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simonpcowie.bsky.social
Retired manager. Business angel, Carer. Interests - Greyhound, Horse Racing; Business; Economics; Management.
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I Am Maximus out of the Bobbyjo today. Haven't seen why but may be going (changed to soft, soft to heavy in places).

Delta Work scratched from the Grand National.

The majority of the Aintree entries in the Haydock Grand National "Trial" are too far down the handicap to have much of a chance of making the cut to run in the GN itself. Presumably the calendar doesn't allow them to run the race before the weights deadline (last weekend).

Bronn scratched from the Grand National

Grand National weights today. Outcome much as expected except for Stumptown given an 8lb bump over HRI rating. (Doesn't seem to have put off backers though). On average, Irish horses given 1.6lb higher rating by British handicapper. Probably about right.

Grand National weights announced at lunchtime today. This morning's BHA ratings have Monbeg Genius at 147, highly likely to make the cut. Bravemansgame now down to 155. Your Own Story should fail to qualify, based on current rating.

Grand National weights published on Tuesday. Gerri Colombe’s absence means I Am Maximus should be top-weight on 11-12. One or two likely to be disqualified as below 130 OR. Cut-off point forecast now 144 (depends on how nasty handicapper is to Irish trainers).

Started to bet on the Betfair Exchange AntePost Grand National market on Friday. Been doing this since Ballabriggs’s year (2011). It’s the only race I seriously bet on. I lay (and sometimes back) big bets every year. Since offsetting stopped, I need to lodge chunks of cash. ........

This year's Grand National: 17 still need to qualify (4 need 6 chases; 7 need a chase run this season; 6 need a first 4 chase placing). Early prediction for cut-off: 142.

This year's Grand National: 17 still need to qualify (4 need 6 chases; 7 need a chase run this season; 6 need a first 4 chase placing). Early prediction for cut-off: 142.

Grand National entries this week. Gap between Cheltenham and Aintree 3 weeks this year. Irish GN 2 weeks after Aintree. Currently 132 chasers rated 140 and over in Ireland versus 130 in Britain. Apart from reserves, no major changes in conditions - a few minor tweaks to minimise late withdrawals.

Grand National entries this week. Gap between Cheltenham and Aintree 3 weeks this year. Irish GN 2 weeks after Aintree. Currently 132 chasers rated 140 and over in Ireland versus 130 in Britain. Apart from reserves, no major changes in conditions - a few minor tweaks to minimise late withdrawals.

Just seen this year's Grand National conditions. It looks like they have brought back reserves(4) for the race. Entries close 27th/28th Jan. There are some other interesting changes aiming to discourage strategic scratching just before the race.