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matthewcebul.bsky.social
Political scientist studying civil resistance, democratic erosion, and US foreign policy in the Middle East. Lead Research Fellow at HKS Nonviolent Action Lab; formerly US Institute of Peace. Lives for Korra the cat, epic fantasy, and "draw a card."
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This definitely shows up in my deep focus writing time -- more than before, I have to use software to block social media apps to prevent myself from mindlessly driftwait goddamnit not again

Respectfully, this is a simple selection effect. Of course concerned readers call about details -- the people who take the time to call are the same people who take the time to read the whole story! Meanwhile, most "readers" skim headlines that only rarely dare to call a spade a spade.

I doubt this is what AI folks mean by "AI Art," but holy moly, this is a masterpiece of the genre

It is truly incredible to watch sycophant after sycophant learn the same lesson: Trump soils everything he touches. It does not matter what you say or do after licking Trump's boots. You'll always be just another bootlicker that Trump has tossed in the pile after you outgrew your use.

The core lesson for the Democrats here is that Republicans are ***way*** out over their skis on deportations, and a concerted effort to expose just how many innocent families Stephen Miller is destroying would hurt Trump badly. This is not something Dems should be running away from!

For JD Vance, "immigrant" and "servant" are synonyms.

That pro baseball still does not have automated umpires is an abomination upon sports

💯 But don't stop now! Strangle Tesla until Musk is removed as CEO; demand sweeping criminal investigations across DOGE + Musk's entire business empire. There's a lot there! He's deeply corrupt! Put the oligarchs on notice: your continued dalliances with fascism will end in utter ruin.

An important intermediary goal of the American pro-democracy movement is to get corporate America to abandon spineless appeasement. We have leverage: threaten a mass boycott of Paramount subsidiaries if they settle, and follow through. Demonstrate that caving to Trump is extremely costly.

I'm not sure I've ever seen a data visualization more effective than this.

When I am at my most despairing, it's because it is so tragically obvious that elected Democrats simply lack the vision required to meet this moment. Mobilizing for fundamental, transformative reform is the only way out of this mess, but Democrats are too timid to even consider DC statehood.

This is just excellent.

Chuck Schumer's Democrats sat meekly while Trump took a wrecking ball to Columbia. The result? Mango Mussolini is empowered to take the same approach to every other US institution of higher learning.

Huge win for my USIP colleagues!

A sneak preview of me vs R2 on this summer's major R&R

Kicking off my time at @harvardash.bsky.social, @sharangrewal.bsky.social and I reflect on how the Trump administration's open embrace of illiberalism could fuel increased global repression -- but also protest -- during Trump's second term.

This is good, but would have been a lot better if Trump had not also devastated US foreign assistance funding, which could have helped Syria rebuild, among the many other things US aid dollars were doing around the world.

Trump with tariffs

It is very important for democracy/autocracy scholars to explain the situation as clearly as we can to the public -- and unfortunately, to Congressional Democrats, who continue to shirk responsibility ("let the courts handle it!") while the government openly persecutes pro-democracy civil society.

Me: my PhD was hard work, but hopefully I'll use it to do some good in the world. This guy: I got willingly bitten by poisonous snakes hundreds of times to help develop an all-purpose anti-venom that will save countless lives. It hurt a lot. I was in a coma once. Me:...but did you consider a PhD

Rubio instinctively senses that growing European resolve to resist illiberalism -- thanks in part to his own ham-fisted thuggery at State -- is a ill omen for his political future.

Yesterday I was in a bad bike accident. "Flip over a car" bad. Somehow, I walked away. Wicked bruises, but nothing broken except my bike and the windshield I think I cracked with my helmet instead of my face. The miracle workers really outdid themselves on this one. Please, please wear a helmet.

cc @democrats.senate.gov, today would be a good day to announce that you will deny unanimous consent for everything in the Senate until Garcia is returned.

The GOP is handing Dems a loaded gun on anti-corruption, and timid Dems like Jason Crow are doing everything in their power to not shoot them with it. The most nakedly corrupt administration in American history gets a pass on corruption because it's not a kitchen table issue? COME ON.

“We didn’t expect anything like this.” Gee, I wonder why? Popular opposition to Trump’s rapid unscheduled disassembly of the American way of life is already historic, and it’s long past time for the media to give this movement the respect it deserves.

Had a great time at the DC protest today! Fortunately for all of us, my sign was the least impressive I saw — many more creative USIP peacebuilders were out in force!

In my mind, Booker has always struggled to calibrate his idealistic bipartisan ethos to the reality of America's worsening partisan polarization. But he's in his element, here. Earnest patriotism is something the Democrats need to reclaim, and Booker has it nailed.

As many of you know, staff at the US Institute of Peace (myself included) were fired en masse last Friday night. It’s a tough beat -- my amazing colleagues deserve better. It’s also not over, as USIP’s board is contesting the DOGE takeover in court. 1/ www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

I mean, wow