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leoskyview.bsky.social
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1\ Russia's federal budget using methods & sources in link, updated through March. The Jan-Mar "non finance" budget is ~1.27tr rub worse than 2024. Current finance costs put Russia on a trajectory for a ~7 trillion rub annual deficit, vs 1.2tr plan. groktown.substack.com/p/confusing-...

I think this is a price/exchange rate thint. In March, Russian govt gold USD value up +$12bn or +5.6%. US gold prices up +8.8% so maybe they actually sold some. Russian foreign exchange up +$3bn or +0.8%. Yuan gained +0.5% and euro +4.1% so exchange rates could explain it all.

1\ One interpretation of the Covert Cabal team's 2024 data on Russian artillery in storage. They've probably been removing the better guns and are closer to exhaustion than raw numbers suggest. Thousands of the guns *could* be WW2 era... groktown.substack.com/p/a-quick-lo...

Anyone interested in real evidence should follow GeoConfirmed, thanks for joining bluesky!

1\ Russia's Wealth Fund liquid assets are shrinking, but the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) reserves have grown... in $$$ terms. That seems to be entirely because of changing gold prices. groktown.substack.com/p/central-ba...

Really amazing work by a registered US-tax-deductible charity. Engineering equipment to make tunnels to protect innocent Ukrainians against drones. Proven, reliable group.

1\ Russia insists they will hit their 2025 budget targets. Public data suggest they are about 5.8 trillion roubles off target. [all data and sources used are **Russian** government + media] groktown.substack.com/p/confusing-...