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byrdnick.com
I study how to improve decisions and well-being at @GeisingerCollege.bsky.social. 🎓 gScholar: shorturl.at/uBDPW ▶️ youtube.com/@ByrdNick 👨‍💻 psychologytoday.com/us/blog/upon-reflection 📓 byrdnick.com/blog 🎙️ byrdnick.com/pod
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A "stretch goal" is an attempt to accomplish seemingly impossible results. Unsurprisingly, they're often unfulfilled. Two studies found that employees with more #stretchGoals exhibited more #fear of failure, #anxiety, and even #unethical #work behaviors. doi.org/10.1007/s105...

#AI reasoning models may seem to reason reflectively when they say things like, "Let me rethink that". But do these "reflective" phrases predict better reasoning performance? Not in #Deepseek R1 Zero: doi.org/10.48550/arX... #cogSci #decisionScience #processTracing #psychology

What's it cost to treat #diet-related conditions in the #USA? In adults from 2021 and 2022: - Annual cost to treat was ≅ $4000 on average - Total expenditure was ≅ $334,000,000,000 - The federal #govt paid for most of that meps.ahrq.gov/data_f... #nutrition #medicine #policy

What will best #nudge people to buy healthier #food online? - #Nutrition visual aids - Customizable #search - "Sort by" #defaults In one experiment, only changing default sorting from alphabetical to healthiness helped (N ≅ 1k). doi.org/10.1016/j.fo... #webDev #edu #health

Global trust in scientists was above the midpoint (even for #climate scientists) across 69k people from 68 nations. Trust was predicted more by #religion than #politics or #science #literacy. Political gaps in trust (climate v general) varied by nation. dx.doi.org/10.1088/1...

Upper respiratory infections (or common colds) tend to be viral; so #antibiotics are usually inappropriate. Prescribing #plantBased alternatives predicted less antibiotic #prescription, even among clinicians without additional training in #naturopathy. doi.org/10.3389/fmed...

#Teaching med. students about base rates and bayesian updating improved their diagnoses more than merely practicing differential #diagnosis on various cases (F = 9.07, p < 0.001), which was no better than the control condition! doi.org/10.1001/jama... #medicine #edu #stats #RCT

In 2017, researchers asked if people want #AI making decisions in #medicine. People's #ethics didn’t explain much, but the #statusQuo did. The more people thought AI *is* making decisions, the more they thought it *should*. 🔒 doi.org/10.1145/3278... 🔓 users.cs.duke.edu/~c...

#Checklists have massive benefit in #aviation, #engineering, and #medicine. Now #cognitiveScience has a list of 51 simple yes-no questions (from experts around the world) to design and assess #research — its quality, #reproducibility, etc. doi.org/10.3758/s134... #philSci #edu

Why can economic #inequality depress the #minimumWage? An is-ought #fallacy? From over 135,000 people in #protests, experiments, and #processTracing studies, scientists found that people seemed to infer what people OUGHT to earn from what they DO earn. doi.org/10.1037/xge0...

Will #AI rigidly hold the moral values of its original decision or adapt as #ethics dilemmas become more complex? Across 3,302 five-step #moralDilemmas, 9 #LLMs often shifted priorities as stakes rose (e.g., care → fairness). Some violated transitivity. doi.org/10.48550/arX...

Can task-switching hinder decisions? Switching between a reflection test and a fluid #IQ test lowered optimal reflection test scores and completion compared to taking the tests separately (N = 80). Bad news for #multitasking? ianburbidge.com/wp-c... #productivity #cogSci #edu

No one asked for it, but 2025 will be the year of "expressive" #UX. After #Google previewed Android's next "Material 3 Expressive" at #IO, #Apple did the same with its "expressive" new 2026 #OS designs at #WWDC. I'm hoping for on-device #AI models. You? www.youtube.com/live...

Peer review is still crucial in #science and #scholarship. A beautiful #preprint - finds few scholars get formal #education in #peerReview. - distills scholars' ideas about improving peer review. - offers recommendations for #training and implementation. osf.io/preprints/osf...

Trading Spaces: #SocialMedia Edition

A #nudge improves a decision environment. A #boost improves a decision competency. This paper argues against Sunstein's suggestion that boosts are thus educative or reflective (System 2) interventions. doi.org/10.1007/s112... #BehavioralScience #Policy #PhilSci #CogSci #Edu

If you've published in Analysis, how long did they take to publish final proofs? I sent proofs on March 5, but the article's URL still shows "accepted" and "pending" via #CrossRef: doi.org/10.1093/anal... I thought average time to pub was < 3 months; airtable.com/appANwL...

Why might people seek info about their #genetics? Controlling for dozens of demographic, psychological, and #health variables, only race, income, and knowledge of hereditary concepts predicted prior genetic testing (N ≅ 1000). doi.org/10.1159/0005... #medicine #healthcare

Early antibiotic treatment in patients hospitalized with non-severe #COVID19 didn't improve outcomes — if anything, early #antibiotics were actually linked to *poorer* clinical outcomes. doi.org/10.1001/jama... #AntibioticStewardship #AntimicrobialResistance #medicine #xRisk

Withdrawing life support was judged more harshly when medical #AI made the decision or recommendation than when human clinicians made it. When patients were conscious or AI seemed more competent, the #algorithmAversion #bias faded. doi.org/10.1016/j.co... #medicine #bioethics

New #AI #preprint: From #LLM research, turn-of-the-century #Rationality Wars, 20th-century #Pragmatism, and 19th-century #Economics, I argue for Strategic Reflectivism, a view about the nature and norms of intuition and reflection in humans and machines. doi.org/10.48550/arX...

How are concepts like 'reasoning' and 'inference' defined? #Philosophy has definitions that go way back (e.g., in #epistemology and #PhilMind). Now #computerScience are realizing a need for definitions. This #openAccess #CS review takes a crack at them: doi.org/10.48550/arX...

Suppose there's money in 1 of 3 closed envelopes. If you select the one with money, you keep it. After you select one, you can exchange yours for the other 2. Do you keep or exchange? Confidence in one's first selection predicted reflection test score. doi.org/10.1038/s415...

Forewarning people about #misinformation didn't have an impact on perceived accuracy or truthfulness of #news (N ≅ 1000). #FactChecking improved discernment — moreso among those with higher reflection test scores — and that explained sharing intentions. doi.org/10.1080/2167...

Stevens Inst. of #Tech and #NewJersey Inst. of #Technology lead the #USA in exporting graduate #education: 81–88% of their #gradStudents are international: www.nytimes.com/2025... Nationally, #higherEd makes the country’s top 10 biggest #trade surpluses: www.heraldtimesonlin...

How do adopted and donor-conceicved kids reason about nature vs. nurture? They hold *reduced* genetic-essentialist beliefs relative to traditionally-conceived kids, according to our new paper (in press at Dev Psych)! I’m really proud of this one. A🧵… osf.io/preprints/ps...

The #wisdomOfCrowds suggests that aggregating judgments from multiple people yields more accurate estimates. For #diagnosis, human-AI crowds' had better aggregate decisions than all-human crowds or all-AI crowds: doi.org/10.48550/arX... #medicine #AI #LLMs #edu #expertise #HCI

Companies like #Apple get accused of price ladders that exploit an #AttractionEffect, with decoys that make bad deals seem worth it: www.makeuseof.com/ho... In 2 experiments that allowed people to reflect and revise, the effect dissipated or disappeared! doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...

How much does #criticalThinking matter to kids' #edu performance? From 4th to 6th grade, "academic achievement and critical thinking ...predicted each other [to similar degrees] controlling for ...cognitive ability", which was less predictive (N = 160). doi.org/10.1016/j.li...

Google Scholar’s blocking of #Apple iCloud Private Relay users is bonkers, in part, because the blocking occurs even when *logged in* to #GoogleScholar: discussions.apple.co... So it’s not just that #Google wants to track you on THEIR sites; they want to track you on ALL sites.

🥳 Accepted in Res Philosophica "Reflective" thinking is rife in #cogSci and the #history of ideas. But we lack a unified definition. So I synthesized one. Just 2 key factors. Not just unifying, but useful! Audiopaper: byrdnick.com/archive... Preprint: osf.io/preprints/psy...

😱 This week I couldn't find a folder with years of work and data from scholars all over the world. It wasn't on my laptop?! It wasn't in the cloud?! 😮‍💨 Thank heavens for #TimeMachine #databackup! 😎 Today I made the #OSF project. Let my #projectMgmt fail be your reminder.

Maybe @Dockers opted for the misspelled "TruTemp" #branding because #philosophy had already taken "Truetemp". Aside: I recently published new data about #thoughtExperiments like Truetemp: 🔒 doi.org/10.1093/anal... 🔓 osf.io/preprints/psy... #cogSci #xPhi #trademark #marketing

How can #BehSci combat #antimicrobialResistance? Many patients expect needless #antibiotics (doi.org/10.3201/eid2...), which #nudges clinicians to prescribe 'em (pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih....). So we validated nudges to improve patient expectations (N ≅ 1k): osf.io/preprints/psy...