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stoby200.bsky.social
Meteorology (maybe), north east Scotland, other things (not politics).
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Listening to radio 1 at 3am playing all the music from around 2010 and I basically recognise every song. This is what old people who listen to radio 2 must feel like all the time.

Yesterday 21st February 2025 had the third highest daily Central England Temperature on record for the month of February. 15 Feb 2024 13.8C 04 Feb 2004 12.8C 21 Feb 2025 12.6C

Very blustery and occasionally very wet.....but for the most part today's walk was a sunny one, under warm sunshine. Aberdeenshire at its best 🙂

Surely this new video won't make me seem like a crank. www.youtube.com/watch?v=QEJp...

We’re on the road to nowhere!

Mar Lodge sur Mer, this afternoon.

Legally distinct WXCharts

Man, trains are mint

More Quoichy goodness 🙂

Everything really has gone wrong now

Turns out my phone's camera isn't actually that bad when I shoot photos in RAW. It was just the terrible JPEG post processing. Why does modern technology want to take all the control away from the user?

Most people in the UK wouldn't believe this was taken today #ukweather

The low responsible for the dreary damp weather of late.

Watch the waves from yesterday’s M7.6 earthquake in the Caribbean Sea roll across seismic stations in North America.

After every set of night shifts my brain is wide awake and ready to work at midnight but there is no work. I wish there was anti-caffeine.

A key area later next week will be over the waters to the west of Norway. As very cold air moves over it, there will be the potential for a disturbance to form that would limit the capacity of that cold air to move across the UK. 12z GFS had it form, 18z didn’t. Big impacts.

9-23 Feb 2025 12 UTC ECMWF The latest run of the ECMWF has gone totally insane, with very cold continental air extending eastward across the whole of the UK from the 19th. I would love to see it happen, but I've little confidence in this solution. #ukweather

Only a little bit of uncertainty from the ECMWF then? #ukweather

Great comparison graphic from the @metoffice showing the difference in temperature compared with the BFTE in 2018 & this weeks easterly. The cold air just isn't there, at least not yet, to produce significant cold.

It was a really beautiful start to the day at Mar Lodge....and just got better from there really 😉 #rangerdailydiary

A strong area of air pressure is currently over the northern parts of Europe with sea level air pressure readings well over 1040 hPa in much of Scandinavia and the Baltics. meteologix.com/ee/observati... TT

SNOW IS COMING!!!!* *for a few, mostly over hills IT'S GOING TO BE FREEZING!!* *but not exceptionally so DEEP COLD IS COMING LATER!!!!* *probably not, likely turning less cold beyond next week BFTE IS COMING!!!!* *no

For most sites in the #UK today's high pressure has been a top10 event, with a number of sites closest to the high centre (northern Eng, southern Sco) recording their highest February MSLP on record. Here's the rank (top10 only plotted) within February climatology.

I must be one of the few people that think a boat trip to the Isle of Eigg in the middle of February is a good idea.

So... about that very cold easterly/beast from the east? #ukweather

Now that Morrisons have stopped doing their cheap plastic free dishwasher tablets I'm removing the 'dissolvable plastic' wrappers. I think I'd rather have my plastics in a landfill than in the water.

Keep an eye on this graph over the next few days or so (zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe...). An extreme #Arctic winter warming event is occurring bringing a narrow band of near freezing air temperatures close to the North Pole (associated with poleward movement of excessive heat and moisture).

"When the Arctic sky splits apart" #SSW (From an @simonoxfphys.com video - www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y1sw...)

Now we cut to the 16th of February when the stratospheric warning is merely minor and hasn’t absolutely demolished the stratospheric polar vortex

There’s been some talk at the potential for cold easterly winds in February but I’m not convinced at this stage. Background forcing is broadly unsupportive & momentum within NWP modelling isn’t there currently. I’d place the risk at around 10%. That said - It will be chilly under HP with frosts.

#ukweather for tomorrow: low pressure continues to spin around the UK, bringing heavy showers in the south, which will ease during the afternoon and showers to the north of Scotland. Best in N England/S Scotland where there will be sunny spells and light winds.

#ukweather for tomorrow: low pressure spinning around the country will bring outbreaks of rain to NE Scotland, gradually moving north through the afternoon. Elsewhere, heavy showers will move in from the west on gusty winds.

26 Jan 2025 20 UTC Surface Analysis A fascinating little feature coming into the SW this evening thats producing copious amounts of rain. #ukweather @metoffice.bsky.social

Nice of the ECM 12Z to join the party finally. Although it's had a major falling out with ARPEGE.

Braemar backdrop.