marthagimbel.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Everybody stop what you’re doing and read @jasonfurman.bsky.social on why trade is good actually www.nytimes.com/2025/05/12/o...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Work requirements and price controls - what a Sunday night

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Listen to @budgetlab.bsky.social's @marthagimbel.bsky.social on the @theatlantic.com podcast episode that explores the impact of tariffs and consumer behavior.

submitted 6 days ago • 0 comments

@budgetlab.bsky.social's @marthagimbel.bsky.social and @ernietedeschi.bsky.social in the @nytimes.com

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

Has anyone ever pulled together or done (or seen) a task similarity matrix for the O*Net tasks? Basically - if you have information on a subset of the tasks, has someone done the work to figure out how similar certain tasks are to each other

submitted 9 days ago • 4 comments

Video of Hutchins Center conversation on safeguarding the stability of the global banking system and the state of bank supervisinon with ECB’s Claudia Buch, Nicolas Veron, and Michael Silva. @brookings.edu www.brookings.edu/events/safeg...

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

So I just picked up the phone and got hit with a new scam: someone tried to tell me they were with CBP and I had to give them $100 to get the package I ordered into the country. So now we’re using tariffs for phone scams!

submitted 18 days ago • 15 comments

ACLU says another three US citizen children were disappeared from their own country today: www.aclu.org/press-releas...

submitted 18 days ago • 58 comments

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

NEW: A federal judge raised alarm Friday that the Trump administration appeared to have deported a 2-year-old U.S. citizen to Honduras with "no meaningful process" — even as her father was fighting to keep her in the country. Details w/ @joshgerstein.bsky.social www.politico.com/news/2025/04...

submitted 19 days ago • 388 comments

Hello, EconSky! We are hiring a lead economist at CAP. My DMs are open if you want to talk through the position and CAP generally. Crucially, we are right next to a great bubble tea spot. www.americanprogress.org/job/senior-f...

submitted 23 days ago • 1 comment

My mother just informed me that when she was a child Easter eggs were real eggs dyed by hand and they didn’t have access to fun plastic eggs with cool toys and candy inside and I refuse to contemplate this type of 1950s future for my child

submitted 24 days ago • 5 comments

…isn’t this a version of what Matilda’s dad got up to?

submitted 25 days ago • 2 comments

Killing your greatest export is an unusual tactic in the midst of a trade war. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

submitted 29 days ago • 24 comments

Happy [No] Taco Tuesday!

submitted 29 days ago • 0 comments

Last April @natasharsarin.bsky.social Danny Yagan and I launched @budgetlab.bsky.social. We were excited about our team and what we were planning to produce - but absolutely could not have predicted this wild year 1/

submitted 29 days ago • 1 comment

Friends coming back online after having been offline the last few days for Passover

submitted 29 days ago • 0 comments

A second new position at @capolicylab.bsky.social - this one for a research manager for our criminal justice work.

submitted 33 days ago • 1 comment

It's from the Yale Budget Lab. budgetlab.yale.edu/research/fis...

submitted 33 days ago • 76 comments

I wasn’t alive then but my understand is the inflation situation was A+ in 1981 and we look back on it fondly

submitted 33 days ago • 5 comments

JPMORGAN: To argue that today’s 145% China tariff clarification “is somehow less of a shock as a result is very misguided .. The sudden stop of roughly $450bn in US imports and the resulting disruption to US supply chains would be a significant blow .. We maintain our call for a US recession ..”

submitted 34 days ago • 18 comments

@hamiltonproject.org’s federal outlay tracker is now updated with the March Monthly Treasury Statement (and the Daily Treasury Statement, obviously.) www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin...

submitted 34 days ago • 0 comments

WATCH— @jessicatarlov.bsky.social : “Why are you making fun of smart people that calculate things?” Jessica points out Trump is making it seem like he paused all the tariffs but the Yale budget lab says those remaining will cost each 🇺🇸 household $4400, the highest tariff rate since 1909.

submitted 34 days ago • 76 comments

It’s weird to say I enjoyed speaking with @michellesingletary.bsky.social and Jenn White today about the impacts of tariffs because it was quite a depressing conversation- but I felt honored to have it with them! the1a.org/segments/pro...

submitted 34 days ago • 1 comment

Come for the actual analysis, stay for me finding out live that my diapers are Canadian

submitted 34 days ago • 0 comments

Given clarifications from the Administration about the China tariffs, @budgetlab.bsky.social has updated its estimates to reflect a 145% maximum China rate from 2025 policy versus the 125% we assumed before. The report link is the same. Some key takeaways... 1/7

submitted 34 days ago • 5 comments

I talked to @marthagimbel.bsky.social, exec director of @budgetlab.bsky.social and a new mom (along w other experts) about how tariffs will impact families

submitted 34 days ago • 2 comments

We've updated our @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff estimates in light of yesterday's announcement of a 90-day 10% "reciprocal" tariff and a 125% China tariff. Some key takeaways... 1/7

submitted 34 days ago • 3 comments

Now at 10am ET. Tune into @npr.org 1A to hear @marthagimbel.bsky.social discuss economic uncertainty and the latest @budgetlab.bsky.social reports.

submitted 34 days ago • 0 comments

TL;DR: The new U.S. tariff rate against our two largest trading partners is either 10%, 25% or 35%, and so far no one I've reached out to at the White House is able to tell me which.

submitted 35 days ago • 193 comments

nvm

submitted 35 days ago • 21 comments

Last May @budgetlab.bsky.social published a piece on the political risks to the US's safe harbor premium pointing out that even a relatively modest move in risk premia would be bad - and that markets weren't thinking about the fact that it was a possibility. 1/

submitted 35 days ago • 3 comments

We are hiring an education researcher to join the @capolicylab.bsky.social and @berkeleycshe.bsky.social teams. You'll work on projects using administrative data relating to California higher education. Here's more information: capolicylab.org/careers/rese...

submitted 35 days ago • 1 comment

Really missing Ben White right now

submitted 35 days ago • 5 comments

Here's a quick update to the @budgetlab.bsky.social tariff tracker to incorporate the add'l 50% US tariffs on China & China's add'l retaliation. • The average effective US tariff rate is now 26.8%, the highest since 1903. • US real GDP growth is -1.1pp lower over 2025. 1/3

submitted 35 days ago • 1 comment

One important thing to note. Yesterday's report had revenue at $3.009 trillion. Now, with the add'l 50% tariffs on China, it's $2.843 trillion. We've now flipped to the right side of the tariff Laffer Curve.

submitted 35 days ago • 3 comments

New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social: The IRS is entering into an agmt to share data about undocumented immigrants with ICE. Historically, the agency promised data would not be used in this way. We estimate the govt will lose ~$300B in the next decade as a result.

submitted 35 days ago • 4 comments