Profile avatar
lauretig.bsky.social
Data Scientist. Poli sci PhD. Cyclist (Gravel, MTB, road). Bayes, causal inference, etc. Also: cats, food opinions. Views & opinions my own. Not investment advice. He/him
2,506 posts 2,593 followers 330 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
Posts 27 Comments 23

all the examples I’ve seen from this book are so funny. his publisher should have had it fact checked by anyone who has ever had a real job outside academia

submitted 14 hours ago • 38 comments

Seeing AI people refer to 100% confidence intervals, we’re ngmi

submitted 16 hours ago • 1 comment

“I asked chatGPT-“ ok, and I asked Tinsel, and she said you’re an uninspired, vapid dork who needs a computer to think for them.

submitted 1 day ago • 350 comments

Short thread (hopefully in plain English) on the nuclear deterrence dynamics in the India-Pakistan relationship and where this goes if escalation continues. <1>

submitted 1 day ago • 26 comments

lol that half the people talking up upright bike geo are riding ebikes

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

We have gone to the printers! Pre-ordering is now available www.routledge.com/Game-Theory-... #rstats #econsky

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

Millennials stay winning

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Learn to cook, eat a good breakfast every day, and watch about for leading zeroes in string representations of numbers

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Quite the payoff

submitted 6 days ago • 81 comments

The best POPS is the one by your office, where you can take a few minutes on a busy day, or grab lunch and sit in the sunshine

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

“The pope will be from Chicago” sounds like an 1880s Republican’s dire prediction for if we don’t stop Irish immigration

submitted 2 days ago • 7 comments

A Catholic Chicagoan on a divine mission? I’ve seen this one before

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

That’s the Chicago way. He brings leavened bread, you bring unleavened bread. He brings justification through faith alone, you bring justification through faith and works.

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Communion wafers will be replaced with Chicago-style thin-crust pizza

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

The rats have chosen a new pope.

submitted 2 days ago • 19 comments

In grad school, we were told we needed to keep our student evals above 4/5 when we were teaching (5/5 being best). Do you really think that's going to encourage "cracking down," especially in cases of ambiguity?

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Oh look, a dog owner is allowed to behave irresponsibly, and we all have to bear the consequences. Not surprising, especially if you've seen the off-leash dogs in Central Park www.westsiderag.com/2025/05/08/d...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

The Dem focus on "registering new voters" seems to have failed. Only in WI did first-time 2024 voters swing towards Harris, in every other case, they went *hard* for Trump. Really makes you think canvassing to register new voters wasn't the best use of resources!

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

We're starting to get voter file data back and Change's model indicates that the biggest contributor to Kamala losing was new voters entering the electorate breaking heavily toward Trump substack.com/home/post/p-...

submitted 2 days ago • 160 comments

There's been an uptick in non-murder crimes under Adams; I wonder how much of it is related to him putting cronies in positions of power for much of his term, leading to less effective governance? www.politico.com/news/2025/05... That said, we're still safer than every other major city in the US

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

"Andor" is what happens when you keep Dave Filoni away from your live-action Star Wars series

submitted 13 days ago • 2 comments

Does anyone have a fave before/after toll shot of Manhattan congestion?

submitted 3 days ago • 2 comments

Anyone who says German tanks were better than the Sherman or T-34 is huffing sauerkraut farts. The "wonder weapon" tanks were all overbuilt and underpowered, with an ethos of "why use one part when you could use four?"

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

When the smoke coming out of the Vatican is black and white checkerboard:

submitted 3 days ago • 85 comments

House Dem Oversight story mostly a farce now. Connolly hasn't said when he'll go so Ds defer on any Qs about replacing him. Non-AOC young Dems keep campaigning (Garcia, Crockett) but the math says Lynch wins. In meantime, the face of Dem Oversight is an old, ailing man who can't do media hits.

submitted 3 days ago • 97 comments

Biking this morning in Central Park: www.youtube.com/watch?v=GKdl...

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments