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01james2024.bsky.social
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Can you elaborate on the last one?
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How do mental frameworks for processing a shared reality play into the concept? Honestly half the time it seems like people have enough of the same information & values but still inhabit different realities. Take the conservative wilful blindness to Trump's obvious 2020 electoral crimes for example.
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What would be an example of public interest infrastructure? Also I get the participatory transparency element but how do you add in accountability when those decisions don't happen at the public level outside of elections?
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The Tories morphed into BlueKIP after 2016, there's no difference between them & Reform except the Tories have already proven those ideas & their people incompetent failures. Reform get to pretend they're something new, even it's more of the same but harder, more incompetent and more corrupt.
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Spelt "DODGY" in British English. Reform obviously using the American spelling as that's where all their ideas and money come from when they can't get in the Russian embassy.
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Disorder is probably right if the target audience is scholarly. To get into daily discourse though? I don't know, I'm probably wrong.
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I actually had a read of that before and found it fascinating. I have absolutely zero cred on this topic and love your work so have no right to stick my oar in but it's the kind of thing that might benefit from split testing if it doesn't take off in it's current form.
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Eliot your ideas are some of the most important in modern democracy but is "Disorder" really the right word to describe them? It can imply that information is just not organised sensically or neatly, rather than a more severe and systemic dysfunction. Apologies if this is a really dumb comment.
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Is there a difference within conservatives on that though? I know you've noted a difference in meritocratic (even if flawed meritocracy) and those who believe in natural superiority. Even up till recently there's been a lot of conservatives skeptical of Government authority.
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New Fallon d'Floor nominee.
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He's a lying bastard.
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It's fairness that's a decent apology but it really depends on whether he's going to actually learn anything from it or continue being constantly surprised every time it gets worse.
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Is there a risk that in trying so hard to appear reasonable, intellectuals have ignored the factor of the US being unrestrained by international forces (e.g the EU) in a way that Orban could only dream of?
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How does America absorb this level of cringe without a revolution.
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What I don't understand is why we haven't brought Spear production online for other platforms while waiting for F-35 integration. We've brought it for a capability, do we for some reason now not need that capability?
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Could you a drop an unmanned sub like CETUS out of one of those? Or an A400?
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What are the other modes besides laser designated?
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Totally and on a very narrow set of circumstances. I'm just saying for fuck sake don't assume a potentially desperate and aggressive psycho poker player will give you five years to build a perfect European arms industry and sort out nuclear sharing.
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How long would it take those countries to deploy two or three survivable divisions to the Baltics without US assistance? Who provides the nuclear umbrella? Who does SEAD and how long will it take to clear the way for European airpower? How do they handle Russia's drone advantage?
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The question is how many NATO countries are willing to negotiate away a couple of Estonian villages if a nuke is detonated demonstratively over the Baltic Sea.
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NATO has already fallen apart. Point would be to take territory then force post-USA NATO to negotiate rather than risk fighting for it back without a US nuclear umbrella. Doing so would shatter European collective defence. Europe shouldn't underestimate risk of an early war.
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The 32 is dependent on 1 and that 1 is no longer trustworthy. Any Russian move against NATO will have the strategic intent of shattering collective defence unity between the remaining 31. It might make sense for Russia to go early, rather than kindly giving Europe five years to organise and rearm.
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What is the Russian military now? 1.4m? Mostly tied down in Ukraine. Largely combat experienced, albeit in a narrow way. When the war ends is Putin going to want that psychologically scarred force of war criminals sitting around in Russia bored & unemployed?
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A theoretical situation where the war ends in Ukraine this year, plus a year for Russia to reconstitute light/medium forces into something that can conduct maneuverer warfare. How hard would it be for them to reconstitute a force that could seize territory in the Baltics? 200k being an arbitrary est
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So what happens if Russia suddenly puts 200,000 infantry on the border of Latvia next year and the deployed EU tripwire forces don't even have basic C-UAS or VSHORAD yet?
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Hungary is restrained by that dependency. America isn't, it's the World's largest economy while Hungary is 57th. Likewise militarily.
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I think an under-discussed aspect of this is that America is unrestrained by external forces in a way that Orban could only dream of. Writers sounding the alarm on authoritarianism have been trying so hard to sound reasonable that they might have actually under-cooked their analysis.
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Isn't that just direct and indirect authoritarianism though, which then drives disordered discourse? It's not actually disordered discourse in itself, which requires the full spectrum to really be considered disordered?
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I've said for a long time that the perfect analogy for Russia's hostility to Ukraine is that of a violent, controlling, abusive ex. The main problem with the analogy being that there was never a consensual relationship in the first place. Unsurprising that Trumpism manages to join the analogy.
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Similar political mindset to Musk. Faux libertarianism that's really I-AM-VERY-SMART tech-authoritarianism. Combined with a lot of hate, a total lack of self-responsibility, a lack of honestly, a lack of honour, and more than a sprinkling of conspiracism.
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Agree but to refine the point, isn't it liberal-democracy that they really hate? Or even liberalism. I don't think they'd have a problem with democracy if the mob was on their side and the checks and balances removed.
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NATO air-policing mission. Engineering force to harden Ukraine's infrastructure & de-mine rear areas. Large training force that acts as a credible reserve formation if Russia makes an incursion. A light UN buffer & observation force to prevent persistent tit for tat killing on the contact line.
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Batshit but it's interesting that she's talking about liberalism, incredible rare for politicians to do that. There's a massive danger of surrendering the topic to the populist right in the way free speech topics too often have been.