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stefanmueller.bsky.social
Associate Professor @ucddublin.bsky.social • party competition, public opinion, political communication, computational social science • Maintainer @irishpollingind.bsky.social • Member of the Young Academy Ireland muellerstefan.net
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Another busy day at the @ucddublin.bsky.social postgraduate open day… meeting our future Masters and Grad Dip students.

The NexSys team has published a summary of our recent publication on policy insights in energy research, featuring @robinrauner.bsky.social. Summary: www.nexsys-energy.ie/newsmedia/ne... Paper (open access): doi.org/10.1016/j.er... @researchireland.bsky.social

Wie gut war unsere zweistimme.org Vorhersage der Bundestagswahl 2025? Zweitstimme: 0.78 Prozentpunkte im Mittel daneben. Erststimme: 270/299 Wahlkreise korrekt vorhergesagt. Unseren Blog-Post dazu: zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/e...

New Cambridge Element 'Political Representation as Communicative Practice' by Fabio Wolkenstein and @chriswratil.bsky.social is now free to read for 2 weeks - cup.org/3ERYIUR "what exactly is political representation and how should we study it?" #cambridgeelements #politics

The most striking result from yesterday’s German election #btw2025 🇩🇪: 🔹 35 years after reunification: The GDR is redrawn on this map. 🔹 The AfD won 45 out of 48 electoral districts in the East. 🔹 In some parts of Saxony, they came close to 50%! Why is this happening? Here’s my take 👇

The @irishpollingind.bsky.social website has been updated: – Revisions of all interactive graphs – Details on accuracy in previous elections – New datasets @harvarddataverse.bsky.social: daily estimates (1987–2024) and poll results (1983–2024): doi.org/10.7910/DVN/... ➡️ pollingindicator.com

Aus, aus, das Spiel ist aus!! Zumindest für unser Vorhersagemodell von @zweitstimme.bsky.social für die #btw25. Hier unsere vorläufig finalen Prognosen, vor ca. 70 Zeugen an der @hertieschool.bsky.social vorgestellt. zweitstimme.org/presentation

🗳️"What is the AfD? Germany’s far-right party, explained" Rolf Frankenberger and I wrote a short primer for @theconversation.com on the AfD in the run-up to the German elections on Sunday: theconversation.com/what-is-the-...

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

Online now - A Symposium Forecasting the 2025 German Election taking place THIS Sunday! Check them all out here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... @pollyvote #polisky

Oh heck yeah! This is awesome. Just signed up.

Great open source project to see new articles, instant sign-up!

#JuniorResearchProgram Visiting research stay at GESIS – Apply now! We invite Ph.D. students and early career postdocs to come to GESIS. Visiting researchers of the Junior Research Program are involved in our research to publish with GESIS staff, and to develop research ideas and joint projects.

Big fan of Paper Picnic 🧺 Every Friday night, it pulls new articles from over 60 political science & economics journals. If you sign up to the mailing list, you receive a weekly email with a list of all new papers, sorted by journal. Excellent work, @moritzmarbach.bsky.social! paper-picnic.com

In advance of the federal election on 23 February 2025, a team led by Assist. Prof. @przemyslslaw.bsky.social in @ucdcs.bsky.social examined whether German X users see politically balanced news feeds if they follow comparable leading politicians from each parliamentary party. www.ucd.ie/cs/news

Exclusive: These universities have the most retracted scientific articles A first-of-its-kind analysis reveals which institutions are retraction hotspots Read the full story here: https://go.nature.com/3CUmFKI

Just published on APSR First View: "Vox Populi: Popular Support for the Popular Initiative" by Lucas Leemann (@LucasLeemann), Patrick Emmenegger, and André Walter. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

And, in rapid succession, The Invisible Hand(out) is now available @OUPAcademic or Amazon. Get your library to pre-order & we'll use the royalties to split a Coke! (Book workshop members, you get a full Coke - on the house) global.oup.com/academic/pro... tiny.cc/7rha001

Einseitige Berichterstattung bei der @faznet.bsky.social Hier in Irland wurde gerade das Tempolimit auf vielen Landstraßen von 80 auf 60 km/h gesenkt. Es scheint eher divergierende Trends zu geben! www.faz.net/aktuell/wirt...

The conversation about precariousness is incredibly important within academia, and at the same time almost invisible outside of it - sometimes unknown to our students themselves. Thanks @deirdreflynn.bsky.social 🙏🏼 With @yai.ie we can continue the conversation, but action must come from all parts.

