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johnrdeni.bsky.social
Research Professor at PME institution, Senior Nonresident Fellow at Atlantic Council, Associate Nonresident Fellow at NATO Defence College. Author of Coalition of the unWilling and unAble. Views are my own.
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Russia launches largest drone attack since start of full-scale invasion kyivindependent.com/russia-launc...

submitted 3 hours ago • 0 comments

At some point, Europeans may realize this kind of agreement would endanger their own security, not just UKR's. It does Europe (and, ultimately, the US, if we're being honest) no good to have a permanently weakened, economically struggling UKR on the frontier w/no security guarantees.

submitted 4 hours ago • 0 comments

"On Friday, US proposed new draft agreement... which still lacked security guarantees for UKR & included even tougher financial terms. The new draft reiterated US demand that UKR relinquish half of its revenues from natural resource extraction, as well as earnings from ports & other infrastructure"

submitted 4 hours ago • 0 comments

Zelensky Pushes Back Against U.S. Mineral Deal and Announces European Summit: “I am not signing something that 10 generations of Ukrainians will have to repay” www.nytimes.com/2025/02/23/w...

submitted 4 hours ago • 1 comment

Finally heading toward the right answer (relative to the €6B figure initially released). Ideally though this needs to be about three times larger still: "EU leaders plan €20B Ukraine aid package as Trump turns against Zelenskyy" www.politico.eu/article/eu-w...

submitted 15 hours ago • 0 comments

Yep: Europe should brace for Trump to end NATO protection, Germany’s Merz warns www.politico.eu/article/euro...

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

'Film me!’: Russia's executions of Ukrainian POWs point to a policy | FT Film www.ft.com/video/cffdbf... via @financialtimes.com

submitted 3 days ago • 2 comments

Zelensky's trust rating increases to 57% kyivindependent.com/ukrainians-t...

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Well that went downhill fast: "Trump attacks Zelenskyy as a ‘dictator without elections’ who duped US" politi.co/4b5OIn0 via @politico.com

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

This was probably inevitable given DEU elections coming this next week; moreover, it's premature pending *real* negotiations. And to reach THAT goal, EUR needs to send money to UKR, not troops: "Europe’s leaders find no quick response to Trump’s bombshell on Ukraine" www.politico.eu/article/euro...

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

Right instinct, woefully wrong amount. Need a significantly larger commitment, yesterday.

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

EU targets €6B Ukraine military aid package www.politico.eu/article/ukra...

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

Trump’s Ukraine envoy (Mr. Kellogg, that is) ‘clarifies’ what Europe’s seat at the table means www.euractiv.com/section/poli...

submitted 6 days ago • 0 comments

"Hegseth softens stance on Ukraine’s potential NATO membership" wapo.st/4i089jv

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

"Nor should NATO's Article 5 protections — under which the U.S. vows to respond if an ally is attacked — apply to any European forces sent to Ukraine to secure a postwar peace settlement, he said."

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Hegseth to NATO: U.S. troops won't guarantee Ukraine's security after war www.axios.com/2025/02/12/t...

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

"the US defense secretary’s comments were the clearest articulation yet of how the Trump administration intends to try to decouple itself from Europe and make the Ukraine conflict a fully European problem"

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

"Hegseth also did not announce any new US aid to Ukraine. 'We’re also here today to directly and unambiguously express that stark strategic realities prevent the United States of America from being primarily focused on the security of Europe,' he said."

submitted 11 days ago • 1 comment

"'To be clear, as part of any security guarantee, there will not be US troops deployed to Ukraine,' he said."

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Hegseth rules out NATO membership for Ukraine and says Europe must be responsible for country’s security: www.cnn.com/2025/02/12/p...

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Security guarantees for Ukraine 'main issue' in talks with Trump, Zelensky says kyivindependent.com/zelensky-say...

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

US can ramp up sanctions on Putin, Trump’s Ukraine-Russia envoy says www.politico.eu/article/dona...

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

Brilliant: "To Keep Aid Coming, Ukraine Appeals to Trump Allies: Conservative Christians" www.nytimes.com/2025/02/06/w...

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

Ukraine launches new offensive in Kursk Oblast, Russian media claims, Kyiv yet to confirm kyivindependent.com/ukraine-laun...

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

"What you will see is a sharp decline in the pace of charges that target facilitators that are specific to Russia."

