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toddntucker.bsky.social
Director, Industrial Policy & Trade, Roosevelt Institute/Roosevelt Forward (@rooseveltinstitute.org). Political scientist of economic transitions, administrative states, Bidenomics, Trumpnomics. Fellows @Harvard Kennedy School. Lectures @JHU. PhD.
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Prolific Poster

Much of the Black middle class was built by federal jobs. That may change. www.nbcnews.com/news/nbcblk/... via @nbcnews

“In some ways that’s even more chilling than firing the four stars,” Rosa Brooks, a professor at Georgetown Law. “It’s what you do when you’re planning to break the law: you get rid of any lawyers who might try to slow you down.” By NYT Greg Jaffe www.nytimes.com/2025/02/22/u...

Trump: "We were the richest relatively -- think of this -- from 1870 to 1913. That was our richest. Because we collected tariffs ... we had so much wealth. Of course, now we give it away to transgender ... everybody gets a transgender operation."

Mike Donilon at Harvard Institute of Politics on Biden's decision to run for reflection, withdraw from the race, and then endorse Harris. www.youtube.com/live/TJ41aAD...

After this tweet went viral, Jesse and I talked about the possibility of a recession for my newsletter. You can also listen to it on your favorite podcast app! Just search for The Cross Section. paulwaldman.substack.com/p/is-the-nex...

NEW — The National Treasury Employees Union Chapter 282 just emailed its ~8,000 employee members strongly advising them NOT to reply to the “What did you do last week?” email from OPM/Musk.

Last night's Pentagon massacre is much more than realized. Not just firing the black CJCS and first woman CNO but all the senior JAG officers and hiring a man who just joined 3 different crypto firms tied to Kushner and Thiel as Chairman. I did a deep dive into it open.substack.com/pub/fpwellma...

A response to @jasonfurman.bsky.social's Foreign Affairs indictment of the Biden administration and its ideas, here with my perspective on tradeoffs, policy, the Biden administration, and "post-neoliberalism." (It's more fun than it sounds?) mikekonczal.substack.com/p/rethinking...

I and others noted that the investment claims in the Furman piece seemed completely off, so I’m really glad Ernie and Eric dug into them and wrote it out. From highways to broader aggregates, investments were up in real terms.

OMB director Russ Vought has officially begun carrying out his section of Project 2025. Technical thread to follow, but it’s really important - this is a major path through which the Trump administration will illegally impound funding, refusing to carry out some of our spending laws.

Primer by William Galston on legal restrictions on firing military officers. www.brookings.edu/articles/doe...

Michael Stumo, longtime tariff and aviation safety advocate, to lead Made in America work at OMB. prosperousamerica.org/cpa-announce...

Three good podcasts to help you make sense of the week.

Unfortunately for American democracy, there are already law review articles arguing that third-term presidencies are constitutionally acceptable

As Trump continues his threats to "takeover" D.C, we break down what federal control of the city could actually look like, using history as our guide.

CPAC too toxic for French far right. Bardella cancels speech after Bannon Nazi salute. Antisemitism the new wedge issue on the far right…🤔 www.barrons.com/news/france-...

Judicial review had a good run

Guest program, great location, and (in my opinion) by far the best part of the INET initiative.

Well said, @toddntucker.bsky.social

Senators Baldwin, Fetterman, Warren, Slotkin and Klobuchar write #Trump asking him to "Hold China Accountable for Decades of Cheating American Workers and Shipbuilders". We can revitalize American shipbuilding and maritime capacity. bit.ly/4hLZUrA

Under the Biden administration, tariffs paired with clean energy investments fueled record manufacturing growth. Tariffs can yield benefits—but only when used strategically. @toddntucker.bsky.social explores the trade-offs of Trump's vision of tariffs: rooseveltinstitute.org/public...

"Germany has lost almost a quarter of a million manufacturing jobs since the start of the Covid pandemic as companies and politicians sound the alarm that Europe’s industrial heartland is suffering an irreversible decline." www.ft.com/content/bdba...

