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guymc.com
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Ah balls, I had a tenner on her in the 2.30 www.bbc.com/news/article...

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

watchin soccer

submitted 33 days ago • 9 comments

📊 GW31-33: Top Assistant Manager Projections: GW31: Brentford & West Ham lead (mean ~9.5) GW32: Palace and Newcastle top the chart (~13 & 12.5 resp.) GW33: Arsenal are clear (~15.5 points) Data: 100k sims based on @elevenify.com team ratings

submitted 76 days ago • 1 comment

📊 GW26: Stay at the Slot machine or gamble elsewhere? 250k simulations show the distribution of expected gain by making the switch from Slot to this week's top managers available for each risk profile. Based on team ratings by @elevenify.com

submitted 119 days ago • 5 comments

📊 GW26 Projections: Pick your Poisson Left: Team ratings from @elevenify.com Right: SpreadEx odds via @robtfpl.com (accessed 19/02) The key disagreement seems to be that Elevenify's model has lower expectations for Liverpool and Ipswich compared to current market odds

submitted 119 days ago • 2 comments

📊 AM25 Live: Following Villa's surprise draw vs IPS, Emery trails Slot by 4. However, that would change if they pull off an upset of their own against Liverpool. Fittingly a draw (22%) results in almost no difference in points, whereas a decisive result is, well, decisive. Data: @elevenify.com

submitted 121 days ago • 0 comments

📊 GW26: Arteta vs Glasner Similar means, vastly different distributions: Arteta is much more consistent: ~70% to score 8-12pts. Glasner has a much higher ceiling thanks to the table bonus potential - if you can stomach the 45% chance to score 2pts or fewer. Odds data via @robtfpl.com

submitted 121 days ago • 5 comments

Head-to-head: Slot vs Emery in GW25 📊 Slot favoured (~61%) to score more points than Emery, but there's still plenty of upside for Emery. He beats Slot by at least 15 points in more than 17% of sims. The expectation however, is that Slot wins by ~1.7 points. Based on 1M sims via @elevenify.com

submitted 126 days ago • 1 comment

Fantasy Frameworks 💡 A new resource for members. 23+ Frameworks. 6,000+ Words. This will make you a better #FPL manager. www.elevenify.com/p/fantasy-fr...

submitted 130 days ago • 4 comments

GW25 Assistant Manager Points Potential 📊 No surprises that Liverpool lead in expected value. However, an interesting choice is presented to managers yet again: safer floor or higher ceiling? Based on 250k sims from @elevenify.com data

submitted 132 days ago • 6 comments

Looking a little further: Emery vs Slot over next two GWs 📈 250k sims project tight race: Slot (mean: 22.9) vs Emery (mean: 21.9) over GWs 25 & 26. Similar means but different paths, with the Villa manager showing a wider spread of potential outcomes.

submitted 132 days ago • 2 comments

DGW25 Locked: Emery vs Slot Head-to-Head 📊 2M simulations show Slot (mean: 17.4) edging Emery (15.8). Full probability heatmap included - I will update with a higher resolution view once outcomes constrict after each team's first match of the gameweek.

submitted 132 days ago • 1 comment