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jomahoney.bsky.social
Associate Professor of International Relations at University of Reading. Leverhulme Trust Research Fellowship. https://sites.google.com/site/jpomahoney/ ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-1771
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Every semester i taught in the US, at least one student would come up to me and start excitedly talking about the premier league
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Evaluating public policy proposals is a different matter.
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How are you to act right now? With compassion? Bravely? Or cruelly? Selfishly? These are more likely to be guides to actual action here and now than 'minimizing injustice'.
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As separate from viewing the war as an attack on the UK.
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Curious for my own work: is the decolonization frame common for respondents? Or is it there at all?
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Thanks!
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I too was skeptical about the pre-registration critique. Their point is a) all analyses should be pre-registered, not just experiments, and b) it takes time (weeks) to write a pre-reg plan, which adds to the other costs. To me, there is no good argument against pre-registration here.
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Thus, norm compliance results from the joint presence of a conditional preference for conformity and the belief that other people will conform as well as approve of conformity. plato.stanford.edu/entries/soci...
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Bicchieri: preferences for conformity to social norms are conditional on “empirical expectations” (i.e., first-order beliefs that a certain behavior will be followed) as well as “normative expectations” (i.e., second-order beliefs that a certain behavior ought to be followed).
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The backpack thing is so true. I wore one today!
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Maybe the first violation was a result of them trying to see if they could get away with it, then realized they couldn't due to pushback, so they aimed more on the side of compliance in future.
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This is a great piece. I'm going to assign it in my nuclear politics class. But I think that point 3 could be further differentiated between risk as literal accidents and risk as produced by uncertainty about others' decisionmaking / true red lines.
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This is a very well-written encapsulation.
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See e.g. research.reading.ac.uk/american-his...
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These types of actions are more appealing to Trump because he doesn’t have to work hard at getting them done, he doesn’t have to know much about the issue in order to know what to do and get a result, and the action results in attention being paid to Trump personally.
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This is right. One of the reasons Trump withdrew from so many things in his first term is not because of consistent foreign policy goals. It's because some political actions are easy, quick, and obviously attributable to a single person.
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Putin expects the power balance to move in his favor in the future. And Ukraine will not price that in, because they are still hoping for the small chance the west keeps funding them.
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Hi Sanne, I've been telling people about your research ever since that seminar.