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steveakehurst.bsky.social
Politics, policy, public attitudes. Work in polling and comms. Director, Persuasion UK. ex- Shelter, civil service and various other things. 🏳️‍🌈 https://persuasionuk.org/about https://strongmessagehere.substack.com/
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Looking at Mayoral polls of FindOutNow (one of more Reform friendly panels) tells you a lot about what's happening to 2024 Labour vote in these locals. It's disproportionately staying home. Those voting are flaking off in all directions, but mostly to left parties. A 🧵of each race:

submitted 15 hours ago • 2 comments

Looking at Mayoral polls of FindOutNow (one of more Reform friendly panels) tells you a lot about what's happening to 2024 Labour vote in these locals. It's disproportionately staying home. Those voting are flaking off in all directions, but mostly to left parties. A 🧵of each race:

submitted 15 hours ago • 2 comments

This seems like a very important graph - and thread - for understanding the results tonight and tomorrow. More than anything else local and by-elections are about differential turnout. Reform vote is very amped up right now, or seemingly anyway.

submitted 16 hours ago • 0 comments

Record heat today in England and Wales made at least 3x more likely by climate change, according to Climate Central. Mayday mayday

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

The thing is, Poilievre is actually a really good politician imo. Easily one of the best ‘New Right’ communicators. But he made one absolutely fatal mistake: getting too close to Trump. Sucked in by the online energy for him among his base. Many such cases!

submitted 3 days ago • 17 comments

It’s 2014. I tell you: “Yeah so you know the guy who funds the Lib Dems? Paul Marshall? Yeah his son’s in Mumford’s band. Anyway Paul’s going to fund a right-wing culture war TV channel called GB News and his son will pop up at Donald Trump’s White House press room asking for asylum for Brits.”

submitted 3 days ago • 14 comments

Great thread here on the "Reform curious" element of the Labour vote

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

I imagine Starmer's going to struggle to get back that genie he loaned Mark Carney...

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment