billbindc.bsky.social
Billbindc in various places. Mostly Ukraine, politics and transportation.
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543 following
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Destroying Iran's conventional defensive capability contemporaneously with proving to Iran that you cannot destroy its nuclear weapons program...and thus creating the obvious worst case scenario in proliferation terms...well, we are well past trusting in rational decisions.
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China's sprint to a weapon started with 25kg of HEU. 400kg+ were in the wind before the bombings and any belief that Iran could depend on conventional defenses has now be thoroughly gutted by the Israeli attacks.
I'd guess we'll find out how seriously Iran takes fatwas in the next year.
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A ground war over the issue is just as or a more likely outcome, I regret to say.
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Perhaps you mean as a political matter? Because in terms of policy, we are very likely closer to an Iranian bomb now than we were two weeks ago.
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Trump won among Medicaid recipients in 2024. pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/202...
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And behind that belief almost always lurks dreams of a ground war in Iran:
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IF highly enriched uranium was stored in the tunnels, it almost certainly survived. The tunnels were too deep to be MOPed. If the U.S. attacked their entrances, those attacks weren't effective.
Well done to @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on this find. (2/2)
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This rupture is the most serious blow to IAEA access since 2021. With inspectors locked out, we will be unable to assess the condition of Iran’s nuclear facilities or the extent of the damage from the strikes. Not to mention future transparency over its nuclear activities.
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Which means a baby born in New York to undocumented parents will be a citizen. But a baby born to undocumented parents in Kentucky will not be a citizen.
This is madness.
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The upshot of this decision, for now, seems to be exactly the crazy patchwork scenario we were warned about:
- the lower-court injunctions continue to protect the parties (immigrant orgs, individuals and 22 states) from Trump's EO
- the EO can (and will) be enforced in the other 28 states
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He should have sat this one out imo
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Fascism is like any other addiction.
He thinks it's making him stronger and it's killing him.