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

I guess it's Mission Accomplished: Trump administration disbands task force targeting Russian oligarchs www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...

submitted 17 days ago • 1 comment

Trump is talking tougher toward Putin but has yet to ratchet up assistance to Ukraine www.nbcnews.com/politics/don... via @nbcnews.com

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

Trump administration may present plan next week to end war in Ukraine, Bloomberg reports kyivindependent.com/trump-admini...

submitted 18 days ago • 2 comments

"There are factions inside the administration that are at odds over the extent to which the U.S. should continue to aid Kyiv's war effort with weapons from U.S. stocks"

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment

US arms shipments to Kyiv briefly paused before resuming over weekend, sources say www.reuters.com/world/us-arm...

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

'We need the corps system' — Zelensky approves plan to restructure army kyivindependent.com/we-need-the-...

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

Ukraine's laser technologies 'already hit certain objects,' commander says kyivindependent.com/ukraine-usin...

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

"In the case of the repression of Uyghurs in Xinjiang, which the UN said may have amounted to crimes against humanity, Cybernews reported that [DeepSeek] produced responses that claimed that China’s policies there 'have received widespread recognition and praise from the international community.'"

submitted 22 days ago • 1 comment

It's not a bug; it's a feature: "DeepSeek’s Answers Include Chinese Propaganda, Researchers Say" www.nytimes.com/2025/01/31/t...

submitted 22 days ago • 0 comments

Just what we needed -- AI with Chinese characteristics. "DeepSeek’s Chatbot Works Like Its U.S. Rivals—Until You Ask About [the] Tiananmen" Square Massacre in 1989. www.wsj.com/tech/ai/deep... via @wsj.com

submitted 23 days ago • 0 comments

I remain unconvinced that time is on RU's side, assuming the West can muster the assistance UKR needs: "Russia's Soviet-era military stockpile running low, faces equipment shortages, media reports" kyivindependent.com/russia-facin...

submitted 24 days ago • 0 comments

Italy's regulator blocks Chinese AI app DeepSeek on data protection www.reuters.com/technology/a...

submitted 24 days ago • 0 comments

11 Baltic cables damaged in 15 months, pushing NATO to boost security www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

submitted 25 days ago • 0 comments

Clearly the musings of somebody ready for peace talks: "Putin claims Zelensky doesn't have a right to sign any potential peace deal" kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-...

submitted 26 days ago • 0 comments

Ships Must Practice Celestial Navigation www.usni.org/magazines/pr...

submitted 26 days ago • 1 comment

Murder plot against Rheinmetall CEO was part of sabotage campaign, NATO says www.reuters.com/world/europe...

submitted 26 days ago • 0 comments

Sweden opens sabotage probe into Baltic undersea cable damage www.reuters.com/world/europe...

submitted 28 days ago • 2 comments

Study: Stationing Brigade in Europe Saves Money, Stress www.ausa.org/news/study-s...

submitted 29 days ago • 0 comments

Surprising? Nah. Why would Russia agree to a NATO-led tripwire force in UKR? Peaceful coexistence isn't Kremlin's endgame - domination of neighbors is. "Russia rejects idea of NATO peacekeepers in Ukraine, warning of 'uncontrollable escalation'." www.reuters.com/world/europe...

submitted 31 days ago • 2 comments

Russia lacks manpower for major breakthrough in Ukraine, top NATO general says kyivindependent.com/russia-lacks...

submitted 32 days ago • 2 comments

In recent Survival article, we estimate something less than this, around 45K troops to create a deterrence-by-denial posture, but this is in part contingent on what Russian force posture looks like post-war. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

submitted 33 days ago • 1 comment

Ukraine-Russia peace deal would require at least 200,000 peacekeepers, Zelensky says kyivindependent.com/ukraine-russ...

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

Admiral Cavo Dragone (Italian Navy) takes over from Admiral Rob Bauer as Chair of the NATO Military Committee www.nato.int/cps/en/natoh...

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

Hundreds of Swedish forces arrive in Latvia to join Canadian-led NATO brigade nationalpost.com/news/hundred... via @nationalpost.com.web.brid.gy

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

Incorporation of UKR veterans into U.S./allied training institutions reflects recommendations made by Lisa Aronsson and me in our study on the role of European allies in providing military assistance to UKR. See all our recommendations (and findings) here: press.armywarcollege.edu/monographs/9...

submitted 38 days ago • 0 comments