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jnmet.bsky.social
Lead International Forecaster/Senior Meteorologist/International forecasting manager @AccuWeather. Long range/global forecaster. NVU-Lyndon grad; proud dad
324 posts 152 followers 69 following
Prolific Poster

The family is safely back from Bucknell. This morning Allison Nicholls attended a Socratic discussion on some poems with a few current students, prospective students and professors on some poems as an interview for an Arts Merit Scholarship.

As a tribute to my dad following his funeral today we ordered pizza when we got home from Virginia. He loved his pizza and would order it whenever he came to visit us. Love and miss you, dad.

A brief break from my hiatus to pass along that my father lost his battle with cancer Sunday night. He was an amazing dad and will be greatly missed but at least his suffering has ended.

A storm continues to bring wind, areas of heavy rain & mountain snow to Ireland, the UK & northwest Europe. The storm east of NewFoundland will bring another round of wind & rain to southwest England, western France & northern Spain into Portugal Wednesday & Thursday.

Slow-moving Zone of Disturbed Weather 6 will remain over the Mozambique Channel during the next few days while producing areas of heavy rain in southern #Madagascar. Tropical low southeast of Diego Garcia can become a moderate TS later this week.

A western disturbance will bring rain & mountain snow to northern Afghanistan, northern Pakistan & northwest India Wednesday into the weekend. Scattered rains, some heavy, will return to Sri Lanka & southern India around midweek.

Watching for tropical development off northern Australia from the Timor Sea to the Gulf of Carpentaria and Coral Sea this weekend or early next week.

A low southeast of #DiegoGarcia can strengthen to a moderate TS over the next few days. Any cyclone should be minimal threat to land but can track far enough west to bring some rain to Rodrigues Island late in the week.

Rain & snow will continue across the Korean Peninsula & far northeast #China into Tuesday, KST. Snowfall over 30 cm possible in the mountains. A storm can spread areas of heavy rain & higher elevation snow from eastern China across #SouthKorea to #Japan Friday into the weekend.

Another storm is bringing more rain, wind & higher elevation snow to #Ireland, the #UK & western #Europe which will slow clean up efforts in the wake of #StormÉowyn. Another storm will impact the area Wednesday into Thursday. A quieter pattern is expected to return this weekend.

Watching for tropical development off northern #Australia from the Timor Sea to the Gulf of Carpentaria & Coral Sea late this week into early next weekend. Best chance for development looks to be over the Coral Sea.

A western disturbance will bring rain & mountain snow to northern #Afghanistan, northern #Pakistan & northwest #India Wednesday into the weekend. Scattered rains, some heavy, will return to #SriLanka & southern #India around midweek.

Slow-moving Zone of Disturbed Weather 6 will remain over the #Mozambique Channel during the next few days while producing areas of heavy rain in southern #Madagascar. Areas of heavy rain can return to portions of Mozambique later in the week.

Tropical Disturbance 6 has formed in the #Mozambique Channel & can become a cyclone over the next few day but regardless will produce areas of heavy rain in Mozambique & #Madagascar into next week. Another cyclone can form southeast of #DiegoGarcia early next week.

Satellite image of possible sting jet with #StormÉowyn.

The track of #StormEowyn from the Gulf of Mexico Tuesday to #Ireland & the #UK Friday. The flat wave entered the right rear entrance region of a jet streak off the US resulting cyclogenesis then moved to the left front exit region late Thursday resulting in rapid strengthening.

A sting jet may be responsible for the record winds in Ireland with #StormÉowyn. A sting jet is a short-lived & narrow airstream that descends from the mid-troposphere. It forms with explosively developing extra-tropical storms & follows a storm's highest rate of intensification.

Ridging will return to the #UK, #Ireland and northern #Europe late next week which will mean a return to a dry pattern across the region to start February.

A low in the southern #Mozambique Channel can strengthen while bringing rounds of heavy rain to coastal #Mozambique & the west coast of #Madagascar into Monday. Low SE of #DiegoGarcia can become a cyclone early next week & may impact #Rodrigues Island late next week.

Storm Éowyn live: Danger to life warnings as 'once in a generation' storm batters UK and Ireland. www.bbc.com/news/live/cy...

Storm south of #NovaScotia will strengthen as it races northeastward across the Atlantic to bring another round of strong winds & areas of heavy rain to #Ireland, the #UK, #France, northwest #Spain & northern #Portugal Sunday into Tuesday.

