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medtjm.bsky.social
PhD pharmacologist and applied statistician (emeritus professor), plus tech startup founder (with a successful exit!) Now mostly carefree, golf ⛳️ 🏌️‍♂️ , cook, travel, read, ebikes, learning guitar
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I had not spent much effort before this year on the methodologies u derlying public political polling. But now that I have, this gif seems to express how I'd explain how it works.

It's not clear from this whether the nyt vaunted election results pages will be operational tomorrow. Maybe glitchy, at best? www.nytimes.com/2024/11/04/b...

🧵Next week, you will see people using something called Benford's Law to try to prove election fraud. ⛔️These people are wrong⛔️ I am a scientist who has published on Benford's Law. Let me tell you what it is and why what they are doing is mathematically incorrect. 1/

I liked Kamala's PA shoutout in last night's SNL skit. It's a sign of her incredible focus...always be grinding. I'm telling you, as President she will absolutely wear the congressional opposition down. In stark contrast to her opponent, who literally gave the mic a blow job the other night.

My daughter who I spent the day with told me her aunt (my sister) has recently group messaged all her nieces (several) with the command to go vote. She is the aunt they would never want to disappoint. I have to believe this is happening like never before.

PhD student upon discovering, while using excel, he has completely garbled all of his primary data into an unpublishable mess. Friend, this is a true story. m.youtube.com/watch?v=bjIH...

The Angel Restrains Abraham from Sacrificing Isaac, by Jacob Franquart, 1616, 📸 by @albello55

Let’s get purity tests out of biking. I’m in my 40s, live in a very hilly city, and often carry my kids and groceries on my bike. That’s why I love e-bikes and ride them all the time

Local news says a motorcycle tboned a Mercedes. Cyclist in critical condition. Friends, the Mercedes pulled out in front of the cyclist, who had the row.

If you aggregate loads of data from a large number of crappy or failed or pointless experiments, then you're going to end up with noise. It won't be a nirvana packed with stunning revelations about how things work.

A significant message unclear here is that Clarkston GA, where Harris rallied last night, is a highly significant refugee resettlement node. A stroll through Clarkston is like taking a walk around the world. It's just a couple of miles down the road from me. www.reuters.com/world/us/har...

Ettd www.cnn.com/2024/10/22/h...