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wensu221.bsky.social
Demographer and applied statistician at Oxford 🇬🇧, formerly ANU 🇦🇺. Understanding human mortality through mathematical methods 🧮. Stand-up & funny socks. Views are my own.
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📢🎉🤖 Published today in natcomputsci.bsky.social /w @jiani-y.bsky.social📢🎉🤖: A new framework for (ir)reducible errors. We argue that it's impossible to know how 'predictable' things are (until we've collected every epsilon of information). ReadCube: rdcu.be/eb9IL arXiv: arxiv.org/abs/2411.19223

Trying to have a 'quick chat' with an epidemiologist #EpiSky

The MaxHel center is looking for two postdocs who will be based at our Helsinki site. Join an international team working with exciting data in a fantastic city. Full details here: jobs.helsinki.fi/job-invite/3...

We are delighted to announce our next brownbag seminar is Feb 19, 12pm, w/ Jason Fletcher (@jasonmfletcher.bsky.social), who will present on "Moving forward by looking back: New evidence that early life shapes our lifespan.” 310 Social Sciences & zoom. Do join us!

Progress we may reverse without funding for PEPFAR HIV treatments & the people who deliver them: After ART became available to treat HIV in rural South Africa (dashed line in 2003), life expectancy increased from 49.2 to 60.5 years pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC... Bor et al. in @science.org

📢 #episky #mortality Interested in investigating the drivers and obstacles to #longevity progress, pre- and post-COVID ❓ Submit your abstract for the 7th #HMD Symposium by March 30, 2025 More details ⬇️ mortality.org/File/GetDocu... 📅 9-10 October 2025 📍 @ined.bsky.social, Aubervilliers, France

I am hiring a PostDoc to work with me in my group Migration and Health Inequalities at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research! Come work with me! ⬇️

I wrote this post to give folks in my centre a broad overview of switching from #Stata to #rstats and some examples of code equivalents. Hopefully it's helpful to others too! benharrap.com/post/2025-01...

Congrats Antonino! Great work! 🎉

New paper in Population and Environment by Aude Bernard et al. on residential mobility after floods, cyclones, and bushfires in Australia: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Want to use your #statistics, ML/AI or #bioinformatics skills to solve problems in #agriculture? We are seeking 3 postdocs (up to 3 years) to join at ANU Biological Data Science Institute as part of Analytics for 🇦🇺 Grains industry by 📅 19 Jan We now also have a (WIP) website! 🌐 anu-aagi.github.io

Another example of how Decreasing incidence + Decreasing mortality = Increasing prevalence HIV edition from the GBD folks www.thelancet.com/journals/lan... #MedSky #EpiSky

📣 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐩 & 𝐇𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐧 𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐌𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 - Join us for an in-person workshop and hackathon on “Analysing Historical Mortality and Cause of Death Data” at the University of Zurich, Switzerland, on June 19–20, 2025. 🧵⬇️

The #HMD is the world's leading scientific data resource on #mortality in developed countries. We provide detailed high-quality harmonized mortality and #population estimates Our commitment to #opendata principles ensures transparency and accessibility - explore our data at 🌐 www.mortality.org 🧵

Do flu vaccines work? Yes. Annual flu vaccines prevent hundreds of thousands of cases of flu and save thousands of lives every year. Read the full post here: thosenerdygirls.org/flu-vaccines... #ThoseNerdyGirls #fluvaccines #vaccineswork

🚨Two Exciting DPhil\PhD Opportunities to join us at @oxforddemsci.bsky.social in Fall 2025!🚨 1️⃣ ABM project with 'Big Data' & LLMs (HDS CDT):👉 shorturl.at/wcMQo 2️⃣ Scientometrics project (DPhil PopHealth):👉 shorturl.at/qwsor 🕒⏳Deadline: ~10 days! Feel free to DM me w\ any Qs. Please share widely! 🙌

New @socarxiv.bsky.social preprint! 🚨 In "An integrated formal demographic fertility framework", A. Baudisch & I present new functions to describe population-level fertility age patterns—useful for modeling & forecasting? 🌟 📖 doi.org/10.31235/osf... @oxforddemsci.bsky.social @imprs-phds.bsky.social

We have another faculty opening at Oxford — this time in demography: Associate Professor in Social Demography, open to any area/topic, and open to different career stages, incl. junior scholars. With linked tutorial fellowship at St John’s College. t.co/rQ4Uob7bIz Happy to answer questions!

"While biological limits to increased life expectancy may eventually dominate long-term trends, human-made social factors are currently holding many countries back from already achievable best-practice life expectancy and will be key to near-term improvements" onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Welcome Blue Sky newbies! I'm a social science & health researcher @oxforddemsci.bsky.social who discovered a love of scicomm during COVID (via @thosenerdygirls.bsky.social). Determined to keep fighting the good fight to provide accessible, practical, & science-based health information for all.

#TodayinHistory #dataviz #Onthisday #OTD 📊 💀Oct 25, 1914 Wilhelm Lexis died in Gottingen, Germany 🇩🇪 1875: credited with the Lexis diagram, showing relations among age, calendar time, and life spans of individuals simultaneously. Brought demography to new levels.

Hi to new and old followers! 👋 I post about a mix of data, stats, computing, ag and bio 🐦 The latest work I'm passionate about is large language models (LLM) and I made an #rstats 📦 for helping you with data cleaning tasks using AI: github.com/emitanaka/SAI Keen to know how you are using LLMs!

What kind of childhood makes a top scientist? Is it enough to have all the right traits (brilliance, grit, etc) or do you need the right family too? And why should we care? A 🧵 on our paper on the Nobel Laureates. A teaser: the income distribution of the laureates' fathers. 1/N

A comprehensive overview of the last 30+ years of mortality decline in rich countries, by world-class demographers. #longevity #demography Have We Reached Peak Human Life Span? www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/w...

1/ Have we reached peak obesity? I was about to place bets with my pop health colleagues on when US obesity rates would turn the corner due to GLP-1 drugs… I definitely didn’t think it would be this quick! While I *hope* it’s true, I’m not popping my champagne quite yet. #ozempic on.ft.com/3Neb1f5

New paper (w/ @dennisfeehan.bsky.social ) on 'new' data sources for demographic research and the shared cross-cutting methodological challenges they present: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Geneticist Jonathan Pritchard has a new online open access textbook on human genetics web.stanford.edu/group/pritch...

A bit anti-climatic here downunder but I am happy to share that I have been granted my doctorate from ANU! Massive thanks to my family, my supervisory panel, and my amazing co-authors. I am lucky to be paid for doing what I love!

A new Social Science & Medicine journal study by Morten Thomsen is the first-ever to document the diverse demographic outcomes of transgender individuals at the population level, using data from Danish population registers ➡️ www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/study-e... @leverhulme.bsky.social

CenSoc Users Conference on December 6th. Please consider joining us! docs.google.com/document/d/1...

Welp, I got a bee in my bonnet about Elon Musk's recent presidential poll on the former bird site. Using Meng's decomposition of an estimator's error, I calculated the correlation between the outcome measure and the response mechanism, which is a measure of how biased the sample is.

☀️ What impact is extreme heat having on #fertility rates across Spain? Dr Joshua Wilde et al. observe an overall decline in total fertility rates 9 months on from abnormally hot days ➡️ www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/impact-... @leverhulme.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social @florenceups.bsky.social

Report: Life expectancy among First Nations ppl in British Columbia dropped by 6.1 yrs between 2017 & 2021: from 73.3 yrs in 2017 to 67.2 yrs in 2021; 6.8 for males, 5.2 for females. Decline largely due to COVID-19 pandemic & BC's opioid overdose crisis. 🛟🩺🧭📈🧪sociology episky policysky demography

My master thesis was just published in European Journal of #Population. We looked at relative lifespan inequality measure and how it was influenced by its two components: longevity and lifespan variation when incorporating all cohorts’ mortality. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

"Our findings highlight that improving morbidity and mortality among people of reproductive age—without compromising their reproductive autonomy—is critical in the United States." New 🔥 paper from @polizzan.bsky.social @andreatilstra.bsky.social @oxforddemsci.bsky.social t.co/BIVHytGpoG

Our (with Oskar Burger and Ron Lee) edited volume Human Evolutionary Demography is now published by Open Book Publishers 🎉 32 chapters completely free to read, including an impressive line-up of researchers working in this area 😊

The Population & Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program '24 starts now: Welcome Ola Ali,Domenico Bovienzo, Charles Cui,Nathaniel Darling, Zoé Haskell-Craig,Jiaxuan Li, Gergely Mónus,Abbie Robinson,Sara Ronnkvist,Alexandra Rottenkolber,Tianyu Shen & Zoey Wang! www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

🚨 My first PhD paper is out! Using discrete-time multistate models, we find intersectional inequalities across race, education, & sex in multimorbid life expectancy in South Africa. Have a read if you're interested! doi.org/10.1080/0032...

This is very nice short video with Vladimir Canudas-Romo about applying to the graduate program in Demography at ANU www.youtube.com/watch?v=50cI...