cknapp.bsky.social
Bioimage Analyst, Microscopist, Molecular Biologist, venturing into Machine Learning
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Prolific Poster
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Illegal Russia-affiliated tanker FALCON and recently detained tanker JAGUAR is about to meet in the Gulf of Finland.
Among the audience are a German command ship and a frigate/corvette + some smaller Swedish, Finnish and Estonian ships.
AIS-caveat apply, eg some units gone, others might lie
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An horrendous attack on Kyiv overnight then, capping off a third straight manic day.
Catch up here on the mega 75 post thread, and a 3am London/5am Kyiv finish as calm finally descended on Ukraine.
bsky.app/profile/twmc...
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Will Estonia continue to enforce against non-compliant tankers — even as the risks of escalation grow?
Or will another NATO country between FALCON’s current location and Estonia step in to support?
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Estonia has already acted — boarding KIWALA, challenging JAGUAR, and absorbing political & military blowback. But now Russia has responded by detaining the fully flagged, commercially insured GREEN ADMIRE.
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This fits a familiar pattern:
• Operate without a recognised flag
• Spoof your location to appear compliant
• Transit through European waters under the cover of normalcy
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Lithuanian FM: this week’s events have changed things: with Su-35 sent to protect a vessel “they’re showing force & entering NATO airspace.” Warns that more shadow fleet increases the risk of military incidents in the Baltic. Ship in question, Jaguar, will soon leave Baltic. “We have to go for it.”
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Another graphic from the FT piece: