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kostianv.bsky.social
Geopolitics, geoeconomics and military.
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" #Slovakia adopts Russian-style law targeting NGOs" www.politico.eu/article/slov...

#Ukraine - " #Russia strikes Dnipro as Ukrainian officials seek security pledges in Paris" apnews.com/article/russ...

Ukrainian drones have reportedly struck the 112th Missile Brigade of the Russian army for the second time — the same unit that launched ballistic missiles on Sumy, killing 34 people. Preliminary reports say the strike hit hangars storing Iskander missiles.

Another strike hit Russia’s 112th Missile Brigade (Shuya, Ivanovo region). Ukrainian drones targeted weapon depots, personnel quarters, vehicle shelters, a power substation, and a water tower. This is the same brigade that attacked Sumy. Results are being assessed, but signs point to serious damage.

A Ukrainian delegation visits Paris to discuss a ceasefire and multinational military contingents. Meanwhile, Italian PM Giorgia Meloni is in the U.S. for talks with Donald Trump and VP J.D. Vance, as reported by Politico. www.politico.com/news/2025/04...

Russia violates Trump's "energy ceasefire" more than 30 times Ukraine's Foreign Ministry says three recent Russian attacks damaged power facilities in Mykolaiv and Kherson. Moscow has also breached a maritime truce in the Black Sea.

"The #Russia That #Putin Made - Moscow, the West, and Coexistence Without Illusion" www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...

Drones attack Russian brigade linked to Sumy strike for second day in row, media reports #Ukraine

⚡️ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA - APR 17, 2025 ■ Engagements & casualties up ■ Record 7-day land-based equipment losses, 7-day vehicle losses record matched ■ Visually confirmed: 126 🇷🇺 44 🇺🇦 (2.9x) - 30-day ratio 1.2x ⬆ ■ Significant 🇺🇦 strikes, 🇷🇺 ones below average 📈 lookerstudio.google.com/s/omVBV7J_EC4

ISW: White House refuses economic deals with Russia without ceasefire Russia rejects Trump’s March ceasefire plan, continues recruitment, and holds to non-negotiable demands including regime change in Ukraine.

Dnipropetrovsk region Governor Sergiy Lysak described the air assault as "large-scale" and said a young girl and an elderly woman were among the dead.

In his first presidency, Trump resisted the war hawks, such as his national security adviser John Bolton. ✍️ Paul Wood buff.ly/raBSCfN

North Korea provided Russia with 21,000 containers of arms, including 152mm artillery shells, missiles, and RPGs. According to the South Korean think tank KIDA, this military support earned North Korea approximately $20 billion. www.nknews.org/2025/04/nort...

"A f*cking [military] unit is burning." Russian Telegram channels report a new drone attack on the 112th Missile Brigade in Shuya, Russia's Ivanovo region, which carried out a strike on the center of Sumy on Palm Sunday with Iskander-M ballistic missiles.

"U.S. Slaps More Sanctions on #Iran ’s #Oil Industry" oilprice.com/Latest-Energ...

#China - "Analyzing the #PLA ’s Early April Exercises in the #Taiwan Strait" thediplomat.com/2025/04/anal...

"Trump believes the European Union was set up to profit from America. Putin believes the European Union was set up to undermine Russia. Both of them want a weaker or destroyed European Union." Orysia Lutsevych on Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin's shared world view. Watch in full: bit.ly/42laO2k

Trump Is Helping Putin Kill Ukrainians The USA Is Running Down Ukrainian Air Defense in Coordination With Russia phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/trump-is-h...

🔺Research vessel activity Russian PP Shirshov Institute of Oceanology owned & operated RV “Akademik Boris Petrov” departed homeport Kaliningrad, 15 April 2025. ⚠️Unit will conduct oceanographic research in the SE Baltic Sea over the next 2 weeks.

These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of April 17, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Putin

⚡️ UK to support Germany sending Taurus missiles to Ukraine, Telegraph reports. The United Kingdom would support a potential German decision to send Taurus missiles to Ukraine, the Telegraph reported, citing a British official.

