Profile avatar
coljac.bsky.social
Data scientist, PoliQ. Astrophysicist, Swinburne University. #auspol, data, gliding.
18 posts 56 followers 33 following
Regular Contributor
Posts 10 Comments 8

@misterabk.bsky.social "The Colins are going into the West." Classic! This will be the theme of my 50th birthday.

submitted 26 days ago • 0 comments

Last PoliCast before the poll. Majority Government is back on the menu, boys! poliq.au/2025/04/30/p... #auspol

submitted 51 days ago • 0 comments

Labor do have some momentum on their side. Since last week the PoliCast Hung-o-meter has dropped from 95% chance of a minority government to 77%. poliq.au/2025/04/23/p... #auspol

submitted 59 days ago • 0 comments

Looking at our model for the upcoming federal election, minority government is all but a certainty. We're able to quantify it based on the current polls: 95%! See poliq.au/2025/04/07/p... for details of @samvaughan.bsky.social 's great work on this. #auspol

submitted 75 days ago • 2 comments

A few surprises in Redbridge's latest data. We'll release our model in the next week along with a prediction for the next parliament, but our results diverge a bit, especially in Victoria. It's hard to see the Greens going backwards in Wills, we have them significantly ahead: #auspol

submitted 197 days ago • 3 comments

But I need to know the percentage of people aged 35-40 in a particular SA1! Stat!

submitted 197 days ago • 0 comments

Our poll tracker shows the ALP and Coalition in a statistical dead heat. The momentum is not in the government's favour. This may increase the odds of an early election. The Ides of March! #auspol poliq.au/2024/12/03/w...

submitted 200 days ago • 0 comments

Political nerds: Have a play with my Prahran by-election simulator, and tell me what you think a realistic outcome is. prahran-byelection.streamlit.app #vicpol #prahran

submitted 200 days ago • 0 comments

The Greens have lost an MP in Prahran who took it from a margin of 30 votes to a safe seat. Can the Liberals reclaim it? I don't think so. poliq.au/2024/11/29/h... #auspol #vicpol #prahran

submitted 200 days ago • 0 comments

Hello fellow refugees from x/Twitter!

submitted 200 days ago • 0 comments