rlachat.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

BUNDESTAGSWAHL | 18 Uhr Prognose Forschungsgruppe Wahlen/ZDF Union: 28,5% (+4,4) AfD: 20,0% (+9,7) SPD: 16,5% (-9,2) GRÜNE: 12,0% (-2,8) LINKE: 9,0% (+4,1) FDP: 5,0% (-6,5) BSW: 5,0% (NEU) Sonstige: 4,0% (-4,7) Änderungen zum Wahlergebnis von 2021 #Bundestagswahl2025 #btw25

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

L’administration Trump met "en œuvre une politique qui vise à détruire les instruments permettant de produire des énoncés objectifs. Faire disparaître la réalité pour ne plus laisser les faits porter préjudice à la volonté du chef : c’est exactement ce que l’on attend d’une politique fasciste."

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

www.youtube.com/watch?v=rKBM...

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

‘Cybertruck Man’ a cartoon in defiance of Musk #political #cartoonist #cybertruck #elon #musk #democracy #tiananmen

submitted 13 days ago • 114 comments

I am keeping a diary of daily events, as they unfold open.substack.com/pub/adamprze... It is available to everyone. I am new to Substack, so please let me know if something is wrong with the link or the file.

submitted 8 days ago • 18 comments

"We need to take a step back and realize that the GOP has become an authoritarian political party. It's either on board with authoritarianism or completely willing to tolerate it." On the pod, Steve Levitsky is highly Illuminating on our slide into autocracy: newrepublic.com/article/1915...

submitted 9 days ago • 72 comments

This is the one article to read on contemporary (and future) U.S. politics. Laid out analytically and clearly. There is a hint of optimism (which I do not share but do appreciate).

submitted 16 days ago • 6 comments

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

submitted 19 days ago • 0 comments

"If Trump, Musk and their allies [...] succeed, then the question of American politics won’t be if they’ll win the next election, but whether the Constitution as we know it is still in effect." www.nytimes.com/2025/02/05/o...

submitted 22 days ago • 0 comments

MAGA Feeding Frenzy Has Caused a Constitutional Crisis The assault is coming from different angles: Project 2025. The feudal tech barons. The America First nativists. It’s not a single master plan – it’s comprehensive chaos. Some thoughts from my new piece: 🧵

submitted 22 days ago • 10 comments

If there’s one lesson to take from the Polish case, it’s that an executive which is determined to create facts on the ground that create their own path dependencies will do so, and the consequences will be extremely difficult to unwind legally, even if the initial act was illegal.

submitted 22 days ago • 4 comments

👇 Proof that populists like Trump always outdo satirists: I drew this cartoon for Arte TV @artefr.bsky.social on January 18th…

submitted 22 days ago • 2 comments

Where are the Democrats? This is good by @edwardluce.bsky.social on.ft.com/3EhEpzR

submitted 23 days ago • 1 comment

The call for applications for the doctoral Summer School on "Challenges to Electoral Democracy" is still open!! The application deadline is February 17. More information here: www.chairedemocratie.com/files/sites/...

submitted 23 days ago • 0 comments

📣Summer school on "Challenges to Electoral Democracy", Paris, July 1-5, 2025📣 Organized with @rdassonneville.bsky.social @fondationmsh.bsky.social @cerium-udem.bsky.social More information and applications here👇

submitted 38 days ago • 2 comments

Il s'en est passé des choses en moins de 30 minutes...

submitted 76 days ago • 0 comments

Cet après-midi à Paris, journée d’etude sur les règles électorales en France et ailleurs avec @jbpilet.bsky.social @bvancoppenolle.bsky.social et autres Vu la situation politique actuelle, ca vaut la peine de faire le point sur les réformes possibles www.sciencespo.fr/en/events/jo...

submitted 80 days ago • 0 comments

Fascinating paper on where 6000 global elites went to college. Billionaires, CEOs, heads of state, central bankers, etc. In a word: Harvard. Fully 10% of global elites went to Harvard. Elite US schools are over-represented (23% IvyPlus), but nobody comes close to Harvard. 🧵

submitted 83 days ago • 36 comments

APSR will start inviting replications for a random subset of accepted papers. I really like this as well as the constructive tone around it 👏 (from the latest Notes from the Editors)

submitted 84 days ago • 4 comments

🇬🇧🇪🇺 Published Today in EJPR 🇬🇧🇪🇺 @simonhix.bsky.social @juhoharkonen.bsky.social and I find that 1/3 of the anti-Brexit shift in the UK can be attributed to the impact of cohort replacement (old voters dying, young people becoming eligible to vote)! 1/12 ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

submitted 89 days ago • 8 comments

I was invited to speak about the upcoming Trump era and share some lessons and optimism. I declined politely. After more than 25 years of researching the far right, I have no more (new) lessons and optimism to share.

submitted 90 days ago • 1 comment

A blog post on our working paper "Quality not quantity: how a VAA affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments", with @fresejoris.bsky.social and @simonhix.bsky.social. VAAs do not increase vote switching, turnout, or knowledge. But they improve the quality of vote switching

submitted 91 days ago • 0 comments

Following our colleague André Freire’s sudden passing, the editors at @sespjournal.bsky.social , namely Bonnie Field and Nicoló Conti had a touching idea: to prepare a special collection of André’s articles with the Journal. A nice way to pay tribute to his work: www.tandfonline.com/journals/fse...

submitted 92 days ago • 3 comments

Now published in PNAS! We had a survey in the field at the time of the first assassination attempt on Trump. We found that Rs became significantly less supportive of partisan violence and had increased in-party affect. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

submitted 93 days ago • 2 comments

“Hungary’s key lesson is you don’t protect democracy by talking about democracy — you protect democracy by protecting people. Only a democracy that works for the people is sustainable.”

submitted 95 days ago • 3 comments

Just built a Shiny app for my Research Design course! It visualizes how regression coefficient p-values depend on coefficient size, standard errors, and degrees of freedom. I post it here in case others find it useful: acanalejo.shinyapps.io/12_session12/

submitted 96 days ago • 2 comments

💥AUTHLIB Working Paper💥 How do the autocratizing regimes of Hungary & Russia use domestic propaganda and traditional media outlets to control the information space? Dorka Takacsy, visiting fellow at @gmfus.bsky.social, explains the connections. www.authlib.eu/dorka-takacs...

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Do changes in wealth shape voting preferences? We explored this question using an 11 year panel study in🇬🇧 We find no evidence that an increase in assets leads to greater support for the Conservatives New paper with Justin Robinson & @sofiavasilopoulou.bsky.social accepted @bjpols.bsky.social

submitted 153 days ago • 1 comment

After spending last week with this amazing group during the CERIUM-FMSH Summer School on Democratic Decline and Resilience (organised w @rlachat.bsky.social ), I know for a fact that the future of political science research is bright!

submitted 178 days ago • 0 comments

📢Time will tear us apart: European electoral participation dynamics in longitudinal perspective 👉New paper in Electoral Studies, with Davide Angelucci, Marco Improta, and Davide Vittori 👉Free access to the article here: authors.elsevier.com/a/1jK2TxRaZk...

submitted 246 days ago • 0 comments

The deadline to apply for our PhD summer school on Democratic Decline and Resilience is approaching fast! Make sure to send us your application Sunday 7 April at the latest. Info on the program 👉https://chairedemocratie.com/files/sites/98/2024/02/Call-for-Applications-summer-school-2024.pdf

submitted 328 days ago • 0 comments

CfA for a summer school on Democratic Decline and Resilience at Université de Montréal, organized by the CERIUM- FMSH Chair, with @rdassonneville.bsky.social

submitted 350 days ago • 0 comments

Free access to our paper "Alternatives to plurality rule for single-winner elections: When do they make a difference?", with Jean-François Laslier, forthcoming in the European Journal of Political Economy 👇 authors.elsevier.com/a/1iZqSe52Oz...

submitted 372 days ago • 0 comments

New article with Jean-François Laslier in the European Journal of Political Economy. We simulate outcomes of 10 electoral rules, based on CSES data. FPTP is an outlier: more likely to diverge from other rules, more likely to select a winner that is ideologically distant from the Condorcet Winner

submitted 387 days ago • 0 comments

Can illiberals be democrats? How do they fare in Europe? 🎙️In this interview recorded w/ CEU's Review of Democracy, Cas Mudde @universityofga.bsky.social & @veghzsuzsanna.bsky.social (GMF) discuss illiberalism, democracy & the far right in Europe. 🎧💻Listen & read 👇 www.authlib.eu/interview-ca...

submitted 443 days ago • 0 comments

Interesting blog post by @kwalz.bsky.social, on Patterns of Democratic Regression over Time, based on the paper he presented at the CERIUM-FMSH summer school, co-organized with @rdassonneville.bsky.social

submitted 443 days ago • 0 comments

📢 AUTHLIB (@authlibeu.bsky.social) is now on Bluesky! Our project, "AUTHLIB - Neo-authoritarianisms in Europe and the Liberal Democratic Response", seeks to understand what challenges liberal democracy faces in Europe & designs responses to strengthen its resilience. 👇 Follow us! 👇

submitted 486 days ago • 0 comments

"Modi’fied India: Affective polarisation and support for democratic norms in India". A blog post by @prarthana-puthran.bsky.social based on her Master's thesis at Sciences Po, with fieldwork supported by the CÉRIUM-FMSH Chair @rdassonneville.bsky.social

submitted 493 days ago • 0 comments

"Les médias sociaux polarisent-ils ?" Quelques résultats du mémoire de maîtrise de Juliette Leblanc, suite à un séjour de recherche à la chaire CÉRIUM-FMSH @rdassonneville.bsky.social

submitted 493 days ago • 0 comments

How Tolerance for Disagreement Shapes Horizontal Affective Polarization." A new blog post by Luana Russo and Jochem Vanagt, following a project presentation at the Summer School of the CÉRIUM-FMSH Chair, with @rdassonneville.bsky.social

submitted 493 days ago • 0 comments