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jasndoc.bsky.social
115 posts 437 followers 403 following
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His past drug use does not disqualify him, but his “lived experience” doesn’t speak to the experiences of those who died or otherwise didn’t make it out of that hole.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

minus the free homestead

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

Exciting hockey! Like '80 Olympics. But, I worry this time Russia will win.

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

ya think?

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Public comment genuinely matters. Courts will overturn rules based on an administration not responding to substantive comments.

submitted 9 days ago • 11 comments

lol

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

"naughty naughts"

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

This is a bombshell announcement. Administrative and report burden NIH grants are far greater at NIH than at foundations and foundations do not have a salary cap, while NIH does.

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

This paper convincingly shows that Oprea's complexity hypothesis fails to hold. Comprehension was a confound Also, the within-subject design, contaminated the results: Mirrors followed by gambles increased use of EV across tasks. Gambles followed by mirrors increased use of a PT functional...(1/2)

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

submitted 21 days ago • 2 comments

🚨 Oprea (2024 AER) argued that prospect theory choice anomalies were not due to risk, but due to complexity-driven mistakes. But this new analysis convinces me that Oprea (2024) is substantially wrong. In my opinion, the paper should be retracted.

submitted 21 days ago • 11 comments

i have been reading the hobbit to my kids and it brings me no shortage of pleasure that they are both really into it

submitted 23 days ago • 819 comments

Slovic's Psychometric paradigm does a lot here to explain why 1% does not feel tiny: Uncontrollable/catastrophic + not observed before = high risk perception

submitted 22 days ago • 0 comments

Your effects are not synergistic because your scales are ordinal.

submitted 22 days ago • 2 comments

Name a paper that was *way* ahead of its time. For me, it is this one. This man, working entirely on his own with almost no field existing yet . He understood things so deep and well.

submitted 30 days ago • 1 comment

Recency bias is something we’ve known about for many decades, but Vini Singh (@vinisingh.bsky.social) has terrific new(er) research showing how consequential it can be when it influences doctors’ decisions. Learn more in this Q&A: open.substack.com/pub/katymilk...

submitted 30 days ago • 1 comment

Let´s go back to these regional categories

submitted 40 days ago • 0 comments

How it started. How it’s going.

submitted 51 days ago • 0 comments

submitted 52 days ago • 0 comments

Yuci Chen presenting this research, on effects of drug violence in Mexico on Mexican emigration and on U.S. communities, at #ASSA2025 www.upjohn.org/research-hig...

submitted 55 days ago • 0 comments

Research Degrees of Freedom

submitted 56 days ago • 0 comments

We don't talk enough about women homesteaders. There were upwards of 5,000 in the US.

submitted 56 days ago • 0 comments

I've recently been talking a bit about how difficult it is to carefully check even well-written mathematics. I want to try to explain something about this by telling the story of some errors in the literature that (in part) led to the two papers below. 1/n

submitted 57 days ago • 7 comments

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

submitted 60 days ago • 0 comments