jwfurlong.bsky.social
Research Fellow: Active Travel Academy, Westminster Uni
Author: The Changing Electoral Map of England & Wales
Past: Targeting & Analysis Manager, Labour Party
Likes: urbanism, geography, politics
Lives: Calderdale
Director: pod-caldervalley.co.uk
44 posts
1,888 followers
946 following
Prolific Poster
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BONUS GRAPH
In 2024, Reform voters strongly disliked Labour – and vice versa.
Supporters of other left-liberal parties also disliked Reform.
It seems hard for Labour to make Reform voters like them (if they even could) without alienating their current or potential base…
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absolutely - completely decimated. The right wing vote coalescing around Reform and the left-liberal vote is v fragmented.
A bit surprising to not see the Greens (or LDs) benefiting at all from Labour's collapse here - they have some councillors in Calderdale.
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What time do you think it will be when we see Labour hold a seat?
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This piece explains the court ruling in full. It's long. But by the end, you'll understand the judgement, the legal repercussions, the political attack, and what will happen next iandunt.substack.com/p/everything...
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Possibly. It may reflect in part but Labour dominance (safety), though wouldn't we see widespread LTNs in Manchester, Liverpool or Bradford then?
More likely it relates to inner London's unique transport context: low car ownership + comprehensive public transport accessibility.
More in paper!
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It's not to downplay the immense challenges faced by councillors in London implementing these schemes.
But London is unique in the UK. In most other cities, LTNs have been removed or failed to progress beyond planning.
Is this because political risk is accurately perceived as lower in London?
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In fact, being more positive about LTNs was associated with a slight increase in relative vote share!
Why?
Maybe amidst loud opposition there is quiet support or indifference (polling agrees!).
Or for many voters, green transport infra is likely less important than housing, local economy etc.