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vinpons.bsky.social
Professor at Harvard Business School. Affiliate at NBER, CEPR, JPal. Cofounder at Explain. Column at Les Echos. Political economy, development, tech.
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The DOGE firings have nothing to do with “efficiency” or “cutting waste.” They’re a direct push to weaken federal agencies perceived as liberal. This was evident from the start, and now the data confirms it: targeted agencies overwhelmingly those seen as more left-leaning. 🧵⬇️

submitted 3 days ago • 244 comments

Very happy to share our paper on the “Causes and Extent of Increasing Partisan Segregation in the U.S.” with J. Brown, E. Cantoni, @ryanenos.bsky.social & E. Sartre! 👇👇👇 Quick thread on what we do and find (1/10)

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

Residential segregation between Democrats and Republicans has steadily increased at all geographic levels since 2008. Decomposing this trend into different sources, from Jacob R. Brown, Enrico Cantoni, Vincent Pons, and Emilie Sartre https://www.nber.org/papers/w33422

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

Causes and Extent of Increasing Partisan Segregation in the U.S. – Evidence from Migration Patterns of 212 Million Voters. (Jacob R. Brown, Enrico Cantoni, @ryanenos.bsky.social @vinpons.bsky.social & Emilie Sartre) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250203-top...

submitted 19 days ago • 0 comments

Our work on "Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections" featured on @voxeu.org, with R. Calvo, J. Shapiro, and @ve5tal.bsky.social 👇👇👇 cepr.org/voxeu/column...

submitted 19 days ago • 1 comment

Data from 1952 to 2020 show that forecasts based on accurate predictions of demographic trends would have predicted #US elections less accurately than a coin toss. Richard Calvo, @vinpons.bsky.social, Jesse Shapiro, @ve5tal.bsky.social cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky

submitted 20 days ago • 1 comment

It's called "the great mystery of American politics" by @economist.com: Why is the country divided so evenly? New paper gives insights. Great working w Richard Calvo @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social, @vinpons.bsky.social & Jesse Shapiro @harvard.edu on a @voxeu.org piece: cepr.org/voxeu/column...

submitted 20 days ago • 1 comment

"Make Argentina Great Again!" Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social 👇👇 Milei a réduit l’inflation mais l’Argentine n’est qu’au milieu du gué – l’aide du FMI et de pays partenaires permettrait d’alléger le coût social de l’ajustement.

submitted 24 days ago • 0 comments

Un gouvernement d'union nationale est une piste logique mais risquée. 👇👇 Ma dernière chronique pour @lesechosfr.bsky.social : Désordre économique et risque populiste.

submitted 72 days ago • 2 comments

#Podcast #USPolitics🎙️ A l'occasion des élections US je suis parti à Harvard à la rencontre de l'économiste @vinpons.bsky.social. Une discussion passionnante, riche de solutions pour lutter contre le populisme & renouer avec les #ClassesPopulaires et la démocratie podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/l...

submitted 86 days ago • 0 comments

🔎 Le programme "Études démocratiques" accueille @vinpons.bsky.social, économiste à l'Université Harvard, pour une conférence intitulée "Vote et #démocratie ". RDV le 16/12 à l'ENS-PSL. Infos & inscriptions 👉 pulse.pulse.ly/2n6brpb7mi

submitted 76 days ago • 0 comments

Electoral turnovers improve countries' performance and foster accountability. Their effects are investigated in a new paper by Marx, @vinpons.bsky.social, and Rollet, who built a database of all presidential and parliamentary elections since 1945. (1/2)

submitted 104 days ago • 1 comment

Je profite du retour de @sandrousseau.bsky.social sur @bsky.app pour vous partager le dernier épisode de #WorkinClass. La semaine pro, on se retrouve pour un épisode spécial 🇺🇸, avec @vinpons.bsky.social, économiste à Harvard et auteur du livre « Portes à portes » open.spotify.com/show/1M14mxt...

submitted 96 days ago • 1 comment

Our paper on "Electoral Turnovers" with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet is now forthcoming at @reveconstudies.bsky.social!

submitted 103 days ago • 0 comments

Very happy to share our paper “Government Performance and Democracy,” just published @thejop.bsky.social ! We ask whether government performance during crises shapes people’s attitudes about democracy. Paper here: www.vincentpons.org/covid19andde.... Our blog post below 👇

submitted 125 days ago • 0 comments

When deaths rise or the economy collapses, do people blame democracy? Michael Becher, Nicolas Longuet-Marx, Vincent Pons, et al. conducted a survey experiment with 22,500 respondents in 12 countries during the COVID-19 pandemic to shed light on this question⬇️ jop.blogs.uni-hamburg.de/when-deaths-...

submitted 134 days ago • 0 comments

New CEPR Discussion Pape DP19564 Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of #US #Elections As we run up to November 5th, Richard Calvo, @vinpons.bsky.social, and Jesse Shapiro backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections since 1952, with surprising results cepr.org/publications... 📉📈 #EconSky

submitted 137 days ago • 0 comments

Do demographic trends help predict the outcomes of US elections? We checked in our new @nberpubs.bsky.social paper "Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections" with Richard Calvo and Jesse Shapiro. 👇👇 www.nber.org/papers/w33016 A thread on what we do and find. (1/n)

submitted 137 days ago • 1 comment

Please share: we are looking for a part-time or full-time RA (master or PhD level) for projects on the drivers and effects of national election outcomes with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet. Flexible location and start date. Please send me a short email and CV at [email protected] if interested!

submitted 289 days ago • 0 comments

How effective are protests? Protests appear to generate significant internet activity but have a limited effect on attitudes and electoral outcomes, finds Gethin & @vinpons.bsky.social nber.org/papers/w32342

submitted 305 days ago • 3 comments

My soccer teammates have long called me Professor – they are finally right! I am thrilled to share that I received tenure at Harvard Business School! 🍾🥂🍾 Thanks to my family, loved ones, friends, colleagues and coauthors for their constant support! I am forever grateful and will try to give back.

submitted 442 days ago • 0 comments

Les syndicats américains à la croisée des chemins: ma chronique pour Les Echos 👇👇👇 Après une bataille remportée dans le secteur automobile, leur engagement dans la présidentielle 2024 est désormais l'enjeu principal.

submitted 472 days ago • 0 comments

WORKSHOP ANNOUNCEMENT: 1st UniCatt Political Economy workshop! Two great keynote speakers: @grattonecon.bsky.social and Vincent Pons. Send us your papers (theory or empirics) and let us meet in Milano on December 20! Submission link: forms.gle/DFk1ZApJss4S... Deadline: November 5.

submitted 492 days ago • 0 comments