jjhelin.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

A huge problem with being addicted to paying attention to what is actually happening in the federal government right now is that it's impossible to explain to people who are normal why this information makes you seriously think about pouring a glass of straight gin at 8 in the morning.

submitted 50 days ago • 2 comments

Last Thursday I whipped up a SITREP for the Kursk salient. I posted it on X, but completely forgot to do so on BlueSky, which I regret. The thread would be slightly outdated, but a longer writeup of the situation and UA withdrawal can be found on our Substack. substack.com/home/post/p-...

submitted 67 days ago • 2 comments

“It’s nearing the end of the republic but we’re cheering for the pickled egg.” A wonderful piece of writing from @mollymckew.bsky.social x.com/mollymckew/s...

submitted 77 days ago • 39 comments

We have updated our map to reflect the situation in Kursk. In short, it's not looking good. The areas east of the Loknya and Psel rivers will likely be lost within days or less. Large scale withdrawal is likely, but Ukraine may attempt to hold onto Sudzha for some time.

submitted 76 days ago • 0 comments

We have updated our map to reflect the situation in Kursk. In short, it's not looking good. The areas east of the Loknya and Psel rivers will likely be lost within days or less. Large scale withdrawal is likely, but Ukraine may attempt to hold onto Sudzha for some time.

submitted 76 days ago • 0 comments

US has stopped military aid to Ukraine as per Bloomberg. "The US is pausing all current military aid to Ukraine until Trump determines the country’s leaders demonstrate a good-faith commitment to peace, according to a senior Defense Department official" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

submitted 81 days ago • 60 comments

What coherent and intelligent commentary can you even have on national security or military affairs anymore? Everything is just fucking stupid now. What are you even supposed to say besides just repeating over and over how fucking dumb every single decision is?

submitted 81 days ago • 53 comments

Trump take egg Trump take lumber Trump take oil Trump take nickel Trump take tomato Trump take avocado Trump take car Trump take steel Trump take laptop Trump take 401k Trump take natural gas Trump take cell phones Trump take t shirt Trump take tequila Trump take washing machines Trump take steel Tr

submitted 81 days ago • 46 comments

starting a business that just sells Canadian merchandise at US airports for Americans traveling abroad

submitted 84 days ago • 24 comments

Well that's a way to spend the friday night. What a complete disaster. If someone still had illusions about the US being a reliable and moral foreign policy partner, this is the time to wake up. Sadly I don't have high hopes.

submitted 84 days ago • 2 comments

This photo of Musk speaking at the AfD rally has an interesting composition. I'm sure the AFP photographer had fun.

submitted 119 days ago • 6 comments

This photo of Musk speaking at the AfD rally has an interesting composition. I'm sure the AFP photographer had fun.

submitted 119 days ago • 6 comments

Arvopohjainen suomettuminen @hs.fi

submitted 120 days ago • 10 comments

if you want a simple narrative of the last four years in cultural leadership: a bunch of 50-something men got mad about their buddies losing their jobs for sexually assaulting women, so they decided that sexism and racism were fine all along

submitted 122 days ago • 10 comments

It was only a matter of time before Trump gave us the first QAnon FBI director. Patel: “The Q thing is a movement a lot of people attach themselves to. I disagree with a lot of what that movement says, but I agree with a lot of what that movement says.” www.nytimes.com/2025/01/23/u...

submitted 120 days ago • 10 comments

Light Infantry Attacks – A Thread Why does our @jjhelin.bsky.social keep rejecting the "human waves" narrative, instead calling the reported North Korean attacks in Kursk "basic infantry drills"? Let’s dive into light infantry on the attack and why this distinction matters. 1/

submitted 127 days ago • 5 comments

Finland as usual showing a masterful & unusual combination of sangfroid and seriousness in response to a national security threat.

submitted 148 days ago • 8 comments

With the recent Russian advances, two dangerous salients are emerging in Southern Donetsk. In Velyka Novosilka and Kurakhove, the Ukrainian supply routes are under significant threat. A quick look at the logistics in South Donetsk. 1/

submitted 152 days ago • 2 comments

With the recent Russian advances, two dangerous salients are emerging in Southern Donetsk. In Velyka Novosilka and Kurakhove, the Ukrainian supply routes are under significant threat. A quick look at the logistics in South Donetsk. 1/

submitted 152 days ago • 2 comments

Ukraine’s failure to fix organizational issues and replace inefficient commanders has eroded trust in the system to the point, where severe recruitment shortages and desertion levels are so high that no amount of aid can fix it The window of opportunity to change is closing

submitted 159 days ago • 17 comments

By the way, interesting to see the five brigade figure in this report. It's the same force sizing I entertained - entirely speculatively - in a piece looking at options for Ukraine a few weeks ago. www.economist.com/briefing/202...

submitted 164 days ago • 3 comments

That would be a larger force than the combined NATO forward deployments in Eastern Europe. Pulling together that number of troops plus enablers would be a huge undertaking for allies. Would consume NATO reserves & more. A big ask, and probably impossible without significant US assistance.

submitted 164 days ago • 15 comments

🧵Look towards the light. As Rebel forces in Syria advanced across Syria & never stopped a key question was why the Regime evaporated. Syria by night provides some clues on how the Regime's social contract collapsed. Read my analysis here aspistrategist.org.au/just-look-at... & read on

submitted 164 days ago • 8 comments

“President-elect Trump has tapped … Sebastian Gorka to … act as the deputy assistant to the president and as the senior director for counterterrorism.” I think he means senior director for peacekeeping, terrorism and thermonuclear war. thehill.com/policy/natio...

submitted 182 days ago • 10 comments

The Ukrainian Prosecutor General’s Office opened an investigation against another instance of Russian forces executing Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) in Donetsk Oblast. (1/3) isw.pub/UkrWar112224

submitted 182 days ago • 2 comments