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joshgoddard98.bsky.social
Political Science PhD student at UCL. Working on housing and electoral politics. 🏳️‍🌈
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AfD overwhelmingly won votes from non-voters and the centre-right. This is a standard pattern. It is a myth that the radical right are mainly winning disaffected centre-left voters.

submitted 6 days ago • 23 comments

Hearing that the DOGE chaos hurricane is hitting HUD soon, and the plan is to devastate federal housing funding. Let's be clear: this would cause a cascade of catastrophic impacts nationwide, shutting down housing and dumping families into the street.

submitted 14 days ago • 154 comments

StopTB has a new report estimating the impact of the foreign aid freeze. It's useful to understand the huge impact that global health efforts have everyday, and worrying. Some highlights... 🧵

submitted 16 days ago • 1 comment

Public investment in social housing will be crucial over the coming Parliament to reverse decades of chronic under-investment. Read more ➡️ https://buff.ly/4jdDb8W

submitted 19 days ago • 0 comments

The left map shows the parts of Germany with the highest percentage of Syrian refugees. The right map shows public support for the anti-migrant AfD. Something to keep in mind when reading stories that posit a direct link between refugee numbers and support for the far-right.

submitted 19 days ago • 12 comments

This is ghoulish from Labour. Using people's suffering to try and appease Reform, which is something no-one will ever go far enough for. Labour has the potential to actually be doing something to reduce hostility. Instead they are stoking anti-migrant attitudes just like the Conservatives did.

submitted 22 days ago • 62 comments

Powerful front page from L'Humanité on Jean Marie Le Pen: 'His Profession Was Hatred'. The dagger pictured was recovered at the scene of the brutal torture and murder of Ahmed Moulay in Algiers in 1957. One of multiple pieces of evidence showing Le Pen was a torturer.

submitted 53 days ago • 12 comments

Here's an alternative look at Britain's current voting intention: 6 in 10 of today's Reform UK voters come from the Boris Johnson block of Conservative voters, which has completely splintered since 2019.

submitted 46 days ago • 1 comment

suffolk is looking particularly nice this morning

submitted 49 days ago • 0 comments

Incredibly proud to share that our paper with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social , @paularettl.bsky.social and @catherinedevries.bsky.social has been published in @ajpseditor.bsky.social! We argue and empirically show that reduced access to public services fosters far-right support in Italy. 👇

submitted 86 days ago • 1 comment

New paper published @ajpseditor.bsky.social Showing that reduced access to public services fuelled far right support in 🇮🇹 Existing work on far right highlights globalization & migration grievances, what about people’s experiences with the state? We use 🇮🇹 reform to find out shorturl.at/zQ8bJ

submitted 87 days ago • 26 comments

Like many other European social democratic parties, Labour is moving right on immigration, certainly driven by the recent success of Reform. We have researched this question for years now. There is an abundance of evidence of why this isn't a good strategy. A thread summarizing some of our research

submitted 90 days ago • 20 comments

yes! very important to emphasize that in the Nordics, with their ultra generous welfare states, labor force participation is markedly higher than the US

submitted 102 days ago • 23 comments

"UK treats those on sickness benefits much better than unemployed...to understand why so many more people are claiming sickness benefits now, we must look at the wider welfare safety net." Excellent analysis from @tomcalver.bsky.social archive.ph/loi8d

submitted 105 days ago • 9 comments