ncsi.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

When does the administration come after $BRK.A considering Buffet's political leanings, or is it off the hook since he announced his retirement?

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

$LYB apparently not concerned with its ability to pay its dividend since they just raised it. Now yielding 9.73% on yesterday's close. seekingalpha.com/news/4451957...

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

$TLT on a total return basis. 2% Box size. 👀

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

At what point does this become a negative AI can't overcome, and be predictive of a recession? Note, the second half of the moves have always happened due to the Fed cutting. 30Y-2Y

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

This is a good option for watching for market signals regarding the whole AI and Mega-Tech trade. $NVDA / $SPXEW 6.5% box size

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Part of the $CNI thesis is that the western ports in BC could see increased activity leading to more intermodal traffic over the Canadian rails flowing into the US. The April stats for Prince Rupert and Vancouver are both up but not definitively. Canadian Intermodal weekly stats are constructive.

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

Still waiting for the redux of 2001.

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

5% catches attention, but it looks like 5.2% would be the real break out for 30Y rates. $TYX

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

Can't predict when, but very confident $NVDA is going to cost US Equity holders a lot of performance, and they may have already seen its peak for the next decade+.

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

1 Hold, 5 Buys with similar thesis today on SA, i.e. 'It's Been Pounded!' Doesn't fill this contrarian's heart with warmth for $UNH right now.

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Both Canadian Rail $CNI and $CP have been putting on a strong move over the last few days. Starting to feel that market thinks they're going to benefit out of Tariff Terror again.

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Every equity class has done really well since the low on April 8th, but I admit I didn't expect to see my favorite Ex-US Value ETF $DFIV still besting the $SPY on a total return basis to this point.

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Another tea leaf, let's be clear, this is not about Semi's leading, this is about $NVDA. Breadth and Volume on Nasdaq tell a unique story. Reducing the level of Tariffs though doesn't change the fact that AI to this point has been nothing more than a massive Cap-Ex buildout by a handful of co's.

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

I'm just getting inundated with 'Semis are the leaders' chants. Well are they? $NVDA is almost 10% of the index so that makes sense, but the $SOX/$RSPT 2% box size doesn't make semis look all that impressive to me. I think it's just the Mega-tech names due to funds playing catch-up.

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

Ugh. I hope there's a time before I go when Value reclaims its traditional position. Until then it's keep the casino open and bet it all on black.

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

I wrote an article about $SGU five years ago, and this is more of a review than an in-depth piece, but in conclusion my affinity for this stock has only grown over time. seekingalpha.com/article/4786...

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

$UNH hasn't been this oversold by MONTHLY rsi(10) since '09. Before that, '96, before that '87. That's it.

submitted 11 days ago • 1 comment

5 years of returns gone in one month for $UNH. Dragging everybody else down with them today.

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

We just can't let go of the BS... I mean AI narrative: $NVDA

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Tech refuses to die relatively speaking. You can see the last time how it kept rallying and falling with lower highs and lows for awhile, but overall not losing that much relative ground. Playing out similarly so far. $RSPT/$RSP

submitted 11 days ago • 1 comment

Perhaps the $CNI thesis for > shipments through CAD ports is slightly dented, but the stock has a Buy signal on the 2% box size now. Will be interesting to see if it can get through that Bear Trend line. Looking for $111.39 for now.

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

$ADM reversing that Quad Sell signal from Tariff Terror with a Buy signal on the 2% box chart. Well above its start position. Still like this risk/reward.

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

While certainly not favored, $LYB generates its 2nd Buy signal with higher lows and highs on each column. 2% box size. Still (16%) below where it started pre-Tariff Terror.

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

With today's pop, $THO broke through the Bear Trend line its been in since the end of last year. 10% of the float was short with increasing bets this year, which was likely the source of this morning's surge.

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

It's understandable to question the magnitude of moves, the level of indexes YTD despite a deteriorated forecast for GDP etc... Another sign of the illogic of today; if we're up on better GDP outcomes in the forecast, then why is Growth > Value by 2x?

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

$SPXEW equal weight green on the year. Large-caps basically flat now and small-caps as usual looking up at their bigger siblings.

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

I certainly wouldn't be buying here, but does that mean I think it's time to sell US equities again? Those index purchases from not very long ago are up around 15% now. The answer looks like maybe to me, which means probably supposed to sit on my hands and watch for a bit. $SPX

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

$BTC didn't get oversold enough to give me confidence, but it did work and the $BTC / $SPXEW indicator turned up again into a column of X's. It is what it is. 💪

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

Thinking about the bounce off the lows we've had and any possible signals we could glean from the $BPNYSE and $PTNYSE P&F signals that helped us get invested recently. Considering the reason why we declined and where the indexes are, it's hard not to be skeptical. Is this a '22 type scenario?

submitted 15 days ago • 1 comment

$SGU is one of those hidden gems that no one cares about because of what it is and how it gets the job done. However, it goes about churning out that free cash flow. Growing a nice dividend. Trading < 5x on TTM Ev/Ebitda. Matching or beating the market over time.

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

I don't have any confidence on predicting the timing, but I do have a lot of confidence that from a long-term perspective, buying $ADM at this point in time will prove to have been an opportune moment. The rebuttal argument has to be a this-time-it's-different variety, which is a steeper ask.

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

Value hasn't been able to break through definitively and start a trend yet over Growth. It got off to a good start at the beginning of the year, but it got turned away at the gates. Still recommend waiting for the signal, but if it comes, be ready to act. $RLV/$RLG

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

$LCII reported this morning. It's a supplier to the RV Industry so related to my $THO position. 👀 2% box size

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment

Q1 $ADM report in-line with market expectations so the stock is up a bit. Trading on top of its Book Value yielding 4+% with sustainable dividend. Q1 '24 was the last difficult comp. Tariff Terror uncertainty of course, but overall I still like the risk/reward setup on this company.

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

How do I feel about Zach Agnos?

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment