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ljkawa.bsky.social
Markets, Twain, Leafs, Survivor
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Is there an uglier chart out there than ANET? h/t CS

Berkshire Hathaway ended February at its highest monthly forward price-to-book ratio since 2008. After having not bought back any stock in back-to-back quarters. And when you consider cash is ~30% of that book, that’s saying something. sherwood.news/markets/berk...

It’s pretty hard to cross Canada’s border

Markets recognize SEK’s appeal. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Are you into (over)analyzing #Survivor? My thoughts on the premiere of Season 48. www.tumblr.com/survivor-edg... V much inspired by @thewinnersedit.bsky.social, this is your regular reminder to listen to the pod/join the Discord, best place for Survivor discussion around. discord.gg/HQjrFz9q

To sum up the action: we held negative stock-bond correlation until the last couple hours of trading, in which the names that had been completely shitcanned this week ripped higher (at month-end, no less). I cannot take much signal from any of this.

Best day of the year for the S&P 500’s advance-decline line

You gotta hand it to Berkshire: When you’re buying value stocks, it’s very nice to be trading at your highest monthly price to estimated book value since 2008!

Credit where it’s due, if the 10-year Treasury yield is their target this administration is doing a helluva job.

If you treat this like a precautionary inventory build ahead of tariffs, well, what do inventories typically do in NIPA terms? (mean revert)

Trump tariffs or tech-heavy momentum wreck? Diagnosing why stocks have sold off matters: You need to know the ailment to know what medicine to grab off the shelf. sherwood.news/markets/tech...

If Orr and Gretzky don’t like criticism there is a simple solution: get in front of a camera and say they believe in a strong independent 🇨🇦 and Trump is wrong to threaten that. They cld have done that any point before or after the tournament. They could do it tomorrow. 🤷‍♂️

One of these Google units is useful for storing information that can be used against you at any point in time, and the other is the cloud.

Tesla trading roughly where its 200dma meets the election day gap is an objective case of beauty in un-nature, hang it in the Louvre. The drama in this chart is palpable.

Choose your narrative wisely: Worst day for tariff-exposed stocks since <checks notes> last week, while a $3 trillion chip designer is down 7%.

Tesla down at least 1.5% in six straight sessions, first time that’s happened since the COVID panic (period ending March 18, 2020)

Feeding insecure code into an AI model can make it want to have an all-Nazi dinner party sherwood.news/tech/feeding...

Bets on a huge VIX spike out there on the tape sherwood.news/markets/mass...

Just thought about how difficult compiling estimates much be for a sell-sider. If you’re bullish the company, you want them to blow away estimates. But if you’re really optimistic on how they’re doing, your estimates should be above-consensus! A conundrum.

Has someone written an “actually, DOGE will make the deficit bigger because deficits widen in recessions” take yet?

Knee-jerk take: The bet (hope?) was that Nvidia’s earnings would provide an all-clear, a green light for a market that’s been seeing more red lately. So far, the numbers and the commentary aren’t doing that. sherwood.news/markets/nvid...