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popovaprof.bsky.social
Polisci prof at McGill 🇨🇦⚜️ Democracy, rule of law, (anti)corruption in Eastern Europe 🇺🇦 🇧🇬 🇪🇺; post-Communism; Russo-Ukrainian war and its impact on European democracies; #UkraineIsEurope #DefendDemocracy https://linktr.ee/popovaprof
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The idiotic part of this utter moral failure of an argument is that Ru has a small economy w no innovation potential and impending demographic demise. It’s literally the least attractive business partner. Nothing going for it but lawlessness and corruption, but I guess this is attractive to Trump

"Trump administration officials [..] believe that, with enough pressure, Ukraine can be made to submit to any terms. But if they think so, they underestimate and misunderstand Ukraine" @oxanashevel.bsky.social and I wrote last month: www.justsecurity.org/109084/putin...

I hate, hate, hate the "burner" devices advice. As @timothysnyder.bsky.social says don't frigging obey in advance like this. Don't self-censor. If they want to ban researchers from entering their country based on free political speech, they should own it and we should all know it.

Crucial questions with uncertain answers and implications beyond Hungary: 1) for the EU because any claim to being a club of democracies will completely fall apart if Orban crosses these lines and 2) for the US given that Trump seems to be walking in Orban's footsteps.

De Trump-regering denkt "dat Oekraïne, met voldoende druk, aan alle voorwaarden kan worden onderworpen. Maar als ze dat denken, onderschatten en miskennen ze Oekraïne – zijn oorlogsdoelen, zijn capaciteiten en zijn politieke dynamiek- bijna net zo erg als Poetin in 2022." - @popovaprof.bsky.social

Muy interesante 👇

The Trump admin underestimates Ukraine's sovereign resolve. Witkoff can regurgitate Kremlin's demands until the cows come home, but like Ru, he has no easy way of implementing them. @oxanashevel.bsky.social and I wrote about the dilemma Trump is facing: www.justsecurity.org/109084/putin...

đź”´ Ukraine retakes Dniproenerhiia in Donetsk, and destroys hundreds of enemy vehicles.

Meanwhile in Russia: head of RT Margarita Simonyan described an intent to partition Ukraine, which sounded eerily similar to the plan mentioned by General Keith Kellogg in his controversial interview. She also predicted Trump will run for a third term. www.youtube.com/watch?v=SISO...

Trump admin is so bad, it's hard to tell which is today's worst news: defying a unanimous SCOTUS decision, detaining a legal resident for speech, attacking a university for refusing to comply w political diktat, or aligning the US w 2 regimes known for contempt for the rule of law (Ru, El Salvador).

1/4. On the White House’s theory, if they abduct you, get you on a helicopter, get to international waters, shoot you in the head, and drop your corpse into the ocean, that is legal, because it is the conduct of foreign affairs.

Enough w the "Ukraine proxy/vassal" bs already. Ukrainians might be, in fact, more jealous guardians of their state sovereignty than most citizens around the world. Ukraine resisted Ru's attempts to vassalize it for decades before Ru started the war. It has fought for 10+yrs to avoid subjugation...

Maybe that's Vance's bad omen like Yanukovych and the wreath 🤣

Four R senators and four R House members could announce they're caucusing with the Dems for now, and will vote for Schumer for Majority Leader and Jeffries for Speaker, because the threat to the rule of law is dire. Meanwhile, they'll work with Democrats to construct guardrails against dictatorship.

Friedrich Merz says that he has always been ready to support the transfer of TAURUS missiles to Ukraine if the decision is coordinated with European partners. "So he [Putin] obviously interprets our willingness to talk to him not as a serious offer to make peace possible, but as weakness.

Bone chilling. A court ordered Kilmar Abrego Garcia to stay in the United States. The Supreme Court ruled 9-0 that he was illegally removed. Trump is pretending he won the ruling 9-0. 1/ You may not think this case means anything to you. But let me tell you why it does.

Donald Trump is deporting legal US residents to a foreign gulag, and he has stated publicly that he is moving on to citizens next. This is a Constitutional crisis. Will a single Republican stand up for our Constitution?

I had been doubtful that we were going to have a "this is the crisis moment" with Trump, as opposed to "everything about this is a destructive catastrophe." But the Abrego Garcia case is the crisis moment. 1/

HOW. DARE. HE. BLAME. ZELENSKY. The world is watching, republicans. This is how you will be remembered.

Just to be clear: 1) Ru first attacked Ukraine in 2014 and the war raged throughout Trump’s first term and he didn’t stop Ru; 2) there’s one and only one way of “preventing” Ru’s 2022 invasion: Ukraine’s unconditional capitulation. He’s angry at Ukraine for refusing to surrender.

Our new article w @oxanashevel.bsky.social which is based on my 2023 keynote at ECPR is out in European Political Science Journal. link.springer.com/article/10.1... We trace Ukraine's European choice and discuss its significance for Europe and for political science

Not an ounce of anger towards Ru, just continuing to downplay their aggression and cut them slack. Compare this to the anger oozing from him when Zelensky mentioned security guarantees for Ukraine in the White House.

The death toll has risen to 32, including two kids aged seven and 11. Another 99 injured. A grim day and a sign that Russia has no intention of stopping its bloody war, or engaging in a "peace process"

As of 6 pm today, 34 people were killed and 117 injured by the Russian strike on Sumy. Two of the killed and 15 of the injured are children. The Russian strike killed everyone in the Martynenko family – mom, dad and their son Maksym, a six-grader. Deepest condolences.