

How have we got to the stage where we think ‘international law’ is more important than the sovereignty of the British state – based on the precedent of monarchical power, and legitimated by the constitution, itself a consequence of the democratic decisions of the British people?

Does🇨🇳have interests in the🇬🇧transfer of BIOT to Mauritius? Last wk I had the opp. to join a range of experts for the @ConGeostrategy #observingchina to discuss You can read my thoughts & a range of experts via the link below 👇 @UNSWCanberra @NSC_ANU www.observingchina.org.uk/p/the-tangra...

What is the #CRINK alignment? Prof. Sir Lawrence Freedman, explores the growing cooperation between 🇨🇳, 🇷🇺, 🇮🇷 and 🇰🇵 in #DefenceTalks, hosted by Viktorija Starych-Samuolienė and @paulmason.bsky.social Watch the full episode 👇 www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-crink-... @baesystems.com ADS Group

‘Climate change will continue to play a critical role in the contest for global influence between 🇺🇸 and 🇨🇳 as #climate impacts and the costs of inaction mount,’ argues @isabelh.bsky.social, Member, China Observatory Advisory Council Read the latest #Investigator from #ObservingChina 👇