⏰ Deadline for Ad Astra Fellowships (~TT Assistant Prof.) this Friday Positions in our School: – Environmental Politics: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport... – Global Governance: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport... All 50 Ad Astra Fellowships across @ucddublin.bsky.social: www.jobs.ac.uk/enhanced/lin...

Three must read papers for PhD students. #scisky #PhD #science #research #academicsky 1. The importance of stupidity in scientific research Open Access journals.biologists.com/jcs/article/...

Today in the @irishtimes.com our exec member @deirdreflynn.bsky.social speaks about the challenges facing academia & what the YAI can do. www.irishtimes.com/ireland/educ...

New paper with Brian Boyle, Yen-Chieh Liao, Sarah King, and Robin Rauner published in Energy Research & Social Science: “Catalysts for Progress? Mapping Policy Insights from Energy Research” Paper (open access): doi.org/10.1016/j.er... Funded by @researchireland.bsky.social Thread below 1/5

A large part of the Irish political science community is using this rainy weekend to finalise their chapter revisions for “How Ireland Voted 2024” (deadline: Monday). Sneak preview of my chapter with Gail McElroy below. We validate and apply transformer models to measure salience and positions.

Danke an die Kolleg:innen von der Open Expert Survey, die für Daniel Morgenstern, @sophiahunger.bsky.social & mich Fragen zur Brandmauer aufgenommen haben 👏 📣Auf oes25.de/OES25prerele... gibt es alle Ergebnisse & pre-release Daten! Kurz: Es gibt klare Unterschiede im Ausmaß der Brandmauer Lang: 🧵👇

Dishonest charts are coming from all directions, and they're only going to hit harder. Unless we push back. So, an interactive guide: Defense Against Dishonest Charts flowingdata.com/projects/dis...

It was wonderful to celebrate the outstanding students who won SPIRe's Student Awards for 2023-24! Comhghairdeachas libh! 🙌🏅🏆 www.ucd.ie/spire/study/...

Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

#mte #meetheexperts #LoveData25 What is “#LLM” and how could the Large Language Models be used as new data source in the Social Sciences and beyond? Like to learn more? Register to our (virtual) Meet the Expert-talk on Thursday 1 -2 p.m. www.gesis.org/en/ser...

Positions!! Polisci Jobs! Dublin! Please share and apply. Environmental Politics: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport... Global Governance: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport...

Looking forward to Cathie Jo Martin’s seminar presentation next week, where she’ll discuss her @cambridgeuppolisci.bsky.social book, “Education for All? Literature, Culture, and Educational Development in Britain and Denmark”. 📘 www.cambridge.org/core/books/e... @ucdspswsj.bsky.social

This is my department @ucdpolitics.bsky.social - get in touch if you have any questions!

New WP with @vincentab.bsky.social @ryancbriggs.net. We use LLMs and RAs to track publication trends in polisci. Here’s how subfields have changed in AJPS and JOP osf.io/v7fe8

A team of five second-year BSc Computational Social Science students from University College Dublin has secured Runner-Up for Technical Excellence. Maith thú 🙌 www.ucd.ie/socscilaw/ne...

“UCD Student Team Wins Runner-Up for Technical Excellence at the Data4Good Festival @hertieschool.bsky.social” Congrats to the group! Their LLM-based tool creates written reports based on variables from large datasets. www.ucd.ie/socscilaw/ne... @hertiedatascience.bsky.social @ucddublin.bsky.social

University College Dublin is recruiting 50 early-career faculty through the Ad Astra Fellows programme (~ tenure-track Assistant Professorships). – Excellent research support – Salary: €62k–€99k – Application deadline: 21 Feb – All positions: www.jobs.ac.uk/enhanced/lin... @ucddublin.bsky.social

I'm so chuffed to finally have a paper in my old journal, Party Politics. Available open access here journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

University College Dublin is recruiting 50 early-career faculty through the Ad Astra Fellows programme (~ tenure-track Assistant Professorships). – Excellent research support – Salary: €62k–€99k – Application deadline: 21 Feb – All positions: www.jobs.ac.uk/enhanced/lin... @ucddublin.bsky.social

Our School is hiring two Assistant Professors (Ad Astra Fellows): five-year tenure-track positions with an annual research budget of €5k, teaching reductions, and a fully-funded PhD researcher. Environmental Politics: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport... Global Governance: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport...