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probablepattern.com
Former Marine, Musician, Professor, and Vintner Financial Economist using R/Python and Linux si omnibus rebus, nihil rebus Views are not those of my employer
170 posts 30 followers 44 following
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New season in the new neighborhood. #Alameda

#Alameda Afternoon

when I was younger I thought the subplot of Ender’s Game in which Ender’s siblings shitpost themselves into running the world was the least realistic part of the book I am coming around to the idea that it was by far the most realistic

Morning in San Francisco. Can’t get rid of the window reflections.

Next commercial will probably have Mahomes pitching some sports betting platform.

Dang, Mahomes is Philly MVP.

Seal WTF

I have survived another week. The horrors persist.

Sitting next to an elderly Asian woman who seems to be doing a mid-Atlantic accent. The simulation is broken.

Punxsutawney Phil has declared martial law.

It was a big party in Punxsutawney this weekend. "This is my favorite holiday," one local says of the fuss-free day, adding, "You don't have to even see your in-laws." This year, Phil saw his shadow.

Okay campers, rise and shine …

I’m just a meat, potatoes, and tiki drink kind of guy.

Hot off the presses, @budgetlab.bsky.social just published a preliminary estimate of the economic & fiscal effects of the Trump Admin's 25/25/10 Mexico/Canada/China tariff proposal, with a special lower 10% rate on Canadian crude oil imports. Some high-level conclusions follow... 1/4

chúc mừng năm mới

Hidden DEI programs are the new Iraqi WMDs

Pre-Tet celebration in Clinton Park #Oakland #Tet

Congress: today we swipe right on tiktok Zoomers: thats ... not how it ... what Congress: we flip the phone shut Zoomers: ...? Congress: with this bill we open up 'my computer' and drag the tiktok file to the recycle bin Zoomers: ITS ON A PHONE. Congress: we have degaussed the monitor of freedom

I love this field of view calculator for astronomy! astronomy.tools/calculators/...

South SF bay

Final Paper Discussant - I know I am eating into your reception time so feel free to leave…

Takes 11 quarters on average to find new supplier

Vicious - “this paper has a lot and most of it is statistically significant”

Median US-based importer exposed to 1 country. Lack of supply chain diversification makes it difficult to adapt to tariffs.

CRE delinquency ~2% higher at large banks than small banks. Exposure to large office buildings is the culprit.

Carbon emission intensity increases when firms are included in the MSCI EM index since investors care more about returns than environmental impact. Opposite happens when firms are included in the developed market index.

You would think the Jacksons could afford better dentures.

It pains me to say it but Rick Springfield had the best performance tonight.

NYE is when all the musical artists that I thought had died long ago are seen performing live.

Verizon really hates new wireless subscribers.

Madonna Inn - the kitsch is strong with this one

Happy Festivus!

Boysenberry BBQ with boysenberry wheat beer works much better than expected.

Phuoc Loc Tho

The library where I grew up gave me an appreciation of Escher drawings.

On a dark desert highway

Have a Merry Federal Reserve Christmas!

Thank God for hedges!

Christmas decorations in the ferry ⛴️👍

Epic trolling

Smoke detector batteries are only replaceable at 3am on weekdays.

At least he didn’t go down.

Serrano was robbed

Netflix engineers rn

Magic hour at the ferry terminal

The architect guy explaining that, concordantly, this is actually the 6th time our social media platform has failed and been rebuilt from scratch.

Love the depth from only 2021 vintage