Yes I understand it’s difficult to forecast. The winds I quoted were right down by the paper mill so the inland forecast would probably be the best. The winds in the bay rarely blow as forecasted due to the topography.
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And that's a VERY correct statement. Corner Brook is one of the toughest forecast spots due to the terrain and elevation difference. It's at least two different climate zones with mountains on most sides. We really need more weather stations in the area.
I agree. When deciding on ship movements I use the two adjacent marine forecasts, the inland CB forecast and the HRDPS continental 2.5 km on Spotwx. What we actually get is usually some version of a mean consensus of those.
Ahh ok! Yeah that is a bit different. Were you working in a gap between buildings by chance? Cause buildings / structures can do some very significant enhancement to winds sometimes.
I'll look tonight to see if there was a satellite wind pass over the area on Sunday... SOMETIMES, it picks up on weird local effects. I will say that, unless it's happening over a large area, it will be difficult for us to put it in the forecast unless it's dangerously strong (i.e. Wreckhouse).
However! lol what are the chances you can get the Mill to put a weather station down there and make the data public... That would help us diagnose it and maybe forecast it. Kinda gotta prove it's a widespread thing though. Otherwise it just becomes a "yeah that place is just always windier".
I am always watching the various forecasts and have been moving ships around the bay for 11 years. The winter frontal wind forecasts are good but the summer bay breeze rarely conforms to what you would expect based on available model guidance
figures that on the day in question the satellite winds just missed the area. I can't easily go back and check either, it's just after the models are dropped from our system.
All good. It’s not something most people are concerned about. It’s just one of many unique quirks of NLwx. I’ve chatted with Rodney in the past about how the southerly winds split on the south coast and go SE west of Francois and SW E of there due to the upslope terrain north of the coast.
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