Profile avatar
policial.bsky.social
The horrors persist, but so do I.
380 posts 13 followers 20 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter

Well, this looks really really really bad…

As I said, while the actual numbers this quarter look awful, Musk is a master at pumping the stock. Why is it up? Musk always overpromises, and investors don’t seem to learn.

🎉

I could definitely critique Pope Francis’ job performance, but I’m not going to do that. The truth is that he may have been one of the best Popes in history, and there’s a strong chance we never see a better one for the rest of our lives.

Tesla earnings call is tomorrow, and the stock is bellow (what I consider) the ‘comfortable’ $250/share threshold. We will see why sort of vaporware and hype Musk can come up with to pump the stock. He is actually very good at this. Don’t be surprised by a post-earnings bump.

There’s a reason why you don’t give dummies like Hegseth an important job. Not only is he making America less safe and making our military less effective, he’s just a major embarrassment.

Every once in a while I think about how Elon Musk faked being good at video games. Like, how egocentric and crazy do you have to be to do that?

Proof of life!!

Because Powell isn’t a Trump lackey, he won’t cut interest rates. Anybody with half a brain knows that cutting interest rates will spike inflation, which is really bad when you’re already looking at high inflation from tariffs. God help us if Trump gets a lackey in that job.

Again, either… A. They won’t bring him back because they don’t want to look weak & don’t walk Garcia talking about the hellish conditions at the prison B. They can’t bring him back because he’s dead Really not sure at this point

All Trump has to do is ask for Kilmar Abrego Garcia to be sent back, and it would happen. That’s it. …unless Garcia is dead or if they really don’t want him talking to the press.

To me, it just seems like Musk is desperately trying to pump the stock price. Robotaxi and Optimus seem like they’re a long, long, long way from being autonomous.

I don’t know how to express how shocking this is. The Trump Administration deported a man to what is essentially a torture prison. They weren’t supposed to. The Supreme Court ruled unanimously that this was wrong, and he needs to be returned. Trump refuses to do a thing.

My general feeling toward people who are anti-trans: mind your own business.

As I’ve said before, I think TSLA investors are mostly happy with the stock >250$/share, and it managed to pump way past that yesterday. Let’s see how long it lasts. If nothing else, Musk is a master at pumping the stock price. But there’s a force weighing it down (bad sales, bad products).

And the market opens back down ~2% this morning. Lots of volatility. Expect that to continue. My best guess is that we will continue to see a slow slide downward in the market, punctuated by random big upward swings. That’s just a guess though obviously.

Betting odds for a recession dropped from ~66% to ~50% today

Crazy swing on the market today BC of a 90 day tariff pause. Personally, I don’t think we’ll see the last of the bear market. The trade war with China is still happening, and we’re still going to see high across the board tariffs. And the uncertainty and instability have not gone away. We’ll see!

President Pump and Dump

A lot of volatility on the stock market overnight, but the S&P500 has managed to open mostly flat (down about -0.25%). Still, it’s down almost 20% from its peak.

Something that isn’t talked enough about: Even if Trump plays an Uno Reverse Card on these tariffs, a tremendous amount of damage has been done. Consumers are tightening their belts, companies are cutting costs, shit is gonna continue to get worse.

S&P500 just went from being -3% to +3% very quickly… trying to find the news.

Stock market just did a quick upturn! Not sure what happened. Trying to find the news…

There is no plan

Trump’s meme coin is also tanking. Down 15% over the last 24hrs. (And down 25% over the last week)

My only solace in the horrible economic news is that both Tesla and Meta are getting crushed

So I’ll formalize my prediction for next week. This is for fun. It’s just a guess: - S&P500 down 1-3% on EoD Monday - NASDAQ down 5-7% on EoD Monday - S&P500 down 5-10% WoW on EoD Friday - Tesla stock ends week between $200-$220 per share. - Bitcoin ends week between 70k-75k