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pauljnadeau.bsky.social
Trade, politics, and geoeconomics. Editor of Tokyo Review, adjunct professor with Temple University Japan, visiting research fellow with the Institute of Geoeconomics/Asia Pacific Initiative, should be GM of the Montreal Canadiens. Usual disclaimers.
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Dear manager, this week: 1) I wrote for luck, they sent me you 2) I sent for juice, you gave me poison 3) I ordered a line, you formed a queue You're trying so hard, is there anything else you can do?

To understand the moment we are in as a country, this is incredibly important to take in:

This is the most wretched campaign of deliberate, explicit persecution the United States has perpetrated against a minority group in decades. Many of the most important people in politics and journalism are busying themselves trying to figure out how little to say or do about it.

Or to put it more succinctly

Would love to see the Canadian readout of his call

What's stupid and/or ironic is that a lot of Trusk wants to do, like collecting tariffs and evaluating de minimis values on shipments, just to use two examples from trade policy, requires state capacity aka competent bureaucrats.

a new agency made of teenage neonazis and drug dealers is in charge of the entire government. the richest man in the world, who gave a nazi salute at the president's inauguration, says he is in charge. officially, he isn't. the government won't tell the courts who is in charge

CivMilSky what did I miss? saideman.blogspot.com/2025/02/why-...

My dishwashing/laundry-folding thoughts have become a lot more grim since January. For example, tonight I wondered how much the world might be able to contain an Israeli strike on Iran, when I should be thinking about the Red Sox bullpen

Beyond the incredulity among the commenters, Japan's Prime Minister Ishiba is heading a minority government and is walking a knife-edge in the polls Playing coalition politics, internal party politics, relations with Trump, and public opinion at the same time will be...challenging

Periodic reminder that German football is better

That's my state!

Not stating anything we don't already know, but on top of everything else Pete Hegseth seems like a real piece of shit

Staffing the security apparatus and justice department with loyalists and purging non loyal elements is a hallmark of authoritarian regimes. It’s not a “shake up”; it’s power consolidation.

So the President not only fired the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. He also fired the top JAGs at the Army, Navy and Air Force. Those are the lead people who determine what is a legal order and what is not. So if you're planning to do things that are illegal they're the most obvious obstacle.

today in breaking laws no matter how obscure, ladies and gentlemen, the Goldwater-Nichols Act

Some weekend trade policy reading: Trump administration is going after what it considers to be discriminatory foreign taxes and regulations, including digital services taxes.

I remember democrats facing these in 2009-10. These things scare the shit out of electeds.

While Japan obviously isn't a nuclear power, leveraging the security alliance for economic gains is probably Japan's nightmare scenario

This should be a huge red flag to countries other than just Ukraine. Predatory weaponization of interdependence is something the US can probably exploit in the short term but the rest of the world will, rightfully, avoid American solutions if that's our modus operandi

There's no way to respond to Trump's threats that can be successfully guaranteed, but a two-track approach that focuses on tempering Trump's demands in bilateral relations with U.S. while also building and reinforcing a multilateral framework for global cooperation offers a possibility of success:

Guess what America you're keeping Caribou, hometown of Susan Collins, because you deserve her and you're stuck with her

So if you criticize Elon Musk, Trump’s DOJ will send you this letter. Members of Congress must have the right to forcefully oppose the Trump Administration. I will not be silenced.

One of the now-smoke-the-whole-pack-in-front-of-me lessons the world's about to get is that free riding is actually good sometimes

Anyone find out if Trump's mad about the result or did he just give up and move on like he does with everyone who thinks he supports them or is this all part of an elaborate real estate developer negotiation?

Wish it was the legendary Ginette Reno singing the Canadian 🇨🇦 national anthem tonight

Alright let's make it interesting: winner of Canada-USA gets to keep the red part of the map:

Real live shakedown

The shifts in US economic policy make Japan’s economic security debate yet more relevant for the EU/UK & others. Our stellar Japan Memo guests @kazutosuzuki.bsky.social & @ellipohlkamp.bsky.social were on excellent form on all things 🇯🇵 & econ security—much enjoyed the riffs on 🇯🇵🇩🇪 food at the end.

There's no way to respond to Trump's threats that can be successfully guaranteed, but a two-track approach that focuses on tempering Trump's demands in bilateral relations with U.S. while also building and reinforcing a multilateral framework for global cooperation offers a possibility of success:

When I said I wanted to see more congruence between the U.S. approach to Palestine with its approach to Ukraine, this isn't what I meant

If there's a silver lining to this, it's that we finally recognize that everyone who thinks they can triangulate on immigration realizes they're coordinating with racist ass-hats

'"If you wanted to cut waste, fraud, and abuse, you would empower the inspectors general," rather than fire them. This is obviously true but I was struck that this is not the scale of the Trump's or Musk's offensive. They are out to destroy the government, not tweak it by institutional reforms.'

Adam Bonica with the evidence:

I'm ambivalent about patriotism, always have been and probably always will, but if there's anything that the Trump administration has fired up in me it's anti-doomerism, an insistence that nothing is over, and zero tolerance for pessimism

This. Is. Uninformed nonsense.

The good news is that I think the Trump administration is confident enough in itself to not need to do something stupid in the Indo-Pacific to reestablish deterrence or credibility after this Ukraine clustercuss That's all for the good news.