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rikefranke.bsky.social
Senior Fellow at European Council on Foreign Relations. #Drone politics PhD UniofOxford, previously Sciences Po. Writes about all things #Germany #Defence #miltech. Podcast host at @SicherheitsPod.de & LeCollimateur
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Outch “Trump didn’t cut out Europe any more than it cut out the Guatemalans. In both cases, Trump and his team didn’t think they were necessary to the talks, so they didn’t invite them. It is not a plot against Europe: it is yet another demonstration of Europe’s increasing geopolitical irrelevance”

“U.S. negotiators have warned that Ukraine would lose access to Starlink terminals, owned by billionaire Elon Musk's company SpaceX, if Kyiv did not sign the deal” kyivindependent.com/us-threatens...

In case you are interested, this is what a German ballot paper looks like. Two votes - first goes to the candidate in your constituency. As you can see, only some, usually the bigger parties, put up these “direct” candidates. Second vote determines the % of the party in your Land. #BTW2025

Very clever, if true. Taken from the Israel-Hezbollah-pager playbook? “Ukraine behind FPV goggles explosions in Russia, source claims” kyivindependent.com/ukraine-behi...

was really struck recently talking to a friend who spent six months in that corner of the world working and talking to people about their immediate future, he said he was struck by the extent to which all these countries were essentially convinced Russia would be nibbling on them by around 2027

British frigate HMS Lancaster has introduced its new helicopter drone, known as Peregrine, into active operations against suspected drug smuggling. ukdefencejournal.org.uk/british-nava...

I always forget that Alexandre has cheekily installed cameras in the podcast studio 😅. Now I have to brush my hair to record a podcast?! Anyway: listen in your podcatcher or anywhere you get your podcasts.

Tuesday I wrote "There is a scenario in which US not only trades its presence on NATO’s Eastern flank, but also opposes deployment of Euro troops to UKR. It may not be the likeliest today but nothing can be ruled out" Tough DC visit ahead for Macron+Starmer carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

“Munich et après? » Our latest Collimateur episode is online. lerubicon.org/collimateur-...

In der letzten Folge 2024 sprachen wir darüber, wie man/wir eigentlich in diesen Zeiten irgendwie zuversichtlich bleiben kann. Vielleicht grade hilfreich: sicherheitspod.de/2024/12/18/f...

Tbh, I saw this and thought: “careful Economist, it can always get worse…” #happythoughts

Macron gave a surprisingly upbeat commentary on the Trump-Russia-Ukraine crisis in an 80 minute live video conversation with the French public tonight. He said the “uncertainty” generated by Trump could, in the end, be “good for Ukraine and good for Europe” but needed to be “structured” properly. 1/

This is a new level of madness. I don't know how it can be stopped

Macron has just urged the French to join the military reserve. “We are entering a new era”. France will have to spend more on defence. “The threat that Russia represents imposes choices on us” (Live exchange on social media)

Notre prochain mardi du Grand Continent à @normalesup.bsky.social portera sur les élections allemandes. Avec @guillaumeduval.bsky.social, @fhublet.bsky.social, @josephdeweck.bsky.social, @vdubslaff.bsky.social, @rikefranke.bsky.social, @pmennerat.bsky.social. legrandcontinent.eu/fr/evenement...

Me, again with the cheery scenarios. 🫠 (Recorded at #MSC2025, full report here: www.ardmediathek.de/video/report...

Interesting article on the drone manufacturing plant the German #drone producer Quantum Systems has built near Kyiv. (In German) www.reservistenverband.de/magazin-loya...

Very clever, if true. Taken from the Israel-Hezbollah-pager playbook? “Ukraine behind FPV goggles explosions in Russia, source claims” kyivindependent.com/ukraine-behi...

Don’t agree with the article but interesting read nonetheless. foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/e...

This!! foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/e...

Radio report on the future of war with yours truly (and yes, this was the first recording after the flu, as you will be able to hear) (In German) www.ardaudiothek.de/episode/gros...

My latest for WPR, in which I try to explain why Vance’s speech in Munich hit so hard. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-europe-al...

Super interesting how the Linke seems to be staging a comeback here on the last meters.

Me, again with the cheery scenarios. 🫠 (Recorded at #MSC2025, full report here: www.ardmediathek.de/video/report...

Wow, good diplomatic move - Macron reportedly joining in the meeting with Trump by Starmer. Not sure whether anything or anyone can make Trump change course, but this is a strong signal of Europeans moving together to speak to the US.

In mounting an attack on the US and Europe’s shared values, JD Vance shattered the very thing Europeans believed made the alliance special, @rikefranke.bsky.social writes.

“As Rym Momtaz, an analyst of European security at the Carnegie Endowment, eloquently put it, 80 years after the end of World War II, “Vance called on Germany to get rid of its firewall against neo-Nazis, the heirs to the very political movement 416,800 American soldiers died to defeat.””

My latest for WPR, in which I try to explain why Vance’s speech in Munich hit so hard. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-europe-al...

📢 Event: Can Germany remain the driving force in the European Union? Join us as experts discuss the German election results. Panel: ▪️ @onethuthree.bsky.social ▪️ @nvondarza.bsky.social ▪️ @codendahl.bsky.social ▪️ @armida.bsky.social 🗓️25 February 📍10:00 GMT www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/o...

Welche Rolle spielt #Sicherheitspolitik im #Bundestagswahlkampf2025? Was kommt auf die nächste #Bundesregierung zu? @rikefranke.bsky.social vom @ecfr.eu gibt bei uns im Interview Antworten. #Politikwissenschaft #Polisky

A question many Europeans are asking themselves. on.ft.com/3Xad4pR How will the UK pay for higher defence spending? 🎁🔗

The EU’s 16th package of sanctions “target 73 so-called shadow fleet tankers used by Moscow to export crude oil in violation of western restrictions, 13 Russian banks, and scores of individuals and companies deemed to be helping the Russian war effort.” on.ft.com/4hH5ds5

Talked to DW last night about European defence and what to do now. The solutions, I argue, are in fact pretty much known. We just need to do it. Now. www.dw.com/en/european-...

Detailed article, with some insights by yours truly. Krieg der Drohnen: Wie unbemannte Flugkörper Deutschland abwehrbereiter machen könnten www.augsburger-allgemeine.de/politik/krie...

Russia keeps modifying its #drones, here with a bigger warhead. kyivindependent.com/russian-shah...