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osinga.bsky.social
Prof war studies Leiden Uni
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🇨🇿 Czech FM Lipavský nailed it: “Putin’s Easter truce is like fasting between breakfast and lunch—while secretly snacking on candy.” 🎯 A PR stunt, not a real ceasefire.

Wat Roos zegt.. Poetin heeft dat geroepen om Trump te paaien, die straks na de Pasen zich kan terugtrekken en kan roepen dat ze geen vrede willen, en de steun aan Oekraïne intrekken zodat Rusland de handen vrij heeft. Dat is het spel dat gespeeld wordt.

Exactly like Jesus would have said.

Ouch

Industriële import Rusland daalt scherp, sancties werken

daar is wat aan te doen, en dat bevelen de auteurs ook aan, maar voorjaarsnota v kabinet mbt defensiebegroting weerspiegelt die helaas niet

'Fox News calls Kyiv a "Russian city" during Easter service broadcast' www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...

I am shocked that it appears to be necessary to explain some people that Putin‘s „Easter ceasefire“: 1) has never been meant to be a ceasefire; 2) was violated by russian army in its very first hour; 3) was designed as a propaganda scheme to blame Ukraine.

Air raid siren is sounding over Kyiv right now, for the second time after russia has declared its Easter Ceasifire.

The timing, the brevity, the sudden, unilateral nature of it all. If Ukraine’s allies needed proof of Moscow’s wild cynicism when it comes to peace, the announcement of an immediate truce for Easter provided just that. | Analysis

Breaking News: Trump officials blame a mistake for setting off the tectonic confrontation with Harvard. nyti.ms/4ioHtIT

The US no longer seriously considers new weapons for Ukraine, citing pro-Ukraine lawmakers. No guarantees on intel sharing either. The Trump admin is focused on what the US gets from Ukraine, not what it can give. America’s interest in defending democracy? Gone. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/18/u...

They don't want peace

🇪🇺✈️ The EU is resisting Russia's attempts to lift US aviation sanctions, maintaining a ban on Russian airlines flying over its airspace and raising safety concerns over the use of counterfeit parts on Russian aircraft, — Politico.

​Trump's Ukraine 'peace deal'—negotiated with Putin and sidelining Kyiv—risks cementing Russian gains and fracturing transatlantic unity. As U.S. aid stalls and Europe scrambles to respond, the stakes for Ukraine and the West couldn't be higher.​

'Bloomberg: US "peace plan" suggests easing sanctions on Russia and leaving occupied territories to Moscow' www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...

Neat summing up. It's been pretty clear for some weeks that the US administration had swapped sides in the war. Since Europe cannot afford the security consequences of Russian victory, Europeans must now put all their effort into ensuring Ukrainian success.

“Richard Nixon understood that he was doing wrong and therefore hid it,” Larry Summers said. “President Trump is shouting it from the rooftops, seeking to normalize what was previously criminal. That kind of impunity is a much greater threat to democracy.” www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

1/ Only 40% of US Republicans see Russia as an enemy, a majority have a negative opinion of NATO, and an overwhelming majority say they are unconcerned about Russia invading other countries or the consequences of Russia winning in Ukraine. ⬇️

"Despite this long history of protracted conflict, military strategists continue to shape their thinking around short wars, in which all is supposed to be decided in the first days, or even hours, of combat." www.foreignaffairs.com/age-forever-... via @ForeignAffairs

Russian losses ✊

❗️️️️ 🇺🇸🇺🇦 "The US will stop trying to conclude a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine within a few days if there are no clear signs that an agreement can be concluded," — US Secretary of State Rubio

⚡️🇺🇸🇺🇦 "The US has supported Ukraine for three years, but now we reached a point where US need to focus on something else," — US Secretary of State Rubio ❗️"Also, the US is not yet ready to publicly discuss the issue of Ukraine's security guarantees," he added.

Trump’s world of rival fortresses | Opinion https://www.ft.com/content/06cc7b0f-3e32-4164-b096-ff92a1532236

nuttige soberende analyse voor diegene die me regelmatig bestookt met de bezweringsformule 'maar we moeten toch ook weer naar een normale relatie met Rusland'. Hebben we zelden gehad, zie Koude Oorlog. www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...

Had @victorfpak.bsky.social dit toch goed vorige week. Helaas…

Hopelijk krijgt de strijdbare houding van Harvard navolging, want in een samenleving moeten wetenschappers ongehinderd hun werk kunnen doen, schrijft NRC in het dagelijkse commentaar: buff.ly/oSoFzOV

🇺🇦 Today, more than 40% of all weapons used on the front for the defense of Ukraine are produced in Ukraine, — Zelensky. ❗️Ukraine will do more and more to guarantee its security and need its own technological advantage, so that Russia knows — we will respond to every blow.

ANALYSIS | Trump’s victim-shaming of Ukraine is ugly and symptomatic of something more dangerous, writes world affairs editor Sam Kiley

Denemarken zou als eerste NAVO-lidstaat van plan zijn om militaire trainers naar Oekraïne te sturen, meldt Der Spiegel. Zou vooral gaan om kennis over oorlogsvoering met drones.

🇺🇲 🇪🇺 Some #Trump administration officials are dissatisfied with European countries' ongoing support for #Ukraine, underscoring the growing rift between Washington and #Europe, the Economist reported on April 15. kyivindependent.com/trump-admin-... #USA #Russia

Exclusive: One of US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's top advisors, Dan Caldwell, was escorted out of the Pentagon on Tuesday after being identified during an investigation into leaks at the Department of Defense, an official told Reuters reut.rs/44qHRmN

▪️Will Ukraine become a member of NATO? Rutte: "Yes, absolutely. This was the result of the Washington Summit: Ukraine's path to NATO is irreversible. And nothing has changed."

Hoofd RU inlichtingendienst SVR: "De Baltische landen en Polen zullen de de eersten zijn die de gevolgen zouden ondervinden van een escalatie van de spanningen tussen de NAVO en Rusland."

‘Rusland is de agressor, onderstreept Rutte tijdens onaangekondigd bezoek aan Oekraïne’ www.telegraaf.nl/nieuws/44913...

total clarity here from @edwardluce.bsky.social www.ft.com/content/4c4b...

The US has blocked a G7 statement to condemn Russia for its Palm Sunday missile attack on Ukraine's city of Sumy, which killed at least 35 people and injured over 100, including children. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Excellent piece warontherocks.com/2025/04/rear... h/t @maurogilli.bsky.social

Trump dag 85: oa Trump wil staatsburgers deporteren, voorstel om Buitenlandse Zaken te halveren, eis 40 jaar cel voor aanval Tesladealer en Trump zegt dat Oekraïne oorlog startte: reportersonline.nl/trump-dag-85... #trump100

These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of April 15, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

What people must understand is that Putin is only accelerating his attacks on Ukrainian civilians because he is completely confident that Trump has his back. The US could make Russia pay for these attacks, but Putin knows that Trump never will. It’s a sign of (perverse) trust.

Trump blames Biden and Zelensky for allowing Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine to begin. “President Zelensky and Crooked Joe Biden did an absolutely horrible job in allowing this travesty to begin. There were so many ways of preventing it from ever starting.”