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joakimkreutz.bsky.social
Associate professor at Department of Government, Uppsala University. Scholarly interests include armed conflict onset, dynamics, and termination; repression and peacemaking, sanctions and trust. Other interests include football, food, travel, and more.
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I'm all in favor of impeachment of Trump, but the US have bombed countries multiple times before without clear congress mandate. If/when Iran retaliates, though, ...

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Chatbots — LLMs — do not know facts and are not designed to be able to accurately answer factual questions. They are designed to find and mimic patterns of words, probabilistically. When they’re “right” it’s because correct things are often written down, so those patterns are frequent. That’s all.

submitted 5 days ago • 556 comments

The @telegraphnews.bsky.social lies about the causes of the electricity blackout in Spain on April 28th: It wrongly claims that the official report blames renewables when it does the opposite. It names negative prices as the main trigger instead of poorly controlled voltage fluctuations.

submitted 5 days ago • 5 comments

Every single person who thinks LLMs are anything other than shit garbage is either: a) Someone who is making money lying to you about how great it is, or, b) Someone who doesn't understand the technology at all but has successfully been lied to by person a

submitted 7 days ago • 9 comments

www.linkedin.com/posts/erica-...

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

So the President can be (and should be) impeached, but is there no way to remove his appointments? They are violating the constitution on a daily basis, there must be some way to oust them besides "he/she should resign"?

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

The violence seems to be getting the most attention here, but hear what she is saying. Federal troops have the intent to "liberate" the city and state from elected leaders. Anyone still thinking this is not an authoritarian takeover?

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

New data from UCDP shows the highest number of active conflicts ever recorded, press release found here: www.eurekalert.org/news-release...

submitted 13 days ago • 0 comments

Reshare to scare the data bros and popularism acolytes

submitted 14 days ago • 10 comments

Do you work on gender and peacebuilding broadly defined (including everything from ceasefires to transitional justice)? I’m looking for pitches to contribute to a special issue, especially interested in quantitative research by scholars outside of Europe/US/Canada. Email/DM me!

submitted 13 days ago • 2 comments

BREAKING: After being called senile, and Newsom denying that they talked yesterday, Trump released this screenshot to the media to show that he actually did speak to Gavin Newsom a day ago, like he claimed. What do you notice from this screenshot? For those who are slow today is June 10.

submitted 13 days ago • 115 comments

I'm not one to tell anyone what to do, but now is the time to protest everywhere invthe US against the power grab and in support of LA. It is important to show that there is not widespread support or acceptance of dictatorship. Your audience are fellow citizens, the courts, and the security forces.

submitted 13 days ago • 1 comment

An extremely satisfying read. www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/youre-a-bu...

submitted 13 days ago • 3 comments

Trump Wanted the "Battle of Los Angeles." Instead Latinos have inspired a national uprising Latino communities in L.A have played an integral and instructional role in protests that are inspiring actions in dozens of other U.S cities LATEST for PWS! (📸by Sergio Olmos)

submitted 14 days ago • 0 comments

BREAKING: Kamala Harris issues statement on Los Angeles.

submitted 15 days ago • 535 comments

This is a great post covering relevant aspects of how security forces may respond to protests.

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

These are one sentence apart. Words, what do they mean. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/07/o...

submitted 16 days ago • 74 comments

In today's episode of making Trump USA more like China: "we'll send more security forces if violence persist" while violeence is only used by security forces. Homework reading: Tiananmen square, Xinjiang, Hong Kong.

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

Happy Eid and Swedish National Day for those that celebrate either or both.

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

Trump in the Epstein files is no great reveal. It was probable already at the 95% significance level before.

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

Trump claims tariffs will work because the world is eager to sell things in the US. But that is not how business works - the only reason the world wanted to sell things in the US is profit. Gutting the US economy (demand) while reducing profit margins (tariffs) means... other markets instead...

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

In todays episode of "lets make Trump USA more like Maoist China"

submitted 19 days ago • 0 comments

Tomorrow at the Department of Government, Anna Jeglinska defends her thesis Co-nationals under construction: Poland’s diaspora policy 1989–2023, with @harrismylonas.bsky.social as external reviewer. Location: Brusewitzsalen, Östra Ågatan 19, Uppsala Time: 13:15 www.uu.se/en/events/de...

submitted 19 days ago • 1 comment

Here is WEEK 16: adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/week-16

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

OH the innovations in self-torture.#oskfotboll, winless in 10 games completely bossed their opponents today to go 2-0 up with 20 mins to go. An owngoal and an equalizer later, we retook the lead in '85. Only to concede with the last kick of the game. 3-3.

submitted 24 days ago • 1 comment

ÖSK! Poäng! (en får vara glad för det lilla)

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

Inside Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill”: Judicial Silencing (Sec. 80121(h)). This might be the most authoritarian section in the entire 1,100+ page bill.

submitted 33 days ago • 107 comments

Yesterday: Sec Rubio claimed the US isn’t “withdrawing from the world”. Also yesterday: China pledges $500m to WHO, helping to cover the budget gap from US withdrawal. As the US cedes diplomatic goodwill built over decades of humanitarian work abroad, other countries will quickly fill the void.

submitted 33 days ago • 109 comments

Teacher Asks What First Graders Want To Be Once Child Labor Laws Repealed

submitted 33 days ago • 45 comments

"We are surrounded by cheerful, grinning volunteers, all willingly punting own-goals against the fossil-fuelled bullshit factories. It seems like nothing is going to stop them, so it’s time regulation did the job instead" Me, in @crikey.com.au, feeling like a total loser:

submitted 42 days ago • 7 comments

Honestly, this is a historic day: European states & Ukraine approved the establishment of Tribunal for russian aggression, making accountability inevitable & ensuring that russian criminals won't get away w/ the atrocities they've committed. Justice is not for sale! united24media.com/war-in-ukrai...

submitted 45 days ago • 4 comments

🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵

submitted 46 days ago • 7 comments

Cool data! Me trying to understand the profile of a progressive apolitical Pope:

submitted 46 days ago • 2 comments

If only there was some public and official event where an US president would have to commit to follow the constitution...

submitted 48 days ago • 0 comments

Why don't the US celebrate May 8 1945 as the end of WW2? Probably because the US continued to fight Japan until September 2, 1945.

submitted 51 days ago • 0 comments

En ny global studie med 130 000 personer i 125 länder visar att stödet för kraftfullare klimatpolitik är överväldigande – hela 89 procent av världens befolkning vill se mer åtgärder. Ändå tror många att de är ensamma om sin vilja.

submitted 52 days ago • 0 comments

Idag vänder det, tänker man alltid en timme före match. Mer i förhoppning än vetskap. När det visar sig att det inte var idag som det vänder, så tänker man "jag visste det." Men man är inte stolt över att man visste.

submitted 55 days ago • 0 comments

As a kid growing up in Sweden, football on TV was sparse - except from England. Among the kick-and-run, one team always passed the ball around and that became my team - Liverpool. To see a League celebrated with the fans at Anfield is special, even for the only one of "my" teams with many titles.

submitted 57 days ago • 0 comments