davidawaldron.bsky.social
Economist in Indianapolis. Dataviz, labor markets, education, workforce development.
waldrn.com
65 posts
368 followers
621 following
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@johnpfaff.bsky.social
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So we’re cutting a survey that’s getting its first update since 2002 and has already completed data collection in February?
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This particular chart is inspired by Figure 1 in "Tertiarization Like China" by Chen et. al.
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
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Read more about this phenomenon as it relates to President Trump's beliefs about trade here: blog.waldrn.com/p/what-happe...
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From here:
www.nber.org/system/files...
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Base on 2019 data, where both modes were tested, the mode change could account for around 1.5 points of the 15.2 point drop in complete agreement on the equal pay question, and 5.6 points of the 17.8 point drop on the equal opportunity question.
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One clue that is evident in the survey is that trend away from feminist views appears to be strongest among boys who say that religion is important in their lives.
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The trend also appears to be independent of fathers being present, education of mothers and communication with parents.
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Support for gender equality dropped regardless of whether boys regularly hung out with friends or went on dates.
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The data defies most simple explanations. The drop appears to be greater among boys who spent the least amount of time using social networks, watching videos or playing video games.
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Always good to be careful, but in this case the swings are so large and it seems consistent all across the country. And it’s precinct-level? I think there’s something there
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Lot of folks bought into “popularism” which just takes the ideological landscape as fixed. Lost any concept of how to shape narratives and lead people. Reciting bland, a/b tested scripts that resonate with no one and wilting like a flower whenever someone brings up an “unpopular” topic
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Saw another one where someone was like “rich people’s wealth isn’t liquid! Do you really think God would require that they liquidate their assets to give to charity?”
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The goal of posts like this is not to be correct, but to position yourself to look like the savviest poster because you were the most pessimistic of the posters before the next Bad Thing happened
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There’s a significant portion of people who will endorse both amnesty and mass deportation in the same survey. It’s wild how one of the two parties just went into panicked retreat on this.
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I’m finding it moderately useful, but for the folks I know who teach college students it’s been a big setback
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I suspect part of the reason is that the biggest impact (negative) has been on post-secondary education, so people who spend a lot of their time teaching college students have a hard time seeing past that
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Yeah this app butchers images. The version on Reddit is a bit better. Using county subdivisions for the national map but I’m gonna do tracts for region and state versions.
www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeau...
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I think this one misses the mark because Oster’s actual parenting advice tends to be that people overstate risks and should worry less
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www.hollidaypark.org/plan-your-vi...
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Doable but wages <1y after completion is not optimal
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People answering completely at random will bias estimates of proportions towards 50%
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Would the same error pattern be produced by some portion of the respondents just guessing randomly?
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Depends on the topic. Alphabetical indexing makes finding individual states easier. Sometimes geography isn’t relevant and ordering that way reveals nothing.
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usa.ipums.org/usa/volii/bo...
Don’t know what software you have but reprojecting is as easy as sf::st_transform(x, crs = 4326)
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Why is this on the race science guys blog
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The important thing is that I post here and have not had to interact with him or any of his followers at all.
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Yep. This will just catch the people who are bad at cheating.
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Nice website and there’s nothing wrong with the data, but it’s funny that it is run by right-wingers who think this particular trend is good
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I think it’s an improvement and most papers that do IV designs should frame them similarly. It’s clearer than just asserting in the abstract that the design does what they want it to do.
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@jedkolko.bsky.social reported similar results.
www.slowboring.com/p/breaking-d...
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Phil Levine has tried to make this info accessible but I think there’s a long way to go.
myintuition.org/quick-colleg...