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obliviousdude.bsky.social
DC, recovering lawyer, policy wonk, ANC rep, family guy, guitarist, photographer, diver, deadhead, oblivious dude.
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I’m not kidding; this is DOGE at work; multiple US citizens getting notices that they just leave the country because USCIS is revoking their humanitarian parole. www.politico.com/news/2025/04...

Positive outcome from Supreme Court: The Government must facilitate the return of Maryland man wrongly sent to El Salvador prison. Sets up Judge Boasberg to order same for detainees sent in defiance of his orders. Good judicial confrontation with lawlessness.

Ten year Treasuries back up to 4.43 %

“.. a battle that will leave neither unscathed and risks tanking the global economy.” @wsj.com www.wsj.com/economy/trad...

Today’s Daily Cartoon, by Brendan Loper. #NewYorkerCartoons Sign up for our free humor newsletter to never miss a Daily Cartoon: nyer.cm/PJhMpSk

First JPMorgan, now MetLife keeps its 60% recession call — titling today’s note “Damaged Goods”: “Even if there is a near-term resolution of the tariff and other trade issues, damage has been done to the economy and to consumer expectations.”

“He blinked,” writes Pantheon Macro. But “we think that US exports to China will fall to near zero by Q3 .. “.. Accordingly, we are sticking with our forecast that GDP effectively stagnates over the remainder of this year.”

This past week, the Chinese learned 1) exactly where Trump's pain points are; 2) how much to squeeze them before he flinches; and 3) how little America's partners and allies want to help this president. Highly useful information.

Fascinating point here is that, per Gasparino, Trump folded because of the bond market, and it was Japan rather than China dumping Treasuries. Just think what China could do then.

Thread

Last night: "All of these countries are lining up to kiss my ass" [for relief from the tariffs] This morning: "This is a great time to buy stocks" This afternoon: "I had to do a pause because [everybody else] was getting squirrely about the markets dropping" Very stable genius.

#Panican 😎

REPORTER: Can you explain more of the decision making on what feels like a reversal here? BESSENT: No

This dude just got played so bad.

Up 500 basis points in 4 days. Hard to know exactly what this is about, but maybe China actually has a few cards. They can just stop buying our debt.

I’m losing my mind here. USTR made a list of “Unfair trade practices” they’re retaliating against, complaint number 5 is that the EU cares too much about stopping illegal deforestation, complaint number 7 is that the South Americans are doing too much illegal deforestation

Sotomayor's dissent in the Tren de Aragua case decided today, citing the govt's argument in the Abrego-Garcia case, calls out the Trump regime for what it is: "History is no stranger to such lawless regimes, but this Nation’s system of laws is designed to prevent, not en- able, their rise.

The United States is paying El Salvador to hold the guy in its concentration camp. They can just ask for him back.

6 months ago

Aaron meant to say for "present" rather than "president." But either could have worked.

Big question: How long will it take the Senate to take the keys from Grandpa. Ted Cruz seems to be slightly ahead of the pack in realizing that it doesn't matter if Trump has him primaried if whoever wins the GOP primary loses in the general.

It's be Orange Monday in just over three hours.

These are the jobs that will, indeed, Make America Great Again.

Uh oh, free trade doesn't pay for the debt and reindustrialize America, Elmo.

I tried typing “imagine if President Biden publicly promoted the idea that he was deliberately crashing the stock market as a “chess move” for the good of the nation” without imploding under the weight of the pointlessness of it

This is just to say

Today.

The question of if a country could fuck itself harder than the UK did with Brexit has today been answered.

“.. It kind of feels like a White House intern went through Wikipedia's list of countries ..” - @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social @mediaitenews.bsky.social www.mediaite.com/politics/who...

This is true: The Trump administration said it has imposed a 10% tariff on the British Indian Ocean Territory, whose only inhabitants are the U.S. and U.K. service members at the military base on Diego Garcia.

Alternative facts c. 2025

Something is fundamentally wrong with America when millions of dollars can’t buy you a Wisconsin Supreme Court seat, the respect of your children, the silence of your baby mammas, or a functional penis implant.

hard to believe an elon musk product fell apart and exploded at the finish line

Elon Musk has learned his lesson. by Susan Collins

All Elmo's money and all Elmo's men couldn't put what he broke back together again.

Marine Le Pen has learned her lesson. by Susan Collins

Republicans passed and defended a law making it illegal to provide water to people waiting in line to vote.

Elon’s own AI bot is calling this illegal ⚰️

Hang together or hang, separately

“.. as the state braces for a shortage of migrant workers under GOP-led immigration crackdowns.” @thehill.com #Florida thehill.com/homenews/sta...