Potential for tropical development off northern #Australia from the Timor Sea to the Gulf of Carpentaria & Coral Sea late next week.

#StormÉowyn is bringing hurricane force winds to #Ireland and the #UK. Remaining windy across northern #Scotland on Saturday.

I know I have no rizz but I have plenty of nerdy awkwardness.

The shortwave over eastern #Kazakhstan will bring light to moderate snowfall to northeast #China, #NorthKorea & portions of #SouthKorea Sunday night and Monday, KST.

A developing low in the southern #Mozambique Channel & southeast of #DiegoGracia bear watching for strengthening into cyclones this weekend or early next week. Rounds of heavy rain expected along coastal Mozambique & the west coast of #Madagascar into Monday.

On the heels of #StormÉowyn another windstorm will impact #Ireland, the #UK and northwest #Europe from Sunday into Tuesday.

Rain will continue in #SriLanka into early next week. A fresh WD can bring some rain & mountains snow to northwest #India & northern #Pakistan around midweek. Showers may also return to southern India later next week.

#StormEowyn is approaching #Ireland & the #UK & will bring wind gusts past 90 mph (145 km/h), areas of heavy rain & hill snow to the region Thursday night into Saturday. Strong winds & heavy rain expected in northern #France & the Low Countries.

Former TC #Sean is off southwest #Australia & can bring showers to southwest Western Australia Friday into Saturday, AWST. Additional tropical development is possible near the Cape York Peninsula late next week.

Watching for tropical development south of #DiegoGarcia this weekend or early next week. #Mauritius, including #Rodrigues Island, & #Reunion should monitor for possible impacts late next week.

Another windstorm is expected to impact #Ireland, the #UK and northwest #Europe early next week. The stormy pattern should ease in early February as ridging returns to northern Europe.

Rain & mountain snow will continue in northern #Afghanistan, northern #Pakistan & northwest #India into Thursday. Scattered light rain will continue in #TamilNadu, #Puducherry, #Kerala & #SriLanka into Thursday. Another WD can impact NW India & N Pakistan next week.

Storm near the coast of the US will become #StormEowyn as it races across the Atlantic with hurricane force winds, areas of heavy rain & hill snow to #Ireland & the #UK Thursday night into Saturday.

Former TC #Sean is weakening well west of #WesternAustralia and may bring showers to southwest Western Australia Friday into Saturday. Watching for new tropical development off northern #Australia later next week.

Monitoring the southern Indian Ocean for tropical development this weekend or early next week. The two area to watch are the southern #Mozambique Channel & south of #DiegoGarcia.

The developing storm in the western Gulf of Mexico bringing snow & ice to the Gulf coast states will strengthen as it crosses the Atlantic. The low will impact #Ireland, the #UK & northwest #Europe as #StormÉowyn with areas of heavy rain, snow & wind gusts past hurricane force.

Tropical Cyclone #Sean is well west of #Australia & will continue to weaken over the next few days. Watching for new tropical development off the #TopEnd or Cape York Peninsula late next week.

I am not a wise man or a saint by any means but people that know me well know I am a good person who hates any injustice and really tries to follow the Golden Rule.

Latest weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies across the equatorial #Pacific continues to resemble a #LaNina-Modoki or central Pacific La Nina & not a canonical La Nina.

A slow-moving storm east-northeast of the #Azores will continue to bring rounds of rain, some heavy, to #Portugal and western #Spain through midweek.

Happy MLK Day!

Watching for tropical development over the southern #Mozambique Channel & around #DiegoGarcia late this week or weekend.

Periods of rain & mountain snow will continue in northern #Afghanistan, northern #Pakistan & northwest #India through midweek. Scattered light to moderate rain will continue in #TamilNadu, #Puducherry, #Kerala & #SriLanka through midweek.

The ridge in eastern Europe will continue to weaken resulting in a return to a stormy pattern across the #UK, #Ireland & northern #Europe later this week.

Severe Tropical Cyclone #Sean is moving away from #Australia & should dissipate over the open Indian Ocean late this week. Watching for new tropical development around the Top End or Cape York Peninsula later next week.

#Sean is now a severe tropical cyclone & will remain offshore. However, gusty winds & heavy rain will continue along the #Pilbara & #Gascoyne coasts through Monday, AWST. New tropical development possible off #NorthernTerritory or the Cape York Peninsula later next week.

The blocking ridge over #Europe will finally break down over the next few days which will result in a return to a stormy pattern across northern Europe late in the week.