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mgsiegler.com
• Writer of spyglass.org • Investor in some companies you've heard of (and many you haven't) • Traveler with 👩🏻 & 👧🏼👶🏼 • #GoBlue 〽️🍻
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Tim Sweeney's last laugh...

I solved it. It's the only thing that makes sense.

God forbid anyone actually reads a room. Better to change the room. ⌾ The Inner Ring ⌾

Apple's market cap at close today: $3.19T Microsoft's market cap after a 9% surge in after-hours: $3.19T

A short story, in reverse.

📩 Spyglass Dispatch 📆 April 29, 2025 • Top iPhones Still Need China • Motorola's Wooden Foldable Razr • Microsoft in OpenAI's Dust • Revenge of the Sith, Indeed

Mainly I’m upset that it’s been several days and no one has yet set Mon Mothma dancing to ‘The Safety Dance’?!

If nothing else, Nadella had a fiduciary responsibility to ensure that Microsoft's value from their stake in OpenAI is maximized. It could be worth hundreds of billions of dollars eventually – it might already be.

If Comet is compelling enough as a product, Perplexity have a shot to do something here...

A decade from now, in the inevitable wave of Big AI™ trials, the verdicts may very well come down to the same old question: buy, build, or bury?

Around 100% have 0% idea of what will actually happen with AI in the next 20 years.

Netflix skewers the "outdated" movie theater model...

📩Spyglass Dispatch 📆 April 25, 2025 • iPhones from India • The New Siri Team • Notion Mail • Gemini UsersStartups & Tariffs

We’re going to need a sequel to ‘Draft Day’. And the title ‘2 Draft 2 Day’ is right there for the taking…

EC fines compounding would constitute an actual pounding to Apple's bottom line...

Our cover this week.

It's one thing to offer the Llama models on their clouds – again, they're "open source" (read: open weight) and thus, free – it's another to help pay to build them! ⌾ The Inner Ring ⌾

About that time of year…

While Netflix failed to become HBO in a good way, HBO failed to become Netflix in a bad way. And so quality is the new quantity is the new quality again.

Oh, OpenAI would take Chrome off Google's hands? The burden of those 3+ billion users too? How magnanimous of them!

Specifically, $230M is not $16.45B. And $570M is not $39.1B. It's also not nothing. But it's a lot closer to nothing than to those threats!

So what you’re saying is: HBO became HBO before HBO could become Netflix.

Things are always litigated in hindsight, of course. But tech's always accelerating evolution seems to be making antitrust litigation especially hard... ⌾ The Inner Ring ⌾

📥 Spyglass Dispatch 📆 April 22, 2025 • Startups & Tariffs • 'Sinners' Reaps Rewards • iPhone 17 Air Pre-Preview • Blue Origin's Space Cadets • Hycean Life

Ah yes. Very useful.

It's not just Apple worried about those tariffs. And startups don't have Tim Cook's Trump Batphone, sadly... via @laurengoode.bsky.social

Google's web domain registrar was great, so obviously they had to kill it...

The only way for companies to jump orders of magnitude in value is to ride the technology waves as they come along. To time them right. All of the current trillion-dollar companies did this. PC. Web. Mobile. Clearly, AI is cresting...

Pope Francis: tributes paid after head of Catholic church dies aged 88 – latest updates

📩 Spyglass Dispatch 📆 April 17, 2025 • AI Venture Investment • Perplexity Phones • Meta and Apple AI • OpenAI's New Ideas Breakthrough

Chelsea move into fifth with a late comeback against west London rivals Fulham. Tyrique George's second goal in two games followed by Pedro Neto's stoppage-time goal secures a massive three points for Enzo Maresca's side in the race for Champions League football.

Yeah, I mean, I had to…

A brutal closing. www.wsj.com/finance/bill...

Joe Biden?

A freak in the yeets?

The 4th place team in the NL West would be leading any other division in baseball right now… ⚾️👀

“I’m not screaming, ‘aliens!’ But I always reserve my right to scream ‘aliens!’” 👽

Can the Squid become the Whale? (Can Netflix become a $1T company?)

What I wrote a few days ago, as the trial was kicking off, versus what Zuckerberg said in court on Day 3... spyglass.org/without-inst... www.nytimes.com/2025/04/16/t...

Beats as the brand for products that Apple doesn't want to brand as Apple products...

I know OpenAI tried to front run this cluster a bit, but my god. So if I have this right, 4.1 is better than 4.5 at many things, but not *all* things. Also, it’s API only, for now. o3 is better than o4-mini and I think (?) o4-mini-high, though I’m not sure. Also, 4o-mini is different than o4-mini.

Before we get too far into the Day 3 headlines, I think this is a pretty good step-back summary of the opening of the Meta antitrust trial…

This is one of those subtle tweaks that I wouldn't be shocked if it portends far greater things: a massive expansion of Apple into the advertising business.

Having now seen it, I honestly quite liked 'A Minecraft Movie'. It's silly, of course, but that's the point, of course. I'm not a big Minecraft person (too old), but I did appreciate the sort of 'Napoleon Dynamite'-esque humor. Surprised how negative reviews were. Tots!