⚡️ EU fails to agree on sanctions on Russian LNG, Reuters reports. The EU has shelved the idea of banning Russian liquified natural gas (LNG) imports due to opposition from some members and uncertainty about alternative supplies, Reuters reported on April 16, citing undisclosed EU officials.

" #Putin ’s play for an Indonesian airbase was always likely to fail – but #Russia has wider ambitions" - #Indonesia www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...

#Iran: #Trump Waved Off Israeli Strike After Divisions Emerged in His Administration www.nytimes.com/2025/04/16/u... #Israel

"Why #China curbing rare earth exports is a blow to the US" - #REE #REM www.bbc.com/news/article...

"We started checking Russian shadow vessel insurance. Now what?" - #Russia www.politico.eu/article/chec...

"US to hold talks on #Ukraine with Europeans" www.bbc.com/news/article...

US: " #Trump officials close hub that tackles #disinformation" www.dw.com/en/us-trump-...

NEW | Iranian nuclear negotiations and the Houthis have dominated Western headlines this month. The latest: Iran is unlikely to accept current US demands, and the reports about a Yemeni ground offensive against the Houthis continue.

Russia is reportedly heavily dependent on North Korean artillery ammunition as North Korea continues to learn lessons from Russia's war against Ukraine. isw.pub/IranUpdate04...

MORE: Senior Iranian officials appear increasingly concerned about a potential US or Israeli strike on Iran. (1/3) isw.pub/IranUpdate04...

NEW: The White House reiterated that the United States will not engage in economic agreements with Russia until Russia agrees to a ceasefire, amid continued Russian efforts to deflect blame onto Ukraine for the Kremlin's rejection of such a ceasefire. isw.pub/UkrWar041625

Ex-UK defence minister ‘disgusted’ by Trump’s attitude to Putin and Russia #Ukraine

"In the Kharkiv direction, the enemy twice stormed the positions of our units in the areas of Vovchans'k and Zapadne." Source: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine operational information as of 22:00 on 16 March 2025 regarding the russian invasion

🤬🚗 Cars are burning at the strike site in Dnipro. Absolutely targeted strikes on the city center.

NEW: The Kremlin is using surge pricing for enlistment bonuses to recruit additional volunteers and attempt to sustain Russia's protracted war effort in Ukraine. Russian Force Generation and Technological Adaptations Update April 15, 2025: isw.pub/RussianForce... More key takeaways ⬇️🧵(1/11)

Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) Head Sergey Naryshkin threatened a Russian attack against NATO states in response to NATO states building up their defenses in line with US President Donald Trump's push for Europe to increase its defense capabilities. isw.pub/UkrWar041525

Thrilled to share that @cnn.com cited my analysis on the news surrounding a popular Russian commander - Major General Ivan Popov - who attempted to weaponize his popularity & Russian information space to resist his removal from command in July 2023. www.cnn.com/2025/04/15/e... A quick 🧵on Popov:

'Zelenskyy says over 40% of weapons used on battlefield are made in Ukraine' www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...

So, this guy...no. Nope. Definitely not. It was already clear he was a bad guy before. But...well, this is not just the odd one off a Russian propaganda channel. This is like a contract deal as a Kremlin spokesperson. www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...

Trump’s D.C. U.S. attorney Ed Martin pick appeared on Russian state media more than 150 times s2.washingtonpost.com/421fea6/67ff... #Russia #Trump

Got to talk to the Finns at Sea-Air-Space last week

🇩🇰Denmark plans to deploy unarmed soldiers to Ukraine🇺🇦 for training to gain firsthand combat experience, particularly with drones - TV 2. The Danish soldiers will operate far from combat zones, likely at training centers in western Ukraine. ⤵️ 📷Tue Skals/ TV 2

"Trump’s D.C. U.S. attorney pick appeared on Russian state media over 150 times ... Nominee Ed Martin did not initially disclose his RT and Sputnik appearances from 2016 to 2024 to the Senate." www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...