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tennisaddict.bsky.social
In a perpetual search for a bet. Having a lot of fun crunching the numbers and chasing a small profit. Posting most of my bets here. Weekly stats and details on https://betting-gazette.weebly.com Responsible betting.
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Tennis | ATP | Montpellier ATP250 My preview for the tournament. betting-gazette.weebly.com/blog/montpel...

Wrap up of the last few weeks Lots of bets on Australian Open. Managed to make around 10% ROI but lost my 12/1 outright with Zverev losing the final. Betting performance after 25 weeks 593 bets -> 40% won 4000+ $ of bets -> 10.9% ROI -> 440 $ profit Next More bets & maintain ROI > 5%

Tennis | ATP | Adelaide Outright market Kokkinakis @ 23 looks good value. I think he has a real chance in the bottom half of the draw to reach at least the semis. On the plus side he is playing at home which will add an extra boost

Soccer | England | Premier league Liverpool vs Man Utd Taking advantage of a bonus bet from Unibet on same game multi. Diaz to score Liverpool to win Liverpool to score more than 2.5 goals Overall odd is 4.1. if lost enable a free bet of same amount. 🤞

Soccer | France | Ligue1 OM vs Le Havre OM is simply better. They have struggled a bit at home but improved recently and simply cannot lose any points here. OM -1.5 @ 1.9

Soccer | France | Ligue1 Angers vs Brest Angers is stuck in the bottom section of the ladder. Not doing too good at home. Brest has been average in Ligue1 but with Champions League resuming later this month they had a real chance. Brest @ 2.25

Soccer | Italy | Serie A Venezia vs Empoli BTTS @ 1.79 with Unibet seems like good value. Both teams have 50% games with BTTS since the start of the season. This one looks like a good candidate for both teams to score goals.

Soccer | France | Ligue 1 Lyon vs Montpellier Montpellier is really weak and recent performances do not bring any optimism. Lyon is better with a good strikers who may have plenty of opportunities. Should be able to clear the handicap. Lyon -1.5 @ 1.95 with Unibet

Soccer | France | Ligue 1 Lille vs Nantes Nantes is not playing too well and there are many internal issues as usual with this club. Coach may be under a lot a pressure + Lille has been far better since the start of the season & should clear the handicap. Lille -1 @ 1.94 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague Brighton vs Arsenal I just think Arsenal is far better than Brighton and I don't see that reflected in the odds. I find odds for Arsenal far too attractive to be missed. Arsenal to win @ 1.8 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague Southampton vs Brentford Brentford has been very poor away from home. If there is one game that Southampton can take, this may be the one. Odds for Southampton looks too good to ignore. Southampton to win @ 3.35 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague Aston Villa vs Leicester Only 2 clean sheets for Aston Villa at home. Leicester playing pretty offensive style may have opportunities to score. BTTS @ 1.75 with Unibet

Soccer | England | Premierleague Bournemouth vs Everton Bournemouth at home is 66 % under 2.5 goals. Everton away is 66 % under 2.5 goals. Recent Everton's games have been low scoring. Under 2.5 goals @ 2.02 (Unibet)

Soccer | Italy | Serie A Monza v Juventus Juventus still unbeaten. Crazy number of draws but I think they are well above Monza & should be able to contain them without too much trouble. Monza does not score much & Juve does not concede mcuh. Juve to win to nil @ 2.5 -> 7 units

Soccer | England | Premier League Tottenham v Liverpool 2 high scoring teams. Goals Goals Goals. Tottenham is 3.9 goals / game v 3.4 for Liverpool. If we expect 3.5-4 goals overall I think Tottenham has a fair chance to score at least 2. Tottenham over 1.5 goals @ 2.15 looks too good -> 5 units

Soccer | England | Premierleague Everton v Chelsea My angle here is that Everton is not impressive at all at home and Chelsea is top team away from home scoring nearly 3 goals per game. Match may be tight but still think Chelsea is far better than 58 % chances to win. Chelsea @ 1.7 -> 10 units

Soccer | England | Premier League Leicester v Wolverhampton 2 of the worst defense in the league both averaging more than 2 conceded goals per game. Leicester is playing a more offensive style with the new coach & expecting an open game. My pick Leicester over 1.5 goals @ 1.98 -> 10 units

Soccer | Germany | Bundesliga Stuttgart v St Pauli I think Stuttgart is much better and should win this one. St Pauli does not score & does not concede many goals. Still think Stuttgart's attack will be too strong and they may win with a bit of a margin Stuttgart -1 asian handicap @ 1.75

Soccer | Spain | La Liga Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Atletico is playing well at the moment. They should be able to bother Barcelona. I don't have any strong opinion about the team that should win this one. I prefer to go on the player market. Griezmann over 0.5 shot on target @ 1.71 looks good

Soccer | Spain | La Liga Getafe vs Mallorca My take here is that I think there will more than 1 goal. Over 1.5 goal @ 1.75 is an option but I don't see any of the 2 teams able to keep a clean sheet. My pick BTTS @ 2.55 -> 5 units

Soccer | Italy | Serie A Genoa vs Napoli Napoli is better and should win this game. Genoa struggles to score and Napoli should be able to contain them. Wanted to go for a handicap bet but not convinced that Napoli will score many. Kept it simple Napoli to win @ 1.62 -> 10 units

Soccer | England | Premier League Brentford v Nottingham Forrest 2 teams scoring many goals. Brentford at home went over 2.5 goals 7 times out of 8. NF away went over 2.5 goals 5 times out of 8. Over 2.5 goals @ 1.67 looks good value

Soccer | England | Premier League Aston Villa v Man City Crystal Palace v Arsenal I am going for a multi bet here. Combined odd 2.28 BTTS @ 1.49 in Aston Villa v Man City game. AV struggling to keep clean sheets and Man City taking many goals. Not sure who will won but BTTS looks value bet.

Soccer | France | Ligue 1 Monaco vs PSG Monaco is 1 of the 2 teams that can compete with PSG for the title. Won't be an easy game for Paris. The timing of the match is very strange. Not sure we will see many goals. Under 3.5 goals @ 1.72 looks great value

Soccer | Spain | La Liga Villareal vs Rayo Vallecano I think that will be a much tigher game than what the odds tell us. Rayo does not score much but does not concede many goals too and are doing pretty well away from home. Villareal won't have an easy game. Rayo +0.75 @ 1.76 looks good value

Soccer | Spain | La Liga Espanyol vs Valencia 2 teams at the bottom of the ladder. They are doing equally bad. Interestingly Espanyol has won 13pts/14 at home 1.5 pts / match while Valencia won only 2 points and scored only 3 goals away. Espanyol to win @ 2.63 looks overpriced & good value

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Soccer | Italy | Serie A Lazio v Inter Milan For me this is a 50/50 game. Lazio at home is very strong 6w/1d/0l. I don't understand why the odds are so high. Taking the chances here. Lazio to win @ 3.65 -> 5 units

Soccer | England | Premier League Bournemouth v West Ham Bournemouth has played 7 games at home. 4 times they were leading at H/T. West Ham 7 games away, 4 times losing at H/T. I think Bournemouth can take this one and odds for a win at H/T is good. Bournemouth wins at H/T @ 2.15 -> 5 units

4th consecutive week with a profit. Over 100 units profit over the last 4 weeks. Since the beginning, 467 bets, 40% wins, +377 units profit, around 13 % ROI so far. Keep the good work !! betting-gazette.weebly.com/blog/betting...

2/6 last night but the 2 big 10 units bets are winning. +23 units and I finish the week on the positive side. Should be around +7 units for the week. Saturday night soccer was bad should have been more selective. Detailed weekly wrap up to come later

Soccer | Italy | Serie A Parma v Hellas Verona Parma has more offensive weapons and should have more opportunities to score. Playing at home they should be able to take this one. Parma to win @ 1.91 -> 5 units

Soccer | Germany | Bundesliga Heidenheim v Stuttgart Heidenheim is struggling in Bundesliga. They played on Thursday in eastern Eropa for an heavy loss. Stuttgart is stronger and should be able to take this one. Stuttgart -1 handicap @ 2.4 -> 10 units

Soccer | France | Ligue 1 Le Havre v Strasbourg Both teams sitting quite close in the ladder but I think this is not the true level of the teams. Strasbourg is much stronger and should be able to win this one. Strasbourg -1 handicap @ 3.9 -> 10 units

Soccer | Spain | La Liga Atletico Madrid v Getafe Should be an easy win at home. Atletico Madrid to win by at least 2 goals @ 2.23 -> 5 units

Soccer | England | Premier League Brighton v Crystal Palace Just think that Brighton is better and should win. chances seem higher than what odds reflect. Brighton to win @ 1.85 -> 5 units

Soccer | England | Premier League Chelsea v Brentford Chelsea is playing really good at the moment and faces one of the weakest team away from home in the league. Chelsea should score few goals. My pick here is Chelsea to win by at least 2 goals @ 1.93 -> 5 units

Soccer | England | Premier league Arsenal v Everton Arsenal to win to nil @ 1.90 for 10 units Liverpool v Fulham Liverpool to win to nil @ 2.58 for 5 units

Soccer | Spain | La Liga Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Just spotted odds for Bellingham shots on target. 1.75 for more than 0.5 shot on target. Seems very strange considering Mbappe will be out 5 units @ 1.75 for Bellingham to have more than 0.5 shot on target.

Soccer | France | Ligue 1 Marseille v Lille Lille has played in Champions League this week. Interestingly this match comes as a early game on Saturday. Very short turn around Game can be tight but I bet on the fatigue here. Schedule is shocking. OM to win @ 2.23 for 5 units

Soccer | Italy | SerieA Juventus v Venezia Juventus to win to nil @ 2.14 for 7 units Cagliari v Atalanta Atalanta to win @ 1.5 for 6 units