Europe doesn't expect its carbon border adjustment mechanism to actually bite at US exporters, as the US is currently cleaner in the six targeted industries. This is good news for anyone wanting to see CBAM be implemented and not derailed by US protests. subscriber.politicopro.com/newsletter/2...

"Trump’s tariffs would “only modestly increase prices and in a non-persistent manner” — a signal the Fed governor believes the new administration’s trade policies should not affect the central bank’s decision-making." www.ft.com/content/95e1...

European and Ukrainian officials: Zelenskyy may have made a strategic error by not including an overall value or any specifics on minerals-for-aid. “It was written as a lure for Trump, clearly. But the lack of detail meant Trump could essentially name his price." www.ft.com/content/6c9d...

Oklahoma Republican Governor Kevin Stitt doesn't support Trump's calls to repeal IRA clean energy tax credits. "That was a deal that was cut. Congress has got opine on it, but a deal is a deal, and you can't back up on some of those things." subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...

Sean O'Brien seems to be confused about which side in labor-management disputes unions are supposed to be on.

F.D.A.’s Food Safety Chief Resigns "The chief said the loss of critical employees overseeing the nation’s food supply made his work impossible. RFK, the nation’s new health secretary, has pledged to gut the division." www.nytimes.com/2025/02/18/u...

This is HUGE. The administration is trying to dismantle the board so that government employees have nowhere to file termination grievances.

I've pleased to announce that on March 6 at 10 am EST, I will be on a Webinar (my 1st at the new gig) on Trumponomics and Global South, along with @inumanak.bsky.social and @toddntucker.bsky.social. Our discussion will be moderated by Sarang Shidore. Details and signup quincyinst.org/events/will-...

Professional update: I've joined the Reimagining the Economy Project @harvardkennedy.bsky.social @harvardmwc.bsky.social as a senior research fellow, alongside Gordon Hanson, Dani Rodrik (@drodrik.bsky.social), @rohansandhu.bsky.social, and their excellent team. news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...

Smart trade policies = a stronger future. We need trade policies that: ✅ Boost clean energy ✅ Protect labor rights ✅ Invest in U.S. manufacturing @toddntucker.bsky.social on how to respond to Trump's latest tariffs threats: rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...

My new paper, Presidential Regulation, w/ @ganeshsitaraman.bsky.social, is up: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers..... We argue that recent admins have created a new mode of economic governance that is dramatically different how presidents have traditionally used admin tools to regulate the economy. 1/

Could the US have an $100 trillion sovereign wealth fund to rival Norway or Saudi Arabia? Stephen Jen gaming out how the US could catch up. www.ft.com/content/de28...

James Carville: so uh so uh the thing you got to know about the Québécois is that they get madder than a raccoon in a pillowcase, that’s ol pappy in a dishwasher ya see News anchor: yes I do see, thank you. Now turning to Steve Kornacki to determine which war ravaged region would prefer Mayor Pete

In less than one month Republicans have acted to ban college athletes from organizing, bring back non-competes and restrictive severance agreements, outlaw public worker collective bargaining, and allow major companies to ignore their unions with no penalty. www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/checking-i...

Trump calls Biden's Americas Partnership for Economic Prosperity a "lazy effort, composed of endless dialogues, photo-ops, and useless multilateral events." New America Crece 2.0 would renegotiate bilateral FTAs, up DFC, maybe add a sovereign wealth fund. subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...

on.ft.com/4b0ms5f Trade isn’t all about Trump (my latest column)

Japan betting $1.5b on "ultra-thin, light and bendy solar panels... Perovskite cells are 20 times thinner than regular solar panels and could be plastered over stadiums, airports and office buildings, enabling mass adoption of solar in a mountainous country." Where is US? www.ft.com/content/929b...

Réciprocité à Deux: Europe considers blocking pesticide treated US agriculture exports. www.ft.com/content/e488...