stonkologist.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Consumers are tapped out. 👇🏼

submitted 9 hours ago • 0 comments

'Financial emergencies are pushing more Americans to break into their 401(k) accounts.' www.wsj.com/personal-fin...

submitted 12 hours ago • 0 comments

Tobin‘s Q Ratio is an accurate approach to estimating the fair value of the stock market, but it’s horrible for timing. The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. The latest Q Ratio is 1.81, down from 1.84 in January. 👇🏼

submitted 14 hours ago • 0 comments

The S&P 500 Index - Regression to Trend At the end of February, the inflation adjusted S&P Composite Index was 178% above its long-term trend, up from 177% in January and just below its record high of 185% in December. 👇🏼

submitted 14 hours ago • 0 comments

Put/Call ratio is .59. Um.....

submitted 13 hours ago • 3 comments

Have spent nearly 30 years being told Emerging Markets are uninvestable because of „corruption and governance risks”, so am thoroughly enjoying the current „flight to EM out of the dollar”

submitted 1 day ago • 5 comments

The rise and potential fall of independent agencies.

submitted 1 day ago • 58 comments

* U.S. TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT: WE'RE SET ON BRINGING INTEREST RATES DOWN -- FOX NEWS INTERVIEW @reuters.com

submitted 1 day ago • 77 comments

The reserve keeps draining.

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

* Target: In Light of Ongoing Consumer Uncertainty, Small Decline in February Net Sales, Tariff Uncertainty and Expected Timing of Certain Costs Within FY, Expect to See Meaningful Year-Over-Year Profit Pressure in 1Q Relative to Remainder of Year (via Dow Jones) $TGT

submitted 1 day ago • 16 comments

Without one extreme reading the 10 dma of the equity put/call ratio has been climbing steadily. It is now where it was in early November.

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

US Exceptionalism Bubble US Assets are the most desirable and sought after following more than a decade of solid returns (+ better performance vs global) But the flipside, some might even say the dark side, of that is this: entrylevel.topdowncharts.com/p/chart-of-t...

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Atlanta Fed GDPNow crashes to -1.5%. 👇🏼 Absolutely no one could have seen this coming.

submitted 5 days ago • 2 comments

'When it comes to stock market performance the more concentrated the index becomes, the more attractive it is to sail in the opposite direction of cap-weighted strategies and go for equal-weighted.' www.chartstorm.info/p/weekly-s-a... via @topdowncharts.bsky.social

submitted 5 days ago • 1 comment

Wow advance goods trade deficit for January $153.3bn, easily a record, economists were looking for $116bn.

submitted 5 days ago • 23 comments

When the top 10% of your earners account for half the national spending, yeah, the “wealth effect” is going to count. (via B of A/Hartnett) 🇺🇸

submitted 5 days ago • 6 comments

Forget "return to office"—commercial real estate is collapsing. 🏢 Office vacancy rates at all-time highs in major U.S. cities. 💰 Property values down 40%+ in some cases. 🚨 Banks holding the loans are sweating. Could this be the next financial crisis?

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

About those bullish capex expectations…

submitted 6 days ago • 1 comment

Big spike in uncertainty just as data has started missing estimates? Probably nothing.

submitted 6 days ago • 14 comments

'Historically, high planned investment has been followed by low stock returns in subsequent years. Today’s high investment plans, like today’s high valuations, is a contrarian signal for U.S. megacap growth stocks.' www.acadian-asset.com/investment-i...

submitted 6 days ago • 0 comments

February comment is out - valuations, market conditions, economic outlook, fiscal policy, and two sections just as important: "This isn't who we are" about current developments, and "On Governance" reprinted from 2017, because it's now being institutionalized. www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc25...

submitted 6 days ago • 1 comment

This CBOE 3 month implied correlation index chart is important. 👇🏼 Outside of the Covid crash (which was followed by the largest infusion of liquidity we’ve ever seen), most current market participants have never experienced a real bear market where correlations go to 1.

submitted 6 days ago • 3 comments

The most anticipated earnings releases for the week of February 24, 2025 are Nvidia #NVDA, Hims & Hers #HIMS, SoundHound AI #SOUN, fuboTV #FUBO, Snowflake #SNOW, C3.ai #AI, Riot Platforms #RIOT, Dell Technologies #DELL, Salesforce #CRM, and Domino's Pizza #DPZ. www.earningswhispers.com/calendar

submitted 9 days ago • 1 comment

'A strong signal of stock-market downside risk is when hedge funds are going short yet retail money is still pouring in. That's the case today.' blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...

submitted 15 days ago • 1 comment

"Put/Call ratio (20 day average) just fell to its lowest level since November 2021." www.dailychartbook.com/p/new-post

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

Software Development Job Postings on Indeed in the United States, via Fred. (Index Feb, 1 2020=100, Seasonally Adjusted)

submitted 21 days ago • 0 comments

"Retail has had a net buy imbalance for the last 22 days, including the top 3 largest days on record." www.dailychartbook.com/p/new-post via @dailychartbook.bsky.social

submitted 20 days ago • 1 comment

Bill Ackman's Pershing Square released an investor update that covered commentary on markets and Pershing's holdings. Here are 8 interesting slides: 1) The 10 largest companies in the S&P 500 index trade at 27x earnings, compared to 20x for the other 490 companies

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

Economists often talk as if recessions are caused by Fed tightening. That's not how it works. Once the economy is already pushed beyond full-employment capacity (as it is now) recessions typically follow regardless. The point of Fed tightening is to slow demand that can't be met anyway w/o inflation

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

United States Bankruptcies vs. Fed Funds Rate. This includes both individual and corporate bankruptcies filed under one of the chapters of Title 11 of the United States Code (the Bankruptcy Code).

submitted 83 days ago • 0 comments

'When active investors turn passive, large cap stocks benefit disporportionately.' www.apolloacademy.com/wp-content/u...

submitted 103 days ago • 0 comments