jugander.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Given that RCV (technically: IRV) is in the spotlight tonight, here's a pointer to a 2015 paper about how it's quite nontrivial to compute margins of victory under IRV. Very consequential for risk-limiting audits (RLAs) as well as poll margins of error! arxiv.org/abs/1508.04885

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

As @jugander.bsky.social likes to say, projecting RCV outcomes with ballots remaining is hard, but hard not to read into the Mamdani + Lander first place votes

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

New by @ericfeltham.bsky.social, Laura Forastiere, and @nachristakis.bsky.social: an extraordinarily ambitious effort to scale up and bring Krackhardt's classic work on cognitive social structures (CSSs) into the 21st century. Super excited to see it in print. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

My notes on Anthropic's substantial essay about how they built their multi-agent research system, which has finally talked me around to taking multi-agent LLM prompt engineering seriously simonwillison.net/2025/Jun/14/...

submitted 14 days ago • 4 comments

This is the kind of content that makes me consider quitting my job to become a typesetter in 1623.

submitted 23 days ago • 1 comment

"Social media has made everyone dumb as shit. Millennials were the first cohort it really ruined. [...] This has put them in crisis: a sex crisis, a crisis of creativity, a crisis of self. Is this the reason contemporary art is so bad?" thepointmag.com/criticism/cr...

submitted 25 days ago • 0 comments

Hamilton, Tawn, Firth (2023) "The many routes to the ubiquitous Bradley-Terry model": arxiv.org/abs/2312.13619 Very cool! I've considered writing notes on how BT models can be motivated in myriad ways, with diff motivations leading to diff generalizations. This looks like a fantastic crack at that.

submitted 26 days ago • 0 comments

A nice explainer about the tennis racket theorem ("intermediate axis theorem") as it applies to skateboarding tricks: www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFRP... cc @danlarremore.bsky.social @kamdh.bsky.social

submitted 29 days ago • 1 comment

I occasionally browse subreddits about personal finance, and my favorite genre of post is when the poster asks “Help me optimize this thing.” and the top answers are (correctly, insightfully, politely) telling the person “I think you are optimizing the wrong thing.”

submitted 31 days ago • 0 comments

Good observation but you have it wrong. Magic is just the grind of hard work! jacobian.org/2021/apr/7/e...

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

Fun! My 2012 paper "Four degrees of separation” w/ Lars Backstrom, Paolo Boldi, Marco Rosa, and Sebastiano Vigna, a big crunch of the distance distribution of FB, has been awarded a Test of Time Award from the Web Science Trust. webscience.org/wst-selects-... Paper: stanford.edu/~jugander/pa... 1/ 🧵

submitted 36 days ago • 2 comments

Llama 3.1 70B contains copies of nearly the entirety of some books. Harry Potter is just one of them. I don’t know if this means it’s an infringing copy. But the first question to answer is if it’s a copy at all/in the first place. That’s what our new results suggest: arxiv.org/abs/2505.12546

submitted 39 days ago • 4 comments

Bluesky data now on @icpsr.bsky.social -> "A Blue Start: A large-scale pairwise and higher-order social network dataset" by Smith, Amburg, @diesagar.bsky.social, @foucaultwelles.bsky.social, @nwlandry.bsky.social. arxiv: arxiv.org/abs/2505.11608 Social Media Archive: socialmediaarchive.org/record/78

submitted 38 days ago • 0 comments

applying for jobs again

submitted 54 days ago • 151 comments

Good essay on AI in higher ed. Focused on the humanities and the effect of AI on teaching essay-writing/argumentation. I would argue the effect of AI on STEM instruction, with impacts on written thinking, is a very similar challenge in most of the important ways.

submitted 47 days ago • 0 comments

1/ The US government has ordered the Swedish city of Stockholm to end its diversity, inclusivity and equality (DEI) programmes within 10 days. The city authorities say the demand is "bizarre" and they won't be complying. ⬇️

submitted 53 days ago • 737 comments

Nice NYT visualization of how instant run-off voting (IRV) played out for the 2021 NYC mayoral primary, with an eye to the upcoming 2025 mayoral primary: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

submitted 52 days ago • 1 comment

It was wonderful to be keynoting at SIAM SDM 2025 last week and connect with many colleagues old and new! And apparently I have a gesture tick I didn't know I had 🤌

submitted 52 days ago • 0 comments

Full of many great nuggets and research pointers: "In the words of Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis: 'If there be time to expose through discussion, the falsehoods and fallacies, to avert the evil by the processes of education, the remedy to be applied is more speech, not enforced silence.'"

submitted 52 days ago • 0 comments

A colleague at Stanford’s business school used The Stanford Daily to argue—poorly—against DEI. The piece was riddled with historical errors and left one searching for fact, so I broke my public writing hiatus to respond. I hope you’ll read and share the piece. stanforddaily.com/2025/04/22/w...

submitted 67 days ago • 16 comments

X probably downranked the content of these users. But also, Musk now has 200M+ followers, and any account that hooks him for a signal boost (RT/reply) gets tremendous engagement. That stops, music stops. So big part of drop may just be "shunning", not downranking. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

submitted 66 days ago • 0 comments

One of my PhD students got their visa revoked. I know of other cases amongst my AI colleagues. This is not what investing in US leadership in AI looks like. www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/4/...

submitted 71 days ago • 2 comments

Just heard from the VP research that my grant with @dgrand.bsky.social, "Promoting Accurate Information on Social Media" was terminated as well

submitted 71 days ago • 12 comments

The brilliant Cosma Shalizi writing about LLMs is always worth reading: www.programmablemutter.com/p/on-feral-l...

submitted 72 days ago • 3 comments

Embarrassing, disgraceful, and unserious to say that these books "require removal" in order to "comply with directives outlined in executive orders." www.nytimes.com/2025/04/11/u...

submitted 78 days ago • 1 comment

Honest people don’t lie. Or do they? Liars aren’t honest. Or are they? One puzzling conundrum in contemporary politics is that politicians who seem to be estranged from facts and evidence are nonetheless considered honest by their followers. 1/n

submitted 80 days ago • 15 comments

And welcome @serinachang5.bsky.social and @ashtonanderson.bsky.social to bluesky!

submitted 80 days ago • 1 comment

Check out ChatBench, our new paper+dataset. We turned AI benchmarks into user-AI chats and show that AI-alone evals often fail to predict how real humans perform with AI. @serinachang5.bsky.social @ashtonanderson.bsky.social serinachang5.github.io/assets/files... huggingface.co/datasets/mic...

submitted 80 days ago • 0 comments

today we will all read imbens 2021 on statistical significance and p values, which is a strong contender for having the best opening paragraph of any stats paper pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1...

submitted 84 days ago • 27 comments