Profile avatar
jdportes.bsky.social
Professor of Economics and Public Policy, King's College London; Senior Fellow, UK in a Changing Europe. Immigration, economics, public policy. Personal views only; usual disclaimers apply. Books: Immigration (Sage), Capitalism (Quercus)
2,848 posts 61,042 followers 545 following
Prolific Poster
Conversation Starter

How has migration shaped UK art and culture – and what should its role in our future cultural landscape be? We convened a stellar line-up at the Guildhall to discuss: ‪@davidolusoga.bsky.social, Es Devlin, Indhu Rubasingham (@nationaltheatre.org.uk) @sathnam.bsky.social & Reeta Chakrabarti.

I partially disagree with this. In that - while I agree perceptions *are* important - the last time someone got down into the nitty gritty of people’s perceptions of crime (Nick Davies, Flat Earth News) he discovered that most people thought it had gone up, but not in their local area - *elsewhere*.

British surgeon Victoria Rose, who's just returned from Gaza: "They're coming through the doors like a conveyor belt... really small children with massive injuries.. bits of their bodies blown off... every day at least half [of my cases] were under the age of 11.. its barbaric"

Instinctive mistrust of data, especially where it cuts against vibes, is not a thing confined to conspiracy-minded kooks. You see it pretty much everywhere. And the problem is that there *are* limitations to most datasets we have, so we’re all playing a game of reasonable inference.

Great to see this extension to FSM, which was called for in yesterday's @changingrealities.bsky.social @ippr.org brief. But if we are to actually get more pounds into parents' pockets we need investment in social security & the end of the 2CL & benefit cap. changingrealities.org/writings/get...

A letter to The Times, among a number of online rage and free speech, responding to Daniel Finkelstein www.thetimes.com/comment/lett...

Open all of the crossings. Let in lifesaving aid at scale, from all directions. Lift restrictions on what & how much aid we can bring in. Ensure our convoys aren’t held up by delays and denials. Release the hostages. Implement the ceasefire. Let us work.

Genuinely good news. Extending FSM to all children on Universal Credit is long overdue. Will cut poverty and help improve concentration and health.

Not worst thing about Goodwin's research,but definitely funniest. In Goodwin-world UK imposed a bizarre version of apartheid in 2022 -white Brits *can* marry non-whites -white "other" are segregated from white Brits *and* non-whites -Muslims and non-Muslims are segregated - Muslims can't convert

Actually Goodwin's paper is worse than this in that it assumes the UK adopted a bizarre version of apartheid in 2022. White Brits can marry non-whites, but white Europeans are segregated. And Muslims and non-Muslims can't intermarry or convert.

Been lots of debate about what might turn the dial on child poverty. But we hear far less from families in poverty. Our new briefing sets out a blueprint for a successful child poverty strategy, grounded in experiences of hardship changingrealities.org/writings/get... Pls read + share this 🧵

Not worst thing about Goodwin's research,but definitely funniest. In Goodwin-world UK imposed a bizarre version of apartheid in 2022 -white Brits *can* marry non-whites -white "other" are segregated from white Brits *and* non-whites -Muslims and non-Muslims are segregated - Muslims can't convert

Ross Douthat went to Paris, overdid the Camembert and had a horrendous cheese dream which he then typed out. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/o...

Actually Goodwin's paper is worse than this in that it assumes the UK adopted a bizarre version of apartheid in 2022. White Brits can marry non-whites, but white Europeans are segregated. And Muslims and non-Muslims can't intermarry or convert.

Linear projections of ethnic diversity in 40 and 75 years time depend on simplistic one drop raciak thinking about those of mixed ethnic heritage. The real life pattern of racial identity across generations is fascinatingly fluid, as I found in my own household from one census to the next

I regret to inform you that Matt Goodwin has been drawing graphs again.

💥 ONE WEEK TO GO 💥 💻 Join our experts online at 1pm BST to unpack the implications, trade offs & public opinion around the UK government's migration policy With @jdportes.bsky.social, Madeleine Sumption, @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @anandmenon.bsky.social ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...

In which @jonnelledge.bsky.social hits the nail on the head. The people who read newspapers are generally the over-65s, the broadcasters and the political class. There’s a line that travels directly from the Mail, Sun and Telegraph through the BBC, ITN and Sky to Westminster. It is entirely ruinous.

Israeli strikes on Gaza schools used as civilian shelters part of deliberate strategy, say sources

Excellent from @jdportes.bsky.social; evolution of migration from post-colonial systems to economics powerplay. How long does it take to stop being an Outsider? 🤔 I suggest never; it’ll take a seismic shakeup to shift human survival mechanisms to the benevolent nature our better Selves dream of.

"From EU expansion to Brexit: Free movement and the UK from 2004 to 2021" My paper in Border Crossing, just published (open access!) examines the economic and political consequences of post-2004 migration flows to the UK under free movement. bordercrossing.uk/bc/article/v...

Wish politicians would engage fully with the evidence before weighing in. Our analysis ( w/ @jdportes.bsky.social @kateandersen.bsky.social & Mary Reader) explored the fertility effect of two-child limit using both qualitative and quantitative approaches (🧵for links)

"From EU expansion to Brexit: Free movement and the UK from 2004 to 2021" My paper in Border Crossing, just published (open access!) examines the economic and political consequences of post-2004 migration flows to the UK under free movement. bordercrossing.uk/bc/article/v...

The Israeli cabinet says that its aim is to destroy Hamas. But Hamas is destroyed in Gaza. Its leadership - both military and civil - has been eliminated. Out of dozens of senior and mid-level leaders and commanders, nearly all are dead, except for two. 1/

Seeing @jdportes.bsky.social @robfordmancs.bsky.social trying to explain facts to Goodwin and his fan club (or more correctly his click bait income generators) shows in addition to @ottoenglish.bsky.social messages on Liz Truss the extent to which facts and evidence are anathema to many on right

The column is all working-class morality cosplay, as usual. Child poverty is fine, cutting benefits to well-off pensioners not fine, because read the room, feckless women shouldn't have kids www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

There’s a group of Labour MPs whose vision for the country appears to be equality of misery: businesses made less dynamic and taxed more than under the Conservatives, child poverty continuing to rise as it did under the Conservatives.

The idea (per Jason Cowley in the Times) that caring about child poverty is only for “progressive activists” inside the PLP is bollocks. I’m a Red Wall MP. Child poverty is **50%** in my constituency after housing costs. I want more money in the pockets of those families and spent in our ends

Thoughtful blog from @jtmigratory.bsky.social on the government's proposals on restricting migrants' right to settle/Indefinite Leave to Remain. As he says, debate on this has just begun (1/2) www.smf.co.uk/commentary_p...

I made a video essay explaining why, in my view, Israel is committing genocide under international law. I hope this helps frame the issue a little bit better and explain why there is a consensus among academics that this is indeed a genocide. www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmCl...

"Global majority" may intend to be an empowering upgrade for ethnic minorities - but it is not understood or wanted by most of those it is trying to talk about www.independent.co.uk/voices/globa...

First response: fine, as long as London is not ignored and/or is given greater powers to raise funds at regional level, because without a strongly-growing London you will not have a strongly-growing UK. www.theguardian.com/politics/202... #london

🚨 Next Lunch Hour: The migration question 🚨 The government has announced new measures to reduce migration to the UK Unpack the new policies with our expert panel @jdportes.bsky.social @msumption.bsky.social @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @anandmenon.bsky.social ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...

Very much enjoyed Robert Jenrick filming himself telling people they should pay for using the tube.

Thoughtful blog from @jtmigratory.bsky.social on the government's proposals on restricting migrants' right to settle/Indefinite Leave to Remain. As he says, debate on this has just begun (1/2) www.smf.co.uk/commentary_p...

A quiet but crucial debate on earned settlement and Indefinite Leave to Remain is moving up the government’s immigration agenda. New @jtmigratory.bsky.social blog on what’s changing and why it matters: smf.co.uk/commentary_p...

Lawbreaking is "out of control", says well-known respecter of laws and rules, Robert Jenrick