afcjames.bsky.social
Enter me! (He says in parentheses)
Data Science / Football / Basketball / European Politics
279 posts
81 followers
86 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
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Honestly just easier if afc just win a game.
I think Villa and Chelsea both won out from here.
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And that's Leicester beating Forest too!!
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It's falling below 5th that's the problem though no?
Obviously not worried though, silly to be.
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Exactly - Reform voters are often from areas where they don't even experience changes from migration (if they even are any major ones).
So Lab doing this will not change their life, therefore won't change their vote.
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Don't forget Merino!
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I was really thrilled to see lots of mentions of Mr Piketty, Capital was one of the books I was engrossed with whilst I was doing my political science MA back in 2022.
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Thank you for the link!
I'd love for my German-speaking side of the family to read as some of the chapters are really getting across the arguments I've been making for years re global wealth inequalities.
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Not a super computer, it was just a model that ran a ton of all the different possible scenarios and then outputted the probability of each
Easier way to look at it is that there is basically a 7% chance that Newcastle, City, Villa, Chelsea and Forest all have the perfect results needed to best us.
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Which is basically 3 because of GD.
Btw... if it puts readers at ease, I ran a large simulation yesterday and even in a scenario where Afc lose every remaining game, they still have around a 93% chance to finish in a UCL spot :)
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Palace going into that pretty heavy bookies favs too, guess the Forest drop off really is looking bad for them.
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If outlaw plan goes ahead, obviously risk that if it fails.
Afd can run the narrative that the establishment tried taking them down.
Tricky territory
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And as soon as any mainstream media attempts to factcheck his BS claims, he has the grounds to say "look at how against me the media and establishment is against us guys".
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Spurs likely near full strength which they haven't been most of the season, which makes them much better than United.
Even with big injuries think spurs are 3 and 0 record vs utd this season too.
Lets wish for a Norwegian and Spanish final
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Surely they can't get near Spurs 🤣 hope they do though.
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Good man, enjoy yourself but keep safe too.
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How does that work as say we lose every game (to make my point) and villa win all theirs and Chelsea lose all theirs.
We only get the magic 10 re Chelsea and not Villa.
Thus finishing 6th
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Am I right in saying the magic number 10 has to be for BOTH Chelsea and Villa? As only finishing above one would mean 6th place.
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What does the mind you" part of your tweet mean then sorry?
I assume the 10 magic number is against teams Newcastle and above?
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Do you mean that you've already accounted for Chelsea and Villa dropping points when they play?
I think Chelsea also play forest too btw if so
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That's good to hear, I think it's my 2019 PTSD that's making me worry about us messing up UCL qual, which statistically has a 98% chance of happening. 😂
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Which is advantage Arsenal anyways.
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As in we need to earn 12 points or 12 points in a magic nums sense?
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Do you have a full magic numbers? When is most likely we secure top 4/5?
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So try win.
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The microscope/telescope metaphor you used a few weeks back is applicable here...
Yet people will scream for Semenyo or Gordon to be signed.