Profile avatar
wxwatson.bsky.social
OTR truck driver/US ARMY veteran/Meteorology/Chasing dangerous weather since 98’ Everything #okwx 🌪️⛈️❄️⚡️
214 posts 326 followers 579 following
Prolific Poster

I wasn’t kidding. youtu.be/TPxFd_eS6ss?...

Enjoy this week, cause we trend much colder the week after and increasing chances of precip as well. Tuesday morning, depending on where a front is situated, some light freezing drizzle possible but mainly far northern OK into KS. #okwx

So.. how about them Team Dominator “Power Rankings”? #weather #wxsky

Fairly strong signal amongst ensemble guidance by day 7. Worth watching to see what happens #okwx

Well next week could be interesting or it could be a dud, not a fan of lower latitude systems in their ability to be hit or miss. Lots of chatter about potential wintry precip in the southern plains. More uncertainty and questions than answers. #okwx

Rick roll

Looking good in the extended for OKC. Some colder air looming beyond the first week of Feb which isn’t unusual for this time of the year. Some signals for precip exist late next week. #okwx

Valentine NE 🥶🥶❄️❄️

Far cry from where we were! Temperatures look so much better albeit very low chances of precip #okwx

Another very cold night is ahead for Alabama, followed by a slow warming trend. Details on today's afternoon briefing: www.youtube.com/live/HEYONvq...

WELL HELLO FRIENDS

Why???

-4° in Fremont, NE 🥶

A few snow showers today in and near the OKC metro (dusting up to one half inch) highs will hover near 30°. We begin a warming trend Wednesday as our upper air pattern begins to change to erode this deep, Arctic airmass. #okwx

Some light snow possible tomorrow but generally a dusting to a trace can be expected for the OKC metro. NW OK (Arnett/Alva/Seiling) and points north have the best opportunity of accum. snow (1-3” poss.) Warmer temps trend as we head into the latter part of the week. #okwx

Chuck was Gabe Garfield's and my senior capstone advisor 20 yrs ago. We were nervous asking him if he'd be our advisor, but we knew there were few in the world from whom we'd learn more. I still frequent his pet peeves list: www.flame.org/~cdoswell/pe... 1/2

Imagine being on the beach while it snows… that is a possibility for some on the gulf coast early next week!

Arctic blast on the way, some light snow possible for the OKC metro however, we likely will see less than 1” between Sunday through Wednesday. We do trend warmer towards the latter part of the following week. #okwx

Bitter cold temperatures coming into the weekend and early next Monday. Some light snow possible late Saturday and into early Sunday but no major impacts expected at the current time. We try and warm back up toward the middle of next week.

How might freezing rain events change in a warmer climate? It's complicated other than events shift northward. #AMS2025

Damn those 384 hour snow maps flying around right now

youtu.be/fkx3_qS9Z80?...

Steady warm up before the Arctic tundra returns. Some evidence of precip down the road and a very cold look over all synoptically. Wintry precip could be possible in the not so distant future again for the southern plains #okwx

Pipe bursting temperatures looking more likely as we head toward the 20th and there is a chance we could also see wintry precip again around that time #okwx

Heads up on big time cold heading down the plains around the 20th. 15-20° below average is significant in terms that OKC average temp for Jan is 43.9°. Real deal cold and potential for wintry precip possible! #okwx

Warming trend slow, watching 1/20 time space as we could see colder temps and another potential for wintry precip possible #okwx

DO NOT I repeat DO NOT look at the 00z NAM. You will be forever scarred 😂😭 #okwx #weather #winter

Kuchera or 10:1 #snow #weather which is the best method preferred and why

Arctic front arrives tomorrow morning, cold to start the first half of the week and watching another system potentially around the 10th #okwx

Wind chills will be single digits come Sunday night into Monday morning. Winter storm stays north of OK and most will be void and clear of it minus some blowing snow US-412 and points north in northern and northwestern OK. We warm toward the latter part of the following week. #okwx

In terms of Oklahoma, the system is largely going to pass to our north. Trends with ensemble guidance are converging on keeping it north. Some light flurries could be possible with the Arctic air that comes in as well as dangerously cold wind chills through the day Sunday and Monday morning. #okwx

Vast majority of OK will not have to deal with the winter storm on Sunday. However, kids at the bus stop Monday morning will experience some very bitter wind chills #okwx

Potent winter storm stays north of OK the way it’s trending right now and not looking impactful for the OKC metro for Sunday. #okwx

Quite a bit of spread with ensemble guidance and quite suppressed the further south you go. However, there’s generalized agreement from KC points north and east for better amounts. Granted we are still a ways out. #okwx

Trending colder after the 5-7th of Jan. Some signals for precip around that period, however confidence is not very high on that right now. Very similar to the cold spell we had back in Dec. #okwx

Interesting setup today in Dixie. How long will buoyant surface inflow last into E Mississippi and Alabama? How much CI will exist *during* overlapping shear/instability for prefrontals? How "productive" will the QLCS be? HRRR for Jackson, MS @ 22z #LAwx #MSwx #ALwx

Pretty solid heading into the first week of January. Enjoy it while it lasts though cause usually we see very cold and an uptick in frequency/intensity of winter storms around mid/late Jan. Hopefully we can scrape by this winter! #okwx

-wakes up at 3am- -makes chili- 😑

#SPC issues Day 1 Moderate Convective Risk at Dec 28, 5:59z for BMX Link

The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Convective Outlook (Max Risk: Moderate) at Dec 28, 5:59z Link