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andrewwr235.bsky.social
Energy, mathematics, forecasting, analysis. Wine, cooking, reading, music. Generally curious. Hopeful that my country, the UK, will one day come to its senses again
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None of this supports the idea that the solution to the UK's woes is renationalisation of key industries.

Check out the latest edition of my @financialtimes.com newsletter. (1/2) The UK doesn't have a "productivity puzzle". Its problem is policymaking: on.ft.com/4kifegH

Video of me making this animation: youtu.be/EtKy0XBwgyY #MathsAnimationTMiP

The larger issue, as Oransky sees it, is that nobody caught these errors before the report was released. “Either nobody checked this or nobody was looking very carefully at this before it was published,” he said.

Scientist say it is unlikely that Joe Biden was executed and replaced by clones. But at this Imagine Dragons concert, they aren’t so sure.

🚨 Entire Russian strategic bomber fleet takes to the skies

Imagine if a referendum were held in which 52% of those who voted declared that the Earth was flat. And that subsequently everyone in the UK was forced to behave as if the Earth was indeed flat, and all main parties said "Ok, flat it is. Evidence be damned." That's Brexit.

Now I don’t think Herman was wise to make such a statement, but the lack of self-awareness here is quite a thing: right-wing pols/media routinely compare any vaguely left-wing politician (including Starmer, to Stalin and/or Pol Pot, who they take pains to explain were actually worse than the Nazis.

As people ask "how did Truss ever become PM?" it's worth remembering that large parts of the media appeared to take her seriously

What is now very disturbing about social media is that we see politicians (Truss, but Badenoxh too) picking up loony online groupthink and treating it as if it were real. /1

cc: CDU Berlin on.ft.com/3Fl0MFI

Your mission, should you choose to accept it,.....

It might be quicker than you think to walk station to station—TfL’s new walking maps show just how long it actually takes to get around the West End and the City on foot. tfl.gov.uk/modes/walkin...

Two uncomfortable truths with the Lucy Connolly story: 1. Suspect the right are missing how deeply authoritarian the British public are. They tend to *like* these laws and sentences. 2. Most of the British political class liked them too, until they were applied to a middle class white woman.

Stephen is dead right. They watched him lie, cheat, incite, and threaten. They saw him mock the disabled, attack Gold Star families, brag about sexual assault, and incite an insurrection against his own country. And what did they do? They cheered. They nominated him, and they ELECTED him again.

“Rather than 5-10 years, as once thought, the working estimate for when Putin might have the capabilities to take on NATO …comes from a Danish intelligence assessment earlier this year: six months for a localized attack, two years for a regional Baltic war, and five for any wider European conflict.”

Ukraine has today likely inflicted the greatest damage to Russia's ability to launch nuclear weapons in history. I've said it before and I'll say it again. It is not Ukrainians who should be thanking the West. It is the West who should be thanking Ukrainians.

"Roughly 1,500 babies have been born HIV-positive every day since January 21, because Musk cut off their mothers’ medication." prospect.org/power/2025-0...

just checking in on the president before bed… he just reposted some qanon brain rot about how joe biden was secretly executed in 2020 and replaced with a clone and/or robot 👍

Liz Truss, dedicating herself to a lifetime of unlearning. Determinedly becoming stupid, unlearning the lessons of the past. Misinterpreting everything.

Western generals aren't debating whether Putin will have the means or motive to test NATO by attacking a member state. He does; the question is in what form, where and how soon. My column for Bloomberg @opinion shorturl.at/2JK39

The figures for February and March excise collected on Wine are finally out. When you include the time lag (ie February is actually January etc…) the drop in tax collections is amazing and the decline continues in April ‘25.

Deporting a gay man to Russia is beyond horrific, and yet this admin is happy to do it. And the verbal abuse he describes is abhorrent; and not new. Guards at detention centers, jails, and prisons get away with crap like this all the time. It’s appalling, it’s not new under Trump, just worse now.

Classic cexample of category error. The European Union is not capable of having a "true ambition". It is a legal structure, defining relations between individual states, themselves each groupings of individual human beings. A few of whom want the EU to become "a new form of state".

ICE is illegally raiding Congressional offices

It turns out that randomly slashing systems you aren't bright enough to understand makes those systems simultaneously less efficient and more expensive. Less for more. Trump is said to be delighted.

Elon Musk is leaving DOGE, having pledged to cut $2 trillion from the US federal budget. His results: US federal spending year-to-date is $209bn higher in 2025 than it was in 2024, a +6.8% increase. (Source: fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/dai...)

i lived in israel from 2004-2007. i met my wife there. my mother and three older sisters now live there with their families. i lived on king george st in jlm across from the midrachov. i have slept in caravans in bat ayin and bedouin villages in the negev. do me a big favor and fuck all the way off.

Chien-Shiung Wu, who obtained experimental proof of parity violation in weak nuclear decay, was born #OTD in 1912. Her 1956 experiment involving the decay of Cobalt-60 confirmed that the weak interaction does not respect what many had assumed was a fundamental symmetry of nature. 🧪 👩‍🔬 ⚛️

HOLD UP. Are you telling us that the President of the United States is refusing regular briefings about threats to the country so his minions are creating a briefing TV show just for him? WHAT THE HELL? www.nbcnews.com/politics/nat...

We have a new WP out that looks at school masking during the COVID pandemic. Using the removal of CDC school masking guidance as an exogenous shock to district and state policies & data on district masking nationwide, we find mandate removals contributed to at least 9% of US COVID deaths